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Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2009 1:28 pm
by Zahveed
rolotomasi99 wrote:VanHelsing wrote:I think The Proposal will do My Big Fat Greek Wedding's numbers. YES! Thank you!
Ryan Reynolds is so yummy.
No offense to your beloved Sandra Bullock, but if Reynolds was the assistant to Hugh Jackman and they entered into a phony marriage to keep Jackman in the country...well, that is a movie I would pay to see. You know all the gay boys would be there, plus the straight ladies would love it. You might even get some closeted fan boys who would say they are going just to enjoy the "chemistry" between Wolverine and Deadpool.
All the movies in the alternative universe I live in are awesome. Sadly they never get made in the real world.
Your suggested premise seems much more entertaining than the real one. It's like a more respectable Chuck and Larry.
Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2009 10:04 am
by rolotomasi99
VanHelsing wrote:I think The Proposal will do My Big Fat Greek Wedding's numbers. YES! Thank you!
Ryan Reynolds is so yummy.
No offense to your beloved Sandra Bullock, but if Reynolds was the assistant to Hugh Jackman and they entered into a phony marriage to keep Jackman in the country...well, that is a movie I would pay to see. You know all the gay boys would be there, plus the straight ladies would love it. You might even get some closeted fan boys who would say they are going just to enjoy the "chemistry" between Wolverine and Deadpool.
All the movies in the alternative universe I live in are awesome. Sadly they never get made in the real world.
Posted: Fri Jun 05, 2009 8:13 am
by VanHelsing
I think The Proposal will do My Big Fat Greek Wedding's numbers. YES! Thank you!
Posted: Mon Jun 01, 2009 2:33 am
by Sabin
This coming Friday gives us Land of the Lost which will certainly eat into it. I now anticipate a mild dip over the course of the next week but Up will perform better than I had initially anticipated. I still predict a $180 mil take which will place it beneath any other PIXAR film even whilst adjusting for inflation but certainly nothing to scoff at.
Posted: Sun May 31, 2009 10:35 pm
by Franz Ferdinand
With a 98% on RT and an A+ score from CinemaScore - and no real family competition until the dreck that will be Ice Age 3 - Up has the month of June to itself, and will be the movie to beat for the summer. We can reasonably count on a 4.0 internal multiplier for opening-weekend-to-final-gross, which would give it around $272M. Add in the foregone conclusion of an Oscar for Animated Feature and a very lucrative run on DVD, and Up continues the Pixar winning streak, which I am very happy about.
There were some websites showing concern about its Friday numbers, noting that Pixar is the rare beast where its movies, designed mainly for younger viewers, have a definite fanboy appeal to them. Every opening for the company since Cars has seen lower and lower Friday-to-Sunday multipliers, indicating a fanboy rush to see the movies on the first day. With Up's above 3.0 multiplier, it is a sign of very good things to come.
Due to circumstances, this was the first Pixar movie since Toy Story 2 that I didn't get to see during the opening weekend, but I cannot wait until Thursday night. I am also planning to see Drag Me to Hell sometime soon - what a weekend for quality releases and I missed out!
Posted: Sun May 31, 2009 7:05 pm
by Sabin
Up is expected to pull in $68 mil by the end of the weekend. I don't know what kind of legs this film will have but that's pretty awesome. PIXAR's winning streak continues.
Night at the Museum 2 dropped 53% for a $25 mil take raising its cum to $105 mil. With a $150 mil budget, it should turn a modest profit. Terminator 4 grabbed $16 dipping 62% for a $91 mil take. With a $200 mil budget before P&A, this is fairly alarming for a sequel that was fast-tracked before the Strike and was poised to relaunch a franchise. Star Trek grabs $13 mil and stands at $209, and Angels and Demons grabs $11 mil and stands at $105 mil. Dance Flick dropped 54% with a $5 mil take standing at almost $20 mil. And Wolverine grabbed almost $4 mil standing at $171 mil, which all things considered is much stronger than many had thought.
Drag Me to Hell took in almost $17 mil on 2.5 thousand screens with a $6,500-ish per screen. Pretty good.
