Re: Would You Support A Progressive Primary Challenge To Oba
Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2011 12:32 pm
I don't have time to post my full-length response but, in brief:
1) Obama is a VERY strong candidate for re-election despite the economy, just as Reagan was in 1983 (when the recession was still very much underway). He's a charismatic incumbent with a major policy change (health care) and foreign policy success (bin Laden's killing) under his belt. The Lichtman system, which I've advocated for here in the past, says it would take an historic reversal of fortune for him not to win in 2012.
2) But if you want to do your best to put a Republican in thw White House, go ahead and mount a primary challenge. Ask the incumbents of 1912, 1952, 1968 and 1980 how well that worked out. It's the kiss of death for a party holding the presidency.
I've come to the sad conclusion that some Dem lefties are just as short-sighted and lacking in political knowledge as their Tea Party opposites.
1) Obama is a VERY strong candidate for re-election despite the economy, just as Reagan was in 1983 (when the recession was still very much underway). He's a charismatic incumbent with a major policy change (health care) and foreign policy success (bin Laden's killing) under his belt. The Lichtman system, which I've advocated for here in the past, says it would take an historic reversal of fortune for him not to win in 2012.
2) But if you want to do your best to put a Republican in thw White House, go ahead and mount a primary challenge. Ask the incumbents of 1912, 1952, 1968 and 1980 how well that worked out. It's the kiss of death for a party holding the presidency.
I've come to the sad conclusion that some Dem lefties are just as short-sighted and lacking in political knowledge as their Tea Party opposites.