New Developments III

Mister Tee
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Mister Tee »

Sabin wrote:
Mister Tee wrote
So...Bob Mueller just rolled an unpinned grenade onto the floor of the House.
And we're not talking about it anymore. We're talking about racism. Just like we're not talking about Jeffrey Epstein anymore. We're talking about racism. Whenever anything picks up steam, we stop talking about it because of some other deplorable shitstorm he kicks up.
A couple of things about this:

Yes, we move on to talking about other things, because he keeps doing/saying awful things. Part of this is bizarro-strategic -- it's a Steve Bannon tactic that the best way to get off a damaging subject is to replace it with something even more damaging (on the theory the press wouldn't switch topics if it were less damaging), and that anything is better than keeping on one damaging topic. Think about it: in 2016, Trump had massive numbers of bad press cycles on different issues...yet maybe the most crippling issue that year was "but her emails!", which never went away.

But another part is that Trump is a narcissistic, reactive guy, who can't help himself; he'll always keep doing these things even if they hurt him. And they DO hurt him. As people keep pointing out, an empty suit serving as president with this economy would have a 55% approval rating. He can't get out of the low 40s on his good days.

Also: Epstein is NOT going away. The Southern District is on it, and things are going to get WAY worse for Trump and a lot of people. (Including a few we probably wouldn't want to be hurt.)

Finally: the unpinned grenade is still lying there, with potential to explode. To carry the metaphor to excruciating length: Bill Barr describing it as a dud lulled many into thinking the danger was past. But Mueller's appearance Wednesday still has potential to set it off. Judging by Trump's tweets, he thinks so, too.

I don't think Mueller ever expected or wanted this. He genuinely thought his good-government approach would cause good-faith activity in the House (i.e., a scrupulous impeachment inquiry). He didn't anticipate the bald-faced chicanery of Barr, or the continuing timidity of some House Democrats (who continue to cling to the antiquated notion that they have to walk on eggshells to win elections). He likely thought his brief press conference (that one that occasioned my post) would be enough of a kick in the butt to get things moving. But it was too subtle a gesture for this big-and-loud era -- as John Oliver said, he told us to impeach with his eyes, and that just didn't do the trick.

So, we have Wednesday, and two things will determine if the hearings make a difference. First, Democrats have to realize this is not a hearing like all others, and that they need to behave accordingly if they're going to have any impact. Forget about what GOPers do -- assume they'll throw sand in the gears, as usual, and trust Mueller to swat them aside; maybe assist him if absolutely necessary. But the main thing Dems need to do is abandon their usual me-me-me scattershot approach, and use their time to let Mueller tell a coherent story. Ideally with a committee counsel taking everyone's time, but, even if not, discipline must be strictly maintained. Any Dem who uses his or her time to preen for the folks back home will be telling us he doesn't care about making this process work.

The other variable is Mueller. He must see by now that his detached approach has not had its desired result. If he genuinely feels Trump is a clear and present danger to the nation (which his report suggests, between the lines), he's going to have to cast off at least a bit of his bureaucratic instinct