First ads of the season

[VanHelsing]

I'm bored and have nothing to do, so here it goes...

[rudeboy]

what happens to For Your Consideration, and Catherine O'Hara's chances?

I think For Your Consideration has the potential to go over big, with nominations for O'Hara and the screenplay. O'Hara's performance could do well in the critics awards, and it's about time Christopher Guest was recognised by the Academy. The subject matter should at least make them take notice.

[Penelope]

Little Miss Sunshine has 2 directors (I recalled this, but did have to look up the names on IMDb: Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris); I think this factor will also push the film out of Best Director consideration.

[The Original BJ]

There are FYI ads for Little Miss Sunshine on the Variety web site. I think it's a strong possibility for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay -- a small movie that does this well with audiences is always an Oscar threat.

I would hope that in a year with movies by real filmmakers like Almodóvar, Condon, Cuarón, Eastwood, Field, Gonzalez Iñárritu, Minghella, Scorsese, Soderbergh (and all those who won't get near the Oscar podium), that at least the director's branch would spare us a nod for the "direction" of Little Miss Sunshine by . . . hmm, can't even think of who directed that film without checking IMDB.

And if the film were to, as Penelope suggests, steal the Original Screenplay prize, my stomach will churn even more than it did with this category last year. I quite honestly think this would be one of the WORST winners in this category ever. And one of the worst nominees in recent years, and yes, I see that Crash, Gladiator, and My Big Fat Greek Wedding are up there.

[99-1100896887]

There are FYI ads for Little Miss Sunshine on the Variety web site. I think it's a strong possibility for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay -- a small movie that does this well with audiences is always an Oscar threat.

Well, if that's the case, Damien : what happens to For Your Consideration, and Catherine O'Hara's chances?

[anonymous1980]

I would like to see Dakota Fanning's face if/when Abigail Breslin is announced as a nominee for Little Miss Sunshine and she was snubbed for that rape movie she's doing.

[Penelope]

Aside from the fact that I just don't think Breslin is the film's main character (yes, it's an ensemble piece, but, even then, I'd argue that Greg Kinnear's and Steve Carrell's characters have the primary focus and character arcs), there is, as kaytodd points out, the tradition of nominating juvenile lead perfs in the Supporting category, a la O'Neal and Haley Joel Osment in The Sixth Sense. Of course, there is Keisha Castle Hughes from Whale Rider, but that was a) unquestionably and no way around it a lead role and b) a very weak year for Lead Actresses. This year's Lead Actress race is already quite crowded, whereas the Supporting race is still rather formless. Her best shot is Supporting.

[kaytodd]

I don't think Breslin is a supporting player in LMS. She is the film's central character.

True, but Tatum O'Neal was the central character in Paper Moon and Patty McCormack was the central character in The Bad Seed. Seems like an unwritten rule with the Academy that juveniles who give Oscar worthy performances must be nominated in the supporting category.

[Sonic Youth]

Back to Bond - I doubt Sony means the ad to be part of a serious Oscar campaign. I think it's just a part of the regular ad campaign intended to get people interested. It's already gotten tons of pre-release hype, so why not one little FYC ad?

My mother, who despises Bond films, wants to see this.

[Penelope]

Ah, but it's all about positioning, isn't it?

[OscarGuy]

I don't think Breslin is a supporting player in LMS. She is the film's central character.

[Penelope]

I'm currently predicting 3 nods for Little Miss Sunshine--Picture, Original Screenplay (where, really, I think it's the front-runner to win, right now), and Supporting Actress (Abigail Breslin)--with 2 more nods as a possibility--Supporting Actor (Arkin) and Director.

[rudeboy]

As well as being a threat in those categories - and I could easily see a screenplay win - I think Alan Arkin could be a major threat for a sentimental supporting actor win.

[Damien]

There are FYI ads for Little Miss Sunshine on the Variety web site. I think it's a strong possibility for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay -- a small movie that does this well with audiences is always an Oscar threat.

[OscarGuy]

It all depends on how good the film is (not really but that's what they're thinking)