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by Sabin
Sat Feb 24, 2024 8:39 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: SAG Thoughts/Winners to be Added
Replies: 19
Views: 749

Re: SAG Thoughts/Winners to be Added

Well, I'll start Outstanding Performance by a Cast Ensemble: Oppenheimer Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Lead Role: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Lead Role: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in...
by Sabin
Thu Feb 22, 2024 2:33 pm
Forum: 2023
Topic: The Zone of Interest reviews
Replies: 14
Views: 4767

Re: The Zone of Interest reviews

flipp525 wrote Has literally no one seen this besides me and Tee? Strange how little discussion there is about what I find one of the best films of the year. I pointed out below that it should be a strong contender for Best Sound (which I stated pre-BAFTA win). I will be predicting it at the Oscars...
by Sabin
Wed Feb 21, 2024 1:23 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: WGA Nominations
Replies: 3
Views: 1797

WGA Nominations

Winners are probably: -Barbie -American Fiction (or Oppenheimer) -Uh... Pigeon Tunnel? ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Air Barbie The Holdovers May December Past Lives ADAPTED SCREENPLAY American Fiction Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. Killers of the Flower Moon Nyad Oppenheimer DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY Bel...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 20, 2024 9:54 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Cinematography
Replies: 8
Views: 514

Re: Categories One-by-One: Cinematography

Mister Tee wrote But what if ASC follows its British cousins and goes for Poor Things? It's not as if the film isn't stunningly photographed -- I'd put the lighting of the skies in Lisbon up against any image in Oppenheimer. Would we simply say, ASC being weird, and stick to our Oppenheimer guns? A...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 20, 2024 1:47 pm
Forum: 2023
Topic: Killers of the Flower Moon reviews
Replies: 26
Views: 20431

Re: Killers of the Flower Moon reviews

Rewatched Killers of the Flower Moon. I think it's an easier movie to admire than to love but there's lots to admire. It's full of exciting filmmaking and it's an engrossing (if still a bit unclear) world. But in talking what's so great about it, I can't help but feel it's like describing a beautifu...
by Sabin
Mon Feb 19, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Makeup and Hairstyling
Replies: 8
Views: 645

Re: Categories One-by-One: Makeup and Hairstyling

This is probably the only Oscar race I can think of where I was both 100% confident in at least a mini-sweep by one film but every other category was a coin flip. Oppenheimer seems destined to walk away with at least six Oscars: Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Original Score, Cinematograph...
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:00 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: BAFTA WINNERS
Replies: 17
Views: 810

Re: BAFTA WINNERS

Over on the DGA Winner thread, we have a conversation about the number of competitive races. At this point, the only categories I would consider open and shut are all Oppenheimer (Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Original Score, Cinematography, Film Editing) plus Da'Vine Joy Randolph and I ...
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:37 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Best Picture Ballot
Replies: 17
Views: 1158

Re: Best Picture Ballot

I'm holding off on presenting my rankings but at this point I think Poor Things is the average favorite film of the nominees of the board despite being nobody's favorite. Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, and Past Lives split both top of the middle of the rank.
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 3:58 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag
Replies: 4
Views: 669

Re: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag

Big Magilla wrote I watched a couple of interviews by TV reporters of Russian supporters of Navalny who were shocked that none of his supporters thought he would die in prison. They thought he would be the Russian George Washington, but instead turned out to be the Russian Martin Luther King. It's ...
by Sabin
Sat Feb 17, 2024 1:06 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: New Developments III
Replies: 3003
Views: 804942

Re: New Developments III

Last week went about as poorly for Biden as a week could go. His cleanest line to knocking Trump off the ballot dissipated, the Hur report dropped, and Biden's immediate response (while not IMO pointing to senility) did nothing to help him. And the return of Jon Stewart didn't spare Biden an inch sa...
by Sabin
Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:55 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag
Replies: 4
Views: 669

Re: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag

Someone should say something... I remember when Jeffrey Epstein died in prison, there were a handful of people "Let's not rush to judgement"-ed it. It was as fishy a death as any I've seen until this week. Is there anybody who read the news and didn't immediately jump to logical conclusion...
by Sabin
Wed Feb 14, 2024 7:50 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: New Developments III
Replies: 3003
Views: 804942

Re: New Developments III

I'm posting this because literally months ago, a friend asked me under what circumstances at this point would someone other than Biden be the nominee and I basically laid out these scenarios. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/12/joe-biden-democrat-plan-b-nominee-00140790 I'm a bit mixed...
by Sabin
Wed Feb 14, 2024 11:55 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 1013

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Okri wrote Thanks Sabin. Some thoughts a) I could very well be making a race where there isn't any. I have a tendency to do that. So, in that vein... I don't take the BFCA very seriously, if I'm being honest. I don't view them as dispositive. I almost assume that Gladstone lost because there was st...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 13, 2024 9:05 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 1013

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Okri wrote What precursor advantage specifically? Globe + BFCA but losing the Oscar? Jessica Chastain had that for Zero Dark Thirty. So did Glenn Close (+ the SAG). Probably not worth anything, but Stone didn't win the BFCA in 2016 - Portman did. I also don't think that Stone is in an "Oscar-y...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:24 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 1013

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Well, I'm not going to be a weenie and I am going to comment on the race. I think it's going to be Emma Stone. I posted something to this effect in another thread but I'll be brief. I just think for Emma Stone to not be considered the favorite going into Oscar night, she'd have to start to get reall...

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