Predictions: Golden Globe Style - Just to break it down a bit...

[atomicage]

I appreciate those of you who are submitting your own Globe predictions. I feel that, because it splits Comedy and Drama, it really widens the scope of the season's best.

With that said, I was looking over Big Magilla's predictions, and Original Song caught my eye. For the longest time, I just knew Once would fill half of that category. But now, looking at his and anonymous's predictions, I realized that actually, the field seems a little more solid than the past few years. I hate that whole "three nominee" set-up if it can be avoided.

[Big Magilla]

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Atonement
Gone Baby Gone
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Hairspray
Juno
Once
The Savages
Sweeney Todd

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Frank Langella, Starting Out in the Evening
James McAvoy, Atonement

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: Teh Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ashley Judd, Bug
Keira Knightley, Atonement

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Don Cheadle, Talk to Me
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Tom Hanks, Charlie Wilson's War
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Savages

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd
Marion Cotilliard, La Vie en Rose
Laura Linney, The Savages
Ellen Page, Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Max von Sydow, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild
Vanessa Redgrave, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd
Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Joe Wright, Atonement

BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Atonement (Christopher Hampton)
Away From Her (Sarah Polley)
The Kite Runner (David Benioff)
No Country for Old Men (Ethan and Joel Coen)
There Will Be Blood (Paul Thomas Anderson)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Atonement (Dario Marianelli)
The Kite Runner (Alberto Iglesias)
Lust, Caution (Alexandre Desplat)
Ratatouille (Michael Giacchino)
There Will Be Blood (Jonny Greenwood)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
"Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)", Hairspray, music by Marc Shaiman & lyrics by Scott Whittman
"Falling Slowly", Once; music & lyrics by Glen Hansard
"Guaranteed", Into the Wild; music & lyrics by Eddie Vedder
"A Hero Comes Home", Beowulf, music & lyrics by Alan Silvestri and Glen Ballard
"That's How You Know", Enchanted; music by Alan Menken & lyrics by Stephen Schwartz

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Edge of Heaven (Germany)
La Vie en Rose (France)
Lust, Caution (Taiwan)
The Kiter Runner (USA)
Persepolis (France)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Beowulf
Ratatouille
Shrek the Third



Edited By Big Magilla on 1197453295

[rudeboy]

Isn't Laura Linney's film a comedy? She could do it.

[Penelope]

but it will also leave the Musical/Comedy category open to pretty much just Ellen Page or Helena Bonham Carter to win.

Or, more likely, Amy Adams.

[atomicage]

A few things. (1) I really like Anonymous's nomination predictions. Very interesting. (2) Travolta won the Hollywood award, and I'm wondering if, maybe just maybe, Globe would be the one other award he was nominated for. (3) I think that if Cotillard is made Musical/Comedy, she and Christie will win the top two actress awards. However, putting her in Dramatic is not only going to make that category that much more difficult to predict, but it will also leave the Musical/Comedy category open to pretty much just Ellen Page or Helena Bonham Carter to win.

[Damien]

How do they detemine this? If Ray and, especially, a musical biopic as dramatic as Coal Miner's Daughter are musical/comedy, then how is Dancer in the Dark - a 'true' musical, albeit a very downbeat one, drama?

I

Someimes it's as if they combine the two words "Musical" and "Comedy," thus meaning that dramatic musicals go into the Drama category.

I expect that Cotillard will be put in Drama.

[Hustler]

Really don't think John Travolta is worth an award of any kind for Hairspray

Travolta´s performance in Hairspray is atrocious.

[rudeboy]

Personally, I think Marion Cotillard belongs in the Drama category. She doesn't sing nor is she comedic. However, if Jamie Foxx in Ray is considered a Musical or Comedy performance, then it's pretty likely Cotillard will be as well.

How do they detemine this? If Ray and, especially, a musical biopic as dramatic as Coal Miner's Daughter are musical/comedy, then how is Dancer in the Dark - a 'true' musical, albeit a very downbeat one, drama?

I assume Cotillard will be musical/comedy - they seem to have settled on that as the placement of choice for musical bios, and when there's one in the running the Globe winner is pretty much pre-ordained.

Any info on how Sam Riley in Control will be pushed?



Edited By rudeboy on 1196161368

[Bog]

I think it's going to be a real shame if, what I would consider two of the best lead performances of the year so far go supporting, a third great performance in Gordon Pinsent's goes unnoticed as well, most especially here at the Globes

[Akash]

Really don't think John Travolta is worth an award of any kind for Hairspray

Maybe a GLAAD award. For finally coming out.

[cam]

Really don't think John Travolta is worth an award of any kind for Hairspray

[flipp525]

I think Best Supporting Actor is shaping up to be one of the strongest races this year at the Oscars.



Edited By flipp525 on 1196140293

[anonymous1980]

My predictions for the Globes:

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Atonement
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Hairspray
Juno
Knocked Up
Once
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
James McAvoy, Atonement
Denzel Washington, American Gangster

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotilliard, La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley, Atonement
Laura Linney, The Savages

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
John C. Reilly, Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
Seth Rogen, Knocked Up
John Travolta, Hairspray

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Katherine Heigl, Knocked Up
Ellen Page, Juno
Keri Russell, Waitress

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Romola Garai, Atonement
Vanessa Redgrave, Atonement
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Joe Wright, Atonement
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Todd Haynes, I'm Not There
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Dario Marianelli, Atonement
Alexandre Desplat, The Golden Compass
Alberto Iglesias, The Kite Runner
Alexandre Desplat, Lust, Caution
Michael Giacchino, Ratatouille

BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
"Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)", Hairspray, music by Marc Shaiman & lyrics by Scott Whittman
"Falling Slowly", Once; music & lyrics by Glen Hansard
"Guaranteed", Into the Wild; music & lyrics by Eddie Vedder
"A Hero Comes Home", Beowulf, music & lyrics by Alan Silvestri and Glen Ballard
"That's How You Know", Enchanted; music by Alan Menken & lyrics by Stephen Schwartz

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Edge of Heaven, Germany
La Vie En Rose, France
Lust, Caution, Taiwan
The Orphanage, Spain
Persepolis, France

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Beowulf
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie



Edited By anonymous on 1196138955

[Bog]

That being said, she's supporting and would be a fool to get pushed for lead. Gal's on-screen for all of a half hour at most.

That's the kind of wise thinking that makes sense that exists here on our board, but doesn't seem to elsewhere apparently...to which...

That being said, Affleck's lead and would be foolish to push him for support, guy's on screen for all of 2 hours at least.

[Sabin]

I have yet to read an unkind word about Cate Blanchett. These explanations are so effusive that I'd chalk it largely up to the fact that she's so completely revelatory despite being a steady, award's baiting presence in film for almost a decade...not a bad thing.

That being said, she's supporting and would be a fool to get pushed for lead. Gal's on-screen for all of a half hour at most.