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Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:15 am
by Big Magilla
The SAG nominations on Thursday will give us a good idea of where the actors stand.
I've had my doubts about True Grit all year and only reluctantly added it to my Oscar predictions on CinemaSight when everyone else insisted it was a sure thing. It may be the Globes' aversion to westerns that kept if off their list but I still think Jeff Bridges is a question mark for Best Actor with both Aaron Eckhart and Mark Wahlberg both chomping at his heels.
I've also been down on Robert Duvall in Get Low and have been expecting Ryan Gosling to overtake him. On the other hand actors love Duvall, so SAG could paint a clearer picture.
I'm pretty convinced now that Bening, Kidman, Lawrence, Portman and Williams will be Oscar's Best Actress nominees. If SAG nominates these five it will be almost a done deal.
I see Renner and Rockwell duking it out for the fifth Supporting Actor slot behind Bale, Rush, Ruffalo and Garfield.
Supporting Actress can always be counted on to spring a surprise. Wiest could pop up here. So could Vanessa Redgrave for Letters to Juliet, who if she's nominated could even be a sentimental surprise winner.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:15 am
by anonymous1980
The Original BJ wrote:What is going on with Manville?
Category confusion.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:02 am
by Bog
Uri wrote:criddic3 wrote:How well do Westerns do at the Golden Globes? Looking over the last 15 years, they haven't shown up even when you might expect the could, unless you count "Brokeback Mountain" and "No Country for Old Men." No nods for Brad Pitt in "The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" or Russell Crowe in "3:10 to Yuma" or Cate Blanchett in "The Missing" or anyone in "Open Range"... I wouldn't expect a lot of noms for "True Grit" although it is getting more critics award recognition than those films did. (of course I realize that I, along with others, predicted top spots for it) It'll probably do slightly better at the Oscars, maybe picking up nods for technical awards, maybe Bridges.
And they infamously went with Scent of a Woman instead of Unforgiven back in '92. You may have a point here.
I'm with you on thinking this does nothing to hurt its chances at an Oscar nom for pic....10 nominees helps immensely. I don't think anyone would have predicted a directing Oscar nom so I think all is well with the Coens.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:54 am
by The Original BJ
I realize this wasn't the strongest year for humorous flicks, but isn't it a stretch to even consider Alice in Wonderland, Red, and The Tourist comedies?
I continue to stand by my belief that Inception is a very likely Oscar director candidate -- and a certain original screenplay nominee.
I'd feared Mark Ruffalo could be Dennis Quaid-ed out of an Oscar nod, and I hope this fear doesn't come to fruition.
Having seen The Fighter, I doubt Wahlberg carries this nomination much further, but I think it shows genuine enthusiasm for the film.
True Grit might be a lot more vulnerable than some think. Until today, it'd done well enough so far, but could that be because of its release date/pedigree? The Broadcasters touted Nine and Invictus on that precedent last year, before both films opened to real lack of enthusiasm, and suffered in later derbies.
Odd that 127 Hours reaped a nomination for its screenplay -- typically considered its weakest element, even by fans of the film -- but couldn't place in Director or Picture.
The song field this year is disastrously thin. Is Alan Menken going to win ANOTHER Oscar?
What is going on with Manville?
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:54 am
by rolotomasi99
OscarGuy wrote:Reza wrote:Red????? C'mon !!!
I thought RED was exceptionally fun. It's a masterpiece when compared with Alice in Wonderland.
SCOTT PILGRIM VS THE WORLD was CITIZEN KANE compared to ALICE IN WONDERLAND and RED.
I am disappointed the Golden Globes failed to recognize its brilliance.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:43 am
by OscarGuy
Reza wrote:Red????? C'mon !!!
I thought RED was exceptionally fun. It's a masterpiece when compared with Alice in Wonderland.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:34 am
by taki15
Cinemanolis wrote:flipp525 wrote:Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Burlesque”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Red”
“The Tourist”
Now this is what i call embarrassing...
At least we were spared the ignominy of Golden Globe Nominee Christina Aguilera.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:25 am
by Reza
Red????? C'mon !!!
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:10 am
by Uri
criddic3 wrote:How well do Westerns do at the Golden Globes? Looking over the last 15 years, they haven't shown up even when you might expect the could, unless you count "Brokeback Mountain" and "No Country for Old Men." No nods for Brad Pitt in "The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" or Russell Crowe in "3:10 to Yuma" or Cate Blanchett in "The Missing" or anyone in "Open Range"... I wouldn't expect a lot of noms for "True Grit" although it is getting more critics award recognition than those films did. (of course I realize that I, along with others, predicted top spots for it) It'll probably do slightly better at the Oscars, maybe picking up nods for technical awards, maybe Bridges.
