Re: Golden Globe Predictions
Posted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 10:30 pm
FYI: Ewan McGregor is being promoted as Supporting Actor and according to people who've seen the film, it's appropriate category placement.
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Yeah, Beasts is the kind of movie the Academy will honor. Not the Foreign Press. Possibly Anna Karenina or one of the big unseens: Django Unchained or Zero Dark Thirty. Or...anonymous wrote
BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Here is the big question. Will they push Silver Linings Playbook as a Drama or a Comedy? I'm going to bet that it gets pushed as a Drama. They're going to push its importance and uplift just like Up in the Air. While I personally think pushing Up in the Air as a Drama was a big mistake b/c it could have easily won the Globe for Best Musical or Comedic Film over The Hangover (not like that would have really mattered come Oscar night), pitting Silver Linings Playbook against Les Miserables is like suicide. Les Miserables is going to win this award. Put Silver Linings Playbook in Drama and drop The Exotic Marigold Hotel in its place. Maybe To Rome with Love instead of Hitchcock.anonymous wrote
BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Hitchcock
Les Miserables
Moonrise Kingdom
Seven Psychopaths
Silver Linings Playbook
Hoffman is supporting. No doubt in my mind. Don't think Trintinigant is getting in either. Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings (unless it's pushed for Comedy which I don't think will happen) and Denzel Washington for Flight.anonymous wrote
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Jean-Louis Trintinigant, Amour
No to Riva. Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook. And if Cotillard or Watts doesn't make it in? How about Jennifer Lawrence for The Hunger Games? She could grab two nominations in the same category.anonymous wrote
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone
Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Obviously, we haven't seen Les Miserables but I'm going to bet that Russell Crowe gets in for Supporting. I like Hopkins, Jackman, and Jones. How about Bill Murray for Hyde Park on Hudson? Sounds like something they'd dully honor.anonymous wrote
BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Tommy Lee Jones, Hope Springs
Already spoken my peace on Silver Linings. In her place, how about Amanda Seyfriend for Les Miserables? How about Maggie Smith for Quartet or Laura Linney for Hyde Park on Hudson or Helen Mirren for Hitchcock instead of Leslie Mann for This is 40?anonymous wrote
BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Leslie Mann, This Is 40
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
Barbra Streisand, The Guilt Trip
I think Russell Crowe is getting shoehorned in this category. He's in instead of Arkin. Philip Seymour Hoffman is definitely in this category. He's here instead of Walken. I feel like I read something that said that the true standouts of Lincoln (from an early screening) are Hal Holbrook and Tommy Lee Jones. With Tommy Lee Jones playing Thaddeus Stevens, I think that's the stuff that's going to connect with voters. I'd replace Strathairn with Jones. So that's Crowe, De Niro, DiCaprio, Hoffman, Jones. If there's six? How about McConaughey for Magic Mike?anonymous wrote
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, The Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
David Strathairn, Lincoln
Christopher Walken, Seven Psychopaths
Already a weak lineup. I've seen Adams in The Master. She won't win but she could grab a nomination. Smith is probably in. If Hitchcock goes over well, Johansson could stay in. It's strange that everybody is predicting Hathaway for a win when we haven't seen her performance but everybody has seen Barks' performance and nobody is predicting the same.anonymous wrote
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Amy Adams, The Master
Samantha Barks, Les Miserables
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Scarlett Johansson, Hitchcock
Oooh! Predicting a Spielberg snub! I like it. Still hedging my bets. He's in replacing Lee.anonymous wrote
BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Ben Affleck, Argo
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
I see Lincoln instead of Beasts. I see Les Miserables instead of Moonrise Kingdom.anonymous wrote
BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Lucy Alibar & Behn Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Chris Terrio, Argo
I love Desplat's scoring of Moonrise Kingdom. Not confident it's going to come close to happening. James Newton Howard for The Hunger Games, Dario Marianelli for Anna Karenina, or Howard Shore for The Hobbit.anonymous wrote
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Alexandre Desplat, Argo
Don Romer & Behn Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
John Williams, Lincoln
Jonny Greenwood, The Master
Alexandre Desplat, Moonrise Kingdom
Agree with Jack Black in Bernie, but I would charactize Maggie Smith's role in Exotic as deceptively small rather than underwritten. Quartet[/i is a bigger if].Reza wrote:Dame Maggie had a terribly underwritten part in Exotic.....Hotel and she won't get a mention for it.Big Magilla wrote:It's still a big if but the Globes could nominate Dame Maggie for three awards this year - Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical for Quartet; Best Supporting Actress for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Best Actress in a TV Series Drama for Downton Abbey expanding her total haul to twelve. SAG could follow and BAFTA and Oscar could nominate her twice over as well. It would expand her Oscar nominations to eight and make her the oldest double acting nominee ever at 78.Reza wrote:If you have Judi Dench on your list what about Maggie Smith for Quartet?
What about Jack Black in Bernie?
Dame Maggie had a terribly underwritten part in Exotic.....Hotel and she won't get a mention for it.Big Magilla wrote:It's still a big if but the Globes could nominate Dame Maggie for three awards this year - Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical for Quartet; Best Supporting Actress for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Best Actress in a TV Series Drama for Downton Abbey expanding her total haul to twelve. SAG could follow and BAFTA and Oscar could nominate her twice over as well. It would expand her Oscar nominations to eight and make her the oldest double acting nominee ever at 78.Reza wrote:If you have Judi Dench on your list what about Maggie Smith for Quartet?
It's still a big if but the Globes could nominate Dame Maggie for three awards this year - Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical for Quartet; Best Supporting Actress for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Best Actress in a TV Series Drama for Downton Abbey expanding her total haul to twelve. SAG could follow and BAFTA and Oscar could nominate her twice over as well. It would expand her Oscar nominations to eight and make her the oldest double acting nominee ever at 78.Reza wrote:If you have Judi Dench on your list what about Maggie Smith for Quartet?