NY Film Critics' Predictions

[Sabin]

Best Film: West Side Story
Best Director: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Best Actress: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Best Supporting Actress: Ruth Negga, Passing
Best Screenplay: Licorice Pizza
Best Animated Film: Flee
Best Cinematography: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Non-Fiction Film: The Velvet Underground
Best Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car
Best First Film: The Lost Daughter

[anonymous1980]

I’ll throw my hat in the ring:

Picture: “The Power of the Dog”
Director: Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog”
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Power of the Dog”
Actress: Olivia Colman, “The Lost Daughter”
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog”
Supporting Actress: Ruth Negga, “Passing”
Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, “Licorice Pizza”
Animated Feature: “Flee”
Documentary Feature: “Summer of Soul”
Foreign Language Film: “Drive My Car”
First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal, “The Lost Daughter”
Cinematography: Robbie Ryan, “C’mon, C’mon”

[Mister Tee]

There'll be probably fewer than 24 hours between NBR's announcement and the kick-off to NY's voting, so I thought I'd post these now. I continue my long-established pattern of predicting a winner and two runners-up, though NY has long ceased publicizing its also-rans. One exception: first film, where it's hard for me to believe any but those two has a shot.

Film: Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog/Parallel Mothers

Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)/Simon Rex (Red Rocket)

Actress: Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter)
Kristen Stewart (Spencer)/Penelope Cruz (Parallel Mothers)

S. Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)/Richard Jenkins (The Humans)

S. Actress: Nina Arianda (Being the Ricardos)
Ruth Negga (Passing)/Kathryn Hunter (The Tragedy of Macbeth)

Director: Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)/Pedro Almodovar (Parallel Mothers)
(This is partly based on knowing Campion already won here back in '93, while Anderson never has.)

Screenplay: The Lost Daughter
The Power of the Dog/Licorice Pizza

Cinematography: The Power of the Dog
Dune/The Tragedy of Macbeth

First Film: The Lost Daughter
Passing

Animated Film: Flee
Encanto/Luca

Documentary: Flee
Summer of Soul/The Velvet Underground

International Film: Drive My Car
The Worst Person in the World/Parallel Mothers