And they infamously went with Scent of a Woman instead of Unforgiven back in '92. You may have a point here.
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:08 am
by anonymous1980
Cinemanolis wrote:flipp525 wrote:Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Burlesque”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Red”
“The Tourist”
Now this is what i call embarrassing...
I love Depp/Burton collaborations but Alice in Wonderland is a misfire. Did not like it. At all.
That said, even with an admittedly sparse slate of contenders for this category, this bunch of nominees is embarrassing. I mean, why not Easy A or Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World?
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:52 am
by Bog
Cinemanolis wrote:flipp525 wrote:Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Burlesque”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Red”
“The Tourist”
Now this is what i call embarrassing...
I don't even know how to process that not a single one of Love and Other Drugs, Morning Glory, and How Do You Know- starring 2 lead nominees, Harrison Ford and Diane Keaton, and Jack and James Brooks, respectively, all missed the cut in favor of at least all of these outside Kids.
I'm not saying any of these are great or even worthy, but this is the comedy/musical category...previous three winners are none other than Sweeney Todd, Vicky Cristina Barcelona, and The (frickin) Hangover!!
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:31 am
by criddic3
How well do Westerns do at the Golden Globes? Looking over the last 15 years, they haven't shown up even when you might expect the could, unless you count "Brokeback Mountain" and "No Country for Old Men." No nods for Brad Pitt in "The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford" or Russell Crowe in "3:10 to Yuma" or Cate Blanchett in "The Missing" or anyone in "Open Range"... I wouldn't expect a lot of noms for "True Grit" although it is getting more critics award recognition than those films did. (of course I realize that I, along with others, predicted top spots for it) It'll probably do slightly better at the Oscars, maybe picking up nods for technical awards, maybe Bridges.
Edited By criddic3 on 1292338094
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:23 am
by Cinemanolis
flipp525 wrote:Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Burlesque”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Red”
“The Tourist”
Now this is what i call embarrassing...
Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:16 am
by flipp525
Best Picture – Drama
“Black Swan”
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“The King’s Speech”
“The Social Network”
Best Picture – Musical/Comedy
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Burlesque”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Red”
“The Tourist”
Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, “Black Swan”
David O. Russell, “The Fighter”
Christopher Nolan, “Inception”
Tom Hooper, “The King’s Speech”
David Fincher, “The Social Network”
Best Actor – Drama
Jesse Eisenberg, “The Social Network”
Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
James Franco, “127 Hours”
Ryan Gosling, “Blue Valentine”
Mark Wahlberg, “The Fighter”
Best Actress – Drama
Halle Berry, “Frankie and Alice”
Nicole Kidman, “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
Michelle Williams, “Blue Valentine”
Best Actor – Musical/Comedy
Johnny Depp, “Alice in Wonderland”
Johnny Depp, “The Tourist”
Paul Giamatti, “Barney’s Version”
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Love and Other Drugs”
Kevin Spacey, “Casino Jack”
Best Actress – Musical/Comedy
Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
Anne Hathaway, “Love and Other Drugs”
Angelina Jolie, “The Tourist”
Julianne Moore, “The Kids Are All Right”
Emma Stone, “Easy A”
Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
Michael Douglas, “Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps”
Andrew Garfield, “The Social Network”
Jeremy Renner, “The Town”
Geoffrey Rush, “The King’s Speech”
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”
Mila Kunis, “Black Swan”
Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
Jacki Weaver, “Animal Kingdom”
Best Screenplay
Christopher Nolan, “Inception”
Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, “The Kids Are All Right”
David Seidler, “The King’s Speech”
Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy, “127 Hours”
Aaron Sorkin, “The Social Network”
Best Foreign Language Film
“Biutiful”
“The Concert”
“The Edge”
“I Am Love”
“In a Better World”
Best Animated Feature
“Despicable Me”
“How to Train Your Dragon”
“The Illusionist”
“Tangled”
“Toy Story 3”
Best Original Score
Danny Elfman, “Alice in Wonderland”
Hans Zimmer, “Inception”
Alexandre Desplat, “The King’s Speech”
A.R. Rahman, “127 Hours”
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, “The Social Network”
Best Original Song
“Bound to You” from “Burlesque”
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”
“There’s a Place for Us” from “The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader”
“Coming Home” from “Country Strong”
“I See the Light” from “Tangled”
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Posted: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:14 am
by Cinemanolis
TALLY
7 The King's Speech
6 The Social Network
6 The Fighter
4 Black Swan
4 Inception
4 The Kids are Alright
3 The Tourist
3 127 Hours
3 Burlesque
3 Alice In Wonderland
2 Love and Other Drugs
2 Blue Valentine
2 Tangled
All the other films had 1 nomination
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