rolotomasi99 wrote:Even though I thought the Academy would fall in love with THE KING'S SPEECH, I figured the guilds would appreciate THE SOCIAL NETWORK.
I'm not getting this one.
The Social Network's art direction/set design was not its strong suit. The writing, the acting, the music, and by extension the director who made it all work were its more award worthy components.
It won't win any acting awards, but could still pull out Best Picture, Director, Score and, of course, Adapted Screenplay.
What amuses is me is how quickly the worm turns. The same prognosticators who prior to the PGA/DGA/SAG awards, thought The Social Network was unstoppable now see it as having no chance against The King's Speech because of its late bloom.
While I'm willing to concede that The King's Speech won votes from people who genuinely liked it and didn't like The Social Network, I have to think that there are a fair number of people who voted against the latter because it had been looking like a one-man show. Maybe some of them voted for The Fighter or True Grit or Inception, but in the end will rally behind The Social Network at the Oscars because it is the only film to keep The King's Speech from winning.
When we think of the old people in AMPAS, The King's Speech's natural supporters, we tend to think of the generation that is now in its 80s and 90s, but those people are dying off at rapid rates. Those Academy members now in their 70s were trailblazers in their youth. In the acting branch alone there are Jane and Peter Fonda, Ellen Bursytn, Jack Nicholson, Dustin Hoffman, Al Pacino, Warren Beatty, Vanessa Redgrave, et. al. I can't imagine that group preferring a musty film like The King's Speech over something as cutting edge as The Social Network.
Not only would I like to see The Social Network win because I think it is the better film, I'd like to see it win to shut up all these know-it-alls who really don't know any more than you or me.
Edited By Big Magilla on 1297085852