New Oscar Predictions
(End of July/VENICE & TIFF FESTIVAL ANNOUNCEMENT Update)
(Just realized these are some Rock Solid BP Nominee Predictions)
Best Motion Picture of the Year:
WINNER
Call Me By Your Name
![Image](https://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/vulture/2017/07/31/31-call-me-by-your-name.w710.h473.jpg)
Nominees
Downsizing
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Florida Project
Last Flag Flying
The Papers
The Shape of Water
Suburbicon
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
SUMMARY: The Trailer for the inevitable Best Picture of 2017 will be dropping in less than 10 Hours, hold onto your seats “pundits.” In regards to ‘Detroit’, It has been receiving loads of Critical Acclaim, but there has been a growing dislike for the film for several reasons; Consistent Brutality, No Major Female Characters of Color, White Director and Screenwriter, Being “Hollow”, Craft and Narrative, and SO on. Most of these are political reasons, and that might be what’ll hold it back. It’s everything that held by Zero Dark Thirty from winning Best Picture x10. 'Suburbicon' and 'The Shape of Water' will be making it out the festivals as major contenders, while 'The Florida Project' could be a potential hit or miss by now, It all depends If It makes it to Telluride.
Best Actor in a Leading Role
WINNER
Daniel Day Lewis - Phantom Thread
![Image](http://res.cloudinary.com/jpress/image/fetch/w_700,f_auto,ar_3:2,c_fill/http://www.blackpoolgazette.co.uk/webimage/1.8491205.1492075124!/image/image.jpg)
Nominees
Andrew Garfield - Breathe
Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
Matt Damon - Suburbicon
SUMMARY: After weeks upon weeks of guessing who'll be nominated for Best Actor in the fifth slot, I've finally came to the conclusion of the one, the only; Matt Damon. The trailer already signifies that, with his Dorky Presence mixed with his Darkly Comedic and Violent Antics, It just reeks of the witty yet dramatic-esc performance he gave in 'The Martian.' That could definitely propel him. As for Garfield, If Claire Foy can win leading actress for ‘Breathe’; then the Oscar for Best Actor could definitely land in the hands of a retiring Day Lewis. The notion that "Oldman is a lock even if the film itself is dry", won't hold too much weight when Awards Season finally hits full stride. After seeing the trailer, It seem likely he'll be a perfect filler Oscar Bait nom. And this point, I guess we'll have to see the film to judge if any of us are correct in regards to Oldman. I can’t picture in my head a nomination for Washington, especially considering It’s a Dan Gilroy Film. I even had a weird dream in which I saw the trailer, and he seemed like Eddie Murphy’s Nutty Professor if he had the voice of the Jerry Lewis rendition, and I believe I’m might not be too far off. Not declaring he has absolutely NO chances. But as of right now, his chances might only seem to go as far as a Golden Globe nom.
Best Actress in a Leading Role:
WINNER
Claire Foy - Breathe
![Image](https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/xifWtgF9prnaGenMsehYgpKlTNHpENldP8lkZmFXvlUiTui-Fl6p4qbPJIQH3jNEOna4yWw12uvS15nNKfER_o49uP_V6UYCz2jiCT14sd0LWbIQOLIvulviKWbqmdkmAdol1Rk-1b_WcKSWAhYuUTvZpYpFPDW5km5AfTN4m8wZUkUw91peV8naR-W46xFXPo6xQZxMkA5yHeU_tHa7xXVyiuG7Y_r27GDcz28TIoR0n0rzwtEB6JuZT9af7qFg_BFeS-8z9BRdDbl5ql_-jbWciiIYwzzhcE-hAPC2qd_uRbII-wWRRG21FYSRWlDzG75FMG6Mv74Hl1MS9jazmvmOMYUWFaS9e9SE0Lh-VkexCVLMfnZM7bvyk4Uw74hAok3jfSrJXoD7iBO0x4GwAsTQ0s6YRK6ezi6BqhSKp5hPi-mb8zvqbNZ9biucV8ZWOKbDug7C01yxgOpk8KvViJ-CopHyEdbl-fopFK_IfB-8ihHaLX4bdHOCkw4qFcIoYYaMD3mIW27HYujwQG8DWLzYgXBnqjYJB5-3WmD5vRPBYOcYjieeDkxn9hvQHlOuWFAezCOOBGx1HKprHp1McmgNkNqVNdfDd1c61q3XuOQ31PWCkFuesr5B=w650-h513-no)
Nominees
Daniela Vega - A Fantastic Woman
Jennifer Lawrence - Mother!
