NYFCC Predictions

[Big Magilla]

You never know with these things, but I'm fairly confident with my predictions except for supporting actor.

I thought of Dolly De Leon for supporting actress in Triangle of Sadnessbut she seems more like an LAFC type pick than a NYFC pick. NY is more likely to go for a veteran stage actress like the otherwise obscure Kathryn Hunter last year. which makes Kerry Condon in The Banshees of Inisherin an ideal pick. That makes supporting actor all the more difficult to predict, because unless I'm missing something, they've never gone for three acting winners in the same film.

It's difficult to see NY going for Ke Huy Quan in Everything, Everywhere All at Once, although that's certainly possible. Nor are they likely to go for Ben Whishaw in Women Talking while ignoring all the women. They are rarely sentimental, so I don't see them going for Judd Hirsch in The Fabelmans, but that's certainly possible, too. My gut tells me it will be one of the Banshee boys, most likely Barry Keoghan, but I'm prepared to be surprised.

[Sabin]

Mister Tee wrote
...most people don't realize, but Aftersun has a Metacritic score in the 90s.

I do.

I'm going to have to watch that one again. I expected far more dissenters than I've encountered.

[anonymous1980]

Mine:

Best Film: TÁR
(RU: The Fabelmans)

Best Director: Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
(RU: Todd Field, TÁR)

Best Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
(RU: Paul Mescal, Aftersun)

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR
(RU: Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once)

Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
(RU: Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Supporting Actress: Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
(RU: Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Screenplay: Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
(RU: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once)

Best Cinematography: Jarin Blaschke, The Northman
(RU: Hoyte on Hoytema, Nope)

Best Non-Fiction Film: All The Beauty and the Bloodshed
(RU: Navalny)

Best Animated Film: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
(RU: Mad God)

Best Foreign-Language Film: Decision to Leave
(RU: Joyland)

Best First Film: Charlotte Wells, Aftersun
(RU: Saim Sadiq, Joyland)

[Mister Tee]

When I read these awards were coming Friday, my thought was, can't we get a few more movies first? It's really sad to know these prizes will be voted from such a paltry field...this in a year allegedly more "normal" than the previous two.

Interesting scenario you propose, Sabin: The Fabelmans -- the year-long "surefire front-runner" online -- by virtue of a soft box-office opening, would now become a scrappy underdog the critics would try to boost.

My standard winner/two runners-up:

Film: TAR
(The Banshees of Inisherin, Aftersun)

...most people don't realize, but Aftersun has a Metacritic score in the 90s.

Actor: Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
(Paul Mescal (Aftersun), Bill Nighy (Living))

Actress: Cate Blanchett (TAR)
(Daniel;e Deadwyler (Till), Vicki Krieps (Corsage))

Sup, Actor: Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
(Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), Ben Whishaw (Women Talking))

Sup. Actress: Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
(Dolly DeLeon (Triangle of Sadness), Hong Chau (The Whale))

Director: Todd Field (TAR)
(Park Chan-wook (Decision to Leave), Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans))

Screenplay: The Banshees of Inisherin
(Everything Everywhere All at Once, Women Talking)

Cinematography: The Northman
(Babylon, The Batman)

Non-Fiction: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
(All That Breathes, Fire of Love)

Animated: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
(Turning Red, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On)

Foreign-Language Film: Decision to Leave
(Happening, Saint Omer)

First Film: Aftersun
(Saint Omer, The Inspection)

[Big Magilla]

Film: TÁR
(r.u. The Banshees of Inisherin)

Animated Film
Guillermo de Toro's Pinocchio
(r-u None)

Foreign Language Film
Decision to Leave
(r-u) Close

Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
(r.u. Brendan Fraser, The Whale)

Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR
(r.u. Danielle Deadwyler, Till)

Supporting Actor: Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
(r.u. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin)

Supporting Actress: Kelly Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
(r.u. Nina Hoss,TÁR )

Director: Todd Field, TÁR
(r.u. Sarah Polley, Women Talking)

First Film
Charlotte Wells, Aftersun
r-u None)

Screenplay: The Fabelmans
(r.u. TÁR)

Cinematography: Triangle of Sadness
(r.u. TÁR)

[Sabin]

NYFCC gives out their awards this coming Friday (12/02). I'm going to list my predictions and who my runner up predictions are. It's between The Fabelmans and Tar in my mind but I think the current discussion about The Fabelmans underperforming might just push it over the edge.

Best Film: The Fabelmans
(r.u. Tar)

Best First Film: Aftersun
(r.u. Barbarian)

Best Foreign Language Film: Decision to Leave
(r.u. Saint Omer)

Best Animated Film: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
(r.u. Turning Red)

Best Non-Fiction Film: All the Beauty and the Blooshed
(r.u. All That Breathes)

Best Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
(r.u. Brendan Fraser, The Whale)

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, Tar
(r.u. Danielle Deadwyler, Till)

Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans
(r.u. Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Supporting Actress: Nina Hoss, Tar
(r.u. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans)

Best Director: Todd Field, Tar
(r.u. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans)

Best Screenplay: The Fabelmans
(r.u. Tar)

Best Cinematography: The Fabelmans
(r.u. Bardo or Decision to Leave)