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by ThePianist
Fri Sep 15, 2017 7:22 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

It seems Battle of the Sexes has no chance for a nomination, Darkest Hour is a somewhat well-received Drama that'll receive a BP Nom to even further benefit Oldman, and I'm still a bit iffy on Lady Bird's Chances to get in. That just leaves Three Billboards and The Florida Project. And while Three B...
by ThePianist
Fri Sep 15, 2017 11:53 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Here's a neat analysis I've heard; Every BP winner after The Departed had a screening at either Cannes, Venice or Telluride. And also had a US release before December. If the coincidental trend doesn't stop, one of these film could win Best Picture: https://image.tmdb.org/t/p/w92/pD2Ttx8SCKHfA8H1cUC...
by ThePianist
Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:47 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Anyone else a bit nervous about how safe Oldman's win feels right now?
by ThePianist
Thu Sep 14, 2017 6:45 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

SHIT! I meant to say Metcalf :oops: :lol: Appy-polly loggies

Yeah, she's been getting loads of buzz, might be even stronger than Ronan. I'm still wondering If A24 can balance both TFP and LB.
by ThePianist
Thu Sep 14, 2017 6:04 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Lady Bird. She's been getting loads of raves for it.
by ThePianist
Wed Sep 13, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

The current race for BP seems rather open. Most people have (for whatever reason) already concluded what'll win: Oldman, Hawkins, Dafoe, del Toro or Nolan, (with Supporting Actress still said to be rather debatable; Leo, Chau, Metcalf.) And strangely enough, I'm somewhat on the same page, (except fo...
by ThePianist
Wed Sep 13, 2017 4:25 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Well that explains a lot, I was wondering what was going on with Close's Film. And I also concur that It was wise to bump it up, this leading actress category seems like It's going to be a bloodbath. :lol:
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 6:42 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

And If the AMPAS are still burnt out on Hanks, then there's still a chance Washington gets in, (if Gyllenhaal doesn't make it.)
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 6:36 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Our whole point is, which you utterly fail to grasp, is that at this point in the game, claiming to know anything with certainty is a fool's errand. Washington's film may have gotten a mixed reaction, but Washington is one of those actors who could get nominated for reading the phone book (kinda li...
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 3:46 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Speaking of TIFF; Anyone else besides me predicting 'The Shape of Water' wins the Audience Award?
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 3:37 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Who knew that Chocolat would go from being a mediocrely reviewed film to a Best Picture nominee. Sometimes, thinking we know everything is worse than thinking we no nothing. Neato. That was Miramax; 17 years ago Mirmax we're talking about. Plus, there wasn't a whole lot of strong contenders for BP ...
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 3:31 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Yeah -- like we all knew La La Land had best picture nailed in September. Why does this have anything to do with this year's Best Actor race? So you're telling me It doesn't matter that 'Roman J. Israel, Esq.' received very harsh mixed reviews at TIFF, and that It'll somehow garner raves when It's ...
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 2:38 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Garfield's film is already getting mega-panned as a cold, and lifeless 'Theory of Everything', (check out TIFF reviews.) And 'Roman J. Israel, Esq.' is getting mixed/negative reviews, while mostly praising Washington. Plus, If there's no-one else but Oldman, Chalamet, Day-Lewis, and Hanks; I can see...
by ThePianist
Tue Sep 12, 2017 7:10 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

I suppose we should wait until BFI LFF and NYFF for any reassurance, but IS CRANSTON LEADING OR SUPPORTING? This category is getting pretty tight; with Garfield out of the race, and Denzel potentially flopping. Gyllenhaal seems like a safe bet for a nom; with the raves his film and his performance h...
by ThePianist
Mon Sep 11, 2017 6:04 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto
Replies: 235
Views: 19158

Re: Oscar Predictions & Race Discussion Thread - July to Toronto

Reviews for 'Roman J. Israel, Esq' so far have been slightly positive/mixed, whilst praising Washington's performance. This might have convinced me to boot Washington back down again. I always knew his reputation alone wouldn't result in an Oscar Nomination. Denzel Washington for 'Roman Israel, Esq'...

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