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Kate Winslet - Wonder Wheel
SUMMARY: This category might just be a big cluster fuck in the making. We have; Dench, Streep, Vega, Foy, McDormand, Winslet, Lawrence, Hawkins, Robbie, Stone, Weisz, and
GAAAHHH!! If 'Victoria and Abdul' is decent enough, then Dench would definitely be a perfect shoe-inn nomination like she was 3 years ago. And as for Meryl, I'm still keeping her for Supporting, even though she might be heading for lead, (because she's Meryl.) As for Foy and Vega; Foy will definitely be building some momentum, and I think
bizzare has officially convinced me on her, but I'm still keeping my bottom dollar in my pocket for Vega. Voters wouldn't want to pass up on making Oscar History. However, along with the Netflix TV ‘The Crown’, and her Emmy nomination, everyone is considering her a star in the making. A Very Young and Talented Actress who’s slowly climbing up the latter, plus she has an Oscar Role, PLUS she’s British? Oscar Winner for Best Actress anyone?
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
WINNER
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me By Your Name
![Image](https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/2CnQIWqIp9kMvIEnv70dpqQsZ-mIGMYbyGIE_eqqJrc90r_uk44C-mEPh_tMLmejX3bYPBFIJL2SvPcPFLXzvWYSvKMxVv_LWQ8Je-0m_GiXfulLICcYMrcyPIotz8ZSAJRscy3gKmNOLRpNJ1INBcxsJqmbbOibl61M1CUEoVmWPEiFmIKoTqL-ld38L-lF9x1HxA52NT-oB50HVj-B-Y3M0-6O50MB-_KIKg82zDNXcPPhqVbj9-D-xLbP7na3loGN5sl6VgPbtuTwsLSoNS1pI7TfzseJHhMA3nPU-rQ1p0ivPC03nxf4mTaJtbknGKMW6UI8exjFrOo4PrbgK0z3tk53KXnBG_FvVMKcOgPMm5zerONNNxCU8fMSsFzp3BvzjV04Ef1vq4bScnarHo6W84rr7gO7I7YU0mvWEGm67dSx4JS8Sm2qWdbhURxOsK8rCnVcotA8cVjNYF9SBtiw2GuLzereTUE9qQCJx-y6GIqdVznNU9fcLGRvYaYUMmW4E3XUg7pG1OUR5ZwFohM_RMIiHXvhc3dLPSEusGlBam2WSxBx-JQWpvZnii52yuNueuAWOXmTXcnIH2ssfjR_mnIT6Ur9Ldy-DWrP0TV-TwHjXGwdKeIL=w720-h485-no)
Nominees
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Bryan Cranston - Last Flag Flying
Javier Bardem - Mother!
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
SUMMARY: Already explained on why Stuhlbarg could be an early lock, case closed for now on that one. As for Harrelson and Bardem; Bardem I’ve been keeping here for a little bit, and I’m starting to warm up to the possibility of his nomination more and more, although he could easily drop at any time. And for Harrelson, out of all the “Oscar Roles” he’s taken up this year, this is the one that seems the most likely to get himself nominated. ‘Three Billboards’ is looking to have huge success for awards potential. Although he does have a bigger chance to drop out than Bardem, I’m keeping him there for now. Boyega and Poulter are already out due to the negative press the film has received.
danfrank wrote:I just want to add my voice to the chorus saying that Mark Rylance will not be nominated.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
WINNER
Melissa Leo – Novitiate
![Image](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5339a608e4b069950dedfa0f/56bcd1c9859fd06c3afccc94/56bcd250c6fc087c889fcfad/1488199369993/5.JPG?format=750w)
Nominees
Michelle Pfeiffer - Mother!
