dws1982 wrote:Mister Tee wrote:They DID do a foreign-language consolation round, making it a tie between Burning and Shoplifters. (I was trying to decide which to go see tomorrow, and this doesn't help.)
I'd say
Burning, because
Shoplifters will probably be around a little longer.
Leaning that way myself, since there's only one show of Burning, while a full day of shows for Shoplifters, suggesting it has a longer shelf life.
So, what happened here? Roma continued its winning ways. We'll have to wait on NSFC to see if it manages the still pretty rare triple of the classic groups. The Granik choice, while connected to a liked film, seemed a bit of a message -- as if to say, Cuaron already won here for Gravity, he's winning other awards even today (see the Second Tier thread), so why not promote a woman? Women also somewhat unexpectedly won screenplay and New Generation prizes, making it appear somewhat calculated.
The Colman win keeps to LA's tradition of avoiding American actresses. Since Vera Farmiga's win in 2005, only Patricia Arquette's bumped-from-supporting victory in 2014 has given an American actress a solo win. Meantime, Ethan Hawke today became the seventh such American actor winner in the same period. Quite an ongoing oddity.
Another oddity: according to someone at another site, Crash is the last movie to win the best picture Oscar without first taking at least one prize from NY or LA. So, A Star is Born or Green Book would be bucking statistics.
Regina King seems to be running unopposed for best supporting actress right now. Ethan Hawke has won almost as many prizes, but still almost everyone thinks Bradley Cooper can't be caught. Could anything change that perception?
Best actress seems a muddle, not least because many, like these critics, aren't certain if Colman is lead or not. Something like six different actresses have won awards so far. it's always possible that, like last year, the TV awards could hand down an edict and wreck the suspense, but right now this looks like a race that could stay interesting.
Steven Yeun won two awards today, and still seems an extreme long shot. Richard E. Grant is best-positioned for the category, but I wonder if his performance with critics' groups is a tad shy of the steamroller he needs to overcome his film's commercial shortfall.
Can You Ever Forgive Me? seemed a likely score with the writers' branch anyway, but this award should help.
It's strange for the major critics' groups to go so strongly for the highly commercial animated feature, while the lesser groups seem to prefer Isle of Dogs.
And here, in the one year where we have multiple commercially-hot documentaries, we have NY and LA ignoring all three of RBG/Neighbor/Strangers to promote less-prominent efforts. Odd they didn't do some of the same when they were all clustering around Amy or O.J.