Posted: Sat May 30, 2009 7:02 pm
by Sabin
Up opened to $21 mil (!) its opening day, only $2 mil behind WALL*E's opening day gross. Not bad. I hope it continues. Solid film that deserves to do very well. As expected, Up drank up a lot of Night at the Museum 2's footing as its Friday gross is a little above $7 mil, and faring worse is T4 with $5 mil on Friday.
Star Trek dipped less than 38% to pull in $3.8 on its fourth Friday as it moves past Monsters vs. Aliens to become the year's highest grossing film and crossed the $200 mil mark last Wednesday. And Angels and Demons continues to hang in with $3.4 mil on Friday for $97 mil down 43%. This is a lower drop than The Da Vinci Code but with a lower take. Worldwide, this film is doing gangbusters.
Posted: Fri May 29, 2009 4:26 pm
by rolotomasi99
Witht the reviews bordering on ecstatic and little in way of competition for like-minded audiences, I predict DRAG ME TO HELL could be the sleeper hit of the summer. I could see it having a $40 million opening, with a $150 million or more final take.
Hopefully UP does $70 million or more its first weekend. Pixar films always deserve to rewarded for their excellence with financial success.
Two well made popcorn films released on the same weekend in the summer. Who would think such a thing was possible?
*edit*
Nevermind! Friday estimates make it look like UP will make $65 million (decent) and DRAG ME TO HELL will make $20 million (good enough for this type of flick).
Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1243706393
Posted: Tue May 26, 2009 1:00 am
by Sabin
If Bale was a draw, then The Prestige (awesome) would have outperformed The Illusionist, which didn't begin to happen. He's a marble-mouthed middle-weight.
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 10:08 pm
by rolotomasi99
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 7:20 pm
by Sonic Youth
Of course I have no proof, but I don't think it's unreasonable to assume that Terminator fans skew older, and are therefore more likely to heed reviews. Plus, "Wolverine" had Hugh Jackman and "Marvel Productions presents..." to fall back on. There's nothing from the original Terminator films other than the basic concept. Honestly, I have no idea why "Wolverine" was such a first-weekend smash, but I don't see why whatever happened there would mean something similar would work in "Terminator Salvation's" favor. Maybe "Wolverine" was so bad, general audiences decided the same thing would happen with "TS".
And unless the movie in question is titled "Batman Salvation", I see no evidence that Bale is a box office draw yet. Huge box office for the first three Batman films didn't ensure Michael Keaton and Val Kilmer would be draws in other projects.
Edited By Sonic Youth on 1243297467
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 4:12 pm
by Sabin
Estimates are that T4 stands at $67 mil and Night at the Museum at $70, the former with a $200 budget before P&A and the latter with $150. No question who the winner is. If T4 is plummeting this much over the course of one weekend, it'll crawl past $100 to around $120 or so. We won't know about Night at the Museum for a couple weeks. It has to brave Up and Land of the Lost, both of which will almost guaranteed dig into its legs. I'm going to predict Night at the Museum grabs $170 mil.
In other news, Star Trek dips only 31.7% to nab $29 mil in its third weekend, standing with $191 mil. Pretty awesome. No reason to believe it will lag beneath $20 for a few more weeks. Angels and Demons drops only 40% to $27 standing at $88, a higher take than I'd have imagined. However, with a $150 budget before P&A, it has to count as something of a disappointment. Worldwide, it'll do just fine. Wolverine Origins dips 31% to $10 and stands at $165. Also not bad. It's budget stands at $150 but with P&A probably cost closer to $200. Wolverine Origins will end up outperforming Terminator 4.
Dance Flick opens to $13 with a $25 budget and should have no problem pulling a tidy profit eventually.
This coming weekend no doubt will bring the best movie of the summer and one can hope it out-performs Night at the Museum.
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 10:58 am
by Zahveed
I think McG deserves a lot of credit for this.
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 8:51 am
by OscarGuy
That didn't stop X-Men Origins: Wolverine from making $85 M opening weekend. And it's not like Christian Bale isn't a well known name now, as Batman.
I would like to think it was the franchise dying and believe me, I'm happy about it, but that it opened with so little is the surprising thing to me.
Posted: Sun May 24, 2009 11:10 pm
by Sabin
Exactly. I didn't see it because I knew it was going to be terrible and everyone I know who saw it said it was. Word of mouth disaster. Make a good movie next time.
Avatar -- $200