Post-Festival Predictions

[Sabin]

The Holdovers now sits at 83 on metacritic. Hard to see it not continuing upward. Tee is right about general consensus of this as a quality year for Oscar films.

I’ll say that my biggest question mark is The Color Purple. I’m predisposed to writing it off as an underperforming winter musical but maybe it will turn out to be good.

[Big Magilla]

Agree with all your top 8 category predictions except for 2 in Best Director, 1 in Best Actress, and 2 in Best Supporting Actress.

Disagree on Greta Gerwig and Jonathan Glazer over Bradley Cooper and Alexander Payne in Direction. Disagree with Margot Robbie over Fantasia Barrino in Actress although that could change. Disagree with Emily Blunt and Rosamund Pike over Danielle Brooks and Penélope Cruz in Supporting Actress.

[Sabin]

Eh, thoughts?

(Scott Feinberg's new predictions: https://shorturl.at/kqzTW. He seems pretty bullish on American Fiction. I did a slight revision)

BEST PICTURE
Air
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST DIRECTOR
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

BEST ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, Nyad
Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem DaFoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Air
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Past Lives

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All of Us Strangers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
80 for Brady / “Gonna Be Your [by Diane Warren]”
The Color Purple / Some New Song
Barbie / “I’m Just Ken”
Barbie / “What Was I Made For?”
Wish / “This Wish”

BEST ANIMATED FILM:
The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Wish

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST FILM EDITING
Barbie
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie
The Color Purple
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Poor Things

BEST MAKEUP
Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol, 3
Maestro
Napoleon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST SOUND
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Napoleon
Oppenheimer

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Napoleon
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse