January predictions
After the boring across-the-board precursory consensus of 2007 and 2008, is anyone else excited by the possibility that this year we could have a real Oscar race?
I realize there's still time for the Globes/Guild Awards to fall in line and render this year a dull trek to the Oscar finish line, but the fact that there's a likely potential for non-consensus excites me. Isn't it more than possible for example for Up in the Air to win the Golden Globe, Avatar to win PGA, Hurt Locker to win DGA, and Inglorious Basterds (or something else) to win SAG? And wouldn't that give us a genuine race?
I realize there's still time for the Globes/Guild Awards to fall in line and render this year a dull trek to the Oscar finish line, but the fact that there's a likely potential for non-consensus excites me. Isn't it more than possible for example for Up in the Air to win the Golden Globe, Avatar to win PGA, Hurt Locker to win DGA, and Inglorious Basterds (or something else) to win SAG? And wouldn't that give us a genuine race?
I'm not sure then. Is there any precedent with nominees/winners and their DVD sales?Big Magilla wrote:It won't be re-released. It comes out on DVD next Tuesday.Zahveed wrote:4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.
"It's the least most of us can do, but less of us will do more."
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Zahveed wrote:4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.
It won't be re-released. It comes out on DVD next Tuesday.
Edited By Big Magilla on 1262801521
My thoughts (some obvious):
1.) If there is an animated film nominated for Best Picture, it will be Up - if only based on pedigree. I think Fantastic Mr. Fox is the better picture but it isn't brought up outside of Anderson fans and animation enthusiasts. Up will not win if nominated.
2.) If one of the sci-fi/action films outside of Avatar is nominated, it will be District 9. A few years ago most people were predicting The Simpsons Movie would be the third nomination for Best Animated Picture, but it wasn't. This could probably be attributed to the fact it was based of a running television show, as some have pointed out that year. Star Trek has had bunch of movies and several TV programs, including spin-offs, under its belt. Its inclusion seems highly unlikely.
3.) If only one comedy is nominated, it will be (500) Days of Summer. It won't be the overrated Hangover or the underperforming A Serious Man (yet to see it), but Michael Stuhlbarg could still get a nod and screenplay is more than likely. (I know I put it down on my predictions, but I didn't say there couldn't be more than one comedy in the bunch).
4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.
5.) Avatar won't win best picture. It'll win all of its respective tech nominations, for sure, but not best picture and probably not even best director. For the Academy to ignore 3D, motion capture, and CG extravaganzas for so long just to turn around give it to Cameron just because he made Titanic. If Cameron made the same exact film without the unsinkable ship in his resume there wouldn't be this talk.
"But what about its amazing box-office gross?"
The Dark Knight had a great run too, talk was abound, and that didn't happen.
"Zahveed, you silly rabbit, we have ten slots this year. Had this been last year, surely The Dark Knight would have been nominated."
Most likely, yes. Sure, the film had its flaws, but it wasn't nearly as goofy, poorly written, or unoriginal as Avatar. They should have played "Colors of the Wind" from Pochohantas at the end credits so my ears wouldn't bleed on the way out of the auditorium. Christopher Nolan also had a history of strong, well-written, respectable suspense dramas. Cameron makes action movies. He makes them better than The Pantastic Mr. Bay, but they're still merely action movies. The Dark Knight at least had stunts, live explosions, real car chases, and blew up a real building. The only time Cameron used even a set for Avatar was inside their camp, where nothing happened, only because it was cost effective.
Once machines gain sentience, he'll have no use for us humans either. He'll launch Skynet with his Avatar money and take over the world.
"Didn't you say you liked Avatar?"
Yea. But only for the visuals and Col Badass.
Rabble rabble rabble.
1.) If there is an animated film nominated for Best Picture, it will be Up - if only based on pedigree. I think Fantastic Mr. Fox is the better picture but it isn't brought up outside of Anderson fans and animation enthusiasts. Up will not win if nominated.
2.) If one of the sci-fi/action films outside of Avatar is nominated, it will be District 9. A few years ago most people were predicting The Simpsons Movie would be the third nomination for Best Animated Picture, but it wasn't. This could probably be attributed to the fact it was based of a running television show, as some have pointed out that year. Star Trek has had bunch of movies and several TV programs, including spin-offs, under its belt. Its inclusion seems highly unlikely.
3.) If only one comedy is nominated, it will be (500) Days of Summer. It won't be the overrated Hangover or the underperforming A Serious Man (yet to see it), but Michael Stuhlbarg could still get a nod and screenplay is more than likely. (I know I put it down on my predictions, but I didn't say there couldn't be more than one comedy in the bunch).
4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.
5.) Avatar won't win best picture. It'll win all of its respective tech nominations, for sure, but not best picture and probably not even best director. For the Academy to ignore 3D, motion capture, and CG extravaganzas for so long just to turn around give it to Cameron just because he made Titanic. If Cameron made the same exact film without the unsinkable ship in his resume there wouldn't be this talk.
"But what about its amazing box-office gross?"
The Dark Knight had a great run too, talk was abound, and that didn't happen.