Meryl Streep - The Papers
Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread
Julianne Moore – Suburbicon
SUMMARY: Since I’m moving Foy to Leading Actress, I’m going back with my earlier prediction in Melissa Leo taking the Academy Award. I see a scenario in which Streep takes all the major awards, (Ala; Golden Globe and BAFTA), before Leo snabs an SAG that’ll lead towards an inevitable victory. I originally had Pfeiffer in Streep’s Place, but after seeing those 30 seconds, (I know, we apparently live in a world where we can judge a film based on half a minute,) I’m pondering what kind of role she has in the film, I suppose I can finally judge when the official trailer drops, (whenever that is.) Moore in ‘Suburbicon’, playing the role of an Aunt under constant stress and paranoia, doing all sorts of drugs, PLUS she’s Julianne Moore? Nomination, very likely IMO.
Best Achievement in Directing
WINNER
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
![Image](http://storage.torontosun.com/v1/suns-prod-images/1297973500358_ORIGINAL.jpg?quality=80)
Nominees
Luca Guadagno - Call Me By Your Name
Alexander Payne - Downsizing
Sean Baker - The Florida Project
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
SUMMARY: I had faith in either Guadagno or Baker until now, I was convinced in Alexander Payne at one point. That's until Nolan came up in July, and punched everyone in the face. July has essentially been the month of Dunkirk, and I believe It's also the month where we've all came to the realization that It'll be a cakewalk for him. An easy sweep for Nolan. As well as a technical sweep for 'Dunkirk.' As for Del Toro, It's a visual feast, has a sentimental factor with political allegories. Plus he's been considered due for a nom. And if he doesn't make the cut; expect Jordan Peele, or maybe even Clooney,
(Possibly.)
Best Original Screenplay
WINNER
Alexander Payne - Downsizing
Nominees
Jordan Peele - Get Out
Liz Hannah, Josh Singer - The Papers
George Clooney, Joel and Ethan Coen, Grant Heslov - Suburbicon
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
SUMMARY: Payne has already won 2 Oscars, so that in all honestly could be the only thing holding him down from winning Original Screenplay for the Social Satire. 'Downsizing' is expected to break out BIG, and Payne is probably the only person who could take down Nolan for Director, although his film might just win Screenplay and possibly some Tech Wins.
Best Adapted Screenplay
WINNER
James Ivory - Call Me By Your Name
Nominees
Sebastián Lelio, Rebecca Lenkiewicz - Disobedience
Andrew Haigh - Lean on Pete
Richard Linklater - Last Flag Flying
Margaret Betts - Novitate
SUMMARY: Like I said earlier:
ThePianist wrote:Like others have said, even If the film doesn't win Best Picture, he'll definitely win for Adapted Screenplay.
Best Cinematography
WINNER
Hoyte Van Hoytema - Dunkirk
Nominees
Roger Deakins - Blade Runner 2049
Sayombhu Mukdeeprom - Call Me By Your Name
Alexis Zabe - The Florida Project
Dan Laustsen - The Shape of Water
Best Costume Design
WINNER
Phantom Thread
Nominees
Beauty and the Beast
Dunkirk
The Papers
Victoria and Abdul
Best Sound Mixing
WINNER
Dunkirk
Nominees
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Papers
The Shape of Water
Best Film Editing
WINNER
Dunkirk
Nominees
Dunkirk
The Papers
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Suburbicon
Best Sound Mixing
WINNER
Dunkirk
Nominees
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Papers
The Shape of Water
Best Visual Effects
WINNER
Blade Runner 2049
Nominees
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
WINNER
The Shape of Water
Nominees
Darkest Hour
Wonderstruck