"Zahveed, you silly rabbit, we have ten slots this year. Had this been last year, surely The Dark Knight would have been nominated."
Most likely, yes. Sure, the film had its flaws, but it wasn't nearly as goofy, poorly written, or unoriginal as Avatar. They should have played "Colors of the Wind" from Pochohantas at the end credits so my ears wouldn't bleed on the way out of the auditorium. Christopher Nolan also had a history of strong, well-written, respectable suspense dramas. Cameron makes action movies. He makes them better than The Pantastic Mr. Bay, but they're still merely action movies. The Dark Knight at least had stunts, live explosions, real car chases, and blew up a real building. The only time Cameron used even a set for Avatar was inside their camp, where nothing happened, only because it was cost effective.
Once machines gain sentience, he'll have no use for us humans either. He'll launch Skynet with his Avatar money and take over the world.
"Didn't you say you liked Avatar?"
Yea. But only for the visuals and Col Badass.
Rabble rabble rabble.
"It's the least most of us can do, but less of us will do more."
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Just to be clear: yes, I am predicting more nominations for Star Trek than Invictus and Precious.
10: Avatar
8: The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds
7: An Education, Up in the Air
5: Star Trek
4: District 9
3: Invictus, Precious
2: (500) Days of Summer
Best Picture
Avatar
District 9
An Education
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
Star Trek
Up in the Air
Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Lone Scherfig, An Education
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourney Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Best Supporting Actress
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man
Samantha Morton, The Messenger
Best Original Screenplay
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
A Serious Man
Up
Best Adapted Screenplay
District 9
An Education
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Invictus
Up in the Air
Best Original Score
Avatar
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Informant!
Sherlock Holmes
Up
Best Original Song
"All is Love" ~ Where the Wild Things Are
"Almost There" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"Down in New Orleans" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"HORRIBLE SONG! AH!" ~ Avatar
"The Weary King" ~ Crazy Heart
Best Animated Feature
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up
Best Cinematography
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
Best Film Editing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
An Education
Inglourious Basterds
Up in the Air
Best Art Direction
Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
Best Costume Design
An Education
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
The Young Victoria
Best Makeup
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
The Road
Star Trek
Best Sound Mixing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up
Best Sound Effects
Avatar
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Star Trek
Up
Best Visual Effects
Avatar
District 9
Star Trek
Edited By Sabin on 1262759178
10: Avatar
8: The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds
7: An Education, Up in the Air
5: Star Trek
4: District 9
3: Invictus, Precious
2: (500) Days of Summer
Best Picture
Avatar
District 9
An Education
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
Star Trek
Up in the Air
Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Lone Scherfig, An Education
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourney Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Best Supporting Actress
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man
Samantha Morton, The Messenger
Best Original Screenplay
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
A Serious Man
Up
Best Adapted Screenplay
District 9
An Education
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Invictus
Up in the Air
Best Original Score
Avatar
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Informant!
Sherlock Holmes
Up
Best Original Song
"All is Love" ~ Where the Wild Things Are
"Almost There" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"Down in New Orleans" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"HORRIBLE SONG! AH!" ~ Avatar
"The Weary King" ~ Crazy Heart
Best Animated Feature
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up
Best Cinematography
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
Best Film Editing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
An Education
Inglourious Basterds
Up in the Air
Best Art Direction
Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
Best Costume Design
An Education
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
The Young Victoria
Best Makeup
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
The Road
Star Trek
Best Sound Mixing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up
Best Sound Effects
Avatar
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Star Trek
Up
Best Visual Effects
Avatar
District 9
Star Trek
Edited By Sabin on 1262759178
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MovieWes wrote:Best Original Score
“Avatar” (James Horner)
“The Informant!” (Marvin Hamlisch)
“Sherlock Holmes” (Hans Zimmer)
“Up” (Michael Giacchino)
“Where the Wild Things Are” (Carter Burwell, Karen O.)
Best Original Song
“All is Love” from “Where the Wild Things Are”
“Cinema Italiano” from “Nine”
“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog”
“I See You” from “Avatar”
“The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Just so you know MovieWes, the score for WHERE THE WILD THINGS ARE has been disqualified.
http://www.thewrap.com/ind-col....y-12469
I think the song is still eligible, and hopefully it wins.
Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1262710780
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
Is this a new rule? Didn't one of the cartoons get 3 nods in the song category?dreaMaker wrote:I think there cannot be more than two nominations for best song.Zahveed wrote:BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"All Is Love" - Where the Wild Things Are
"Down in New Orleans" - The Princess and the Frog
"Friends on the Other Side" - The Princess and the Frog
"Ma Belle Evangeline" - The Princess and the Frog
"Petey's Song" - Fantastic Mr. Fox
I think there cannot be more than two nominations for best song.Zahveed wrote:BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"All Is Love" - Where the Wild Things Are
"Down in New Orleans" - The Princess and the Frog
"Friends on the Other Side" - The Princess and the Frog
"Ma Belle Evangeline" - The Princess and the Frog
"Petey's Song" - Fantastic Mr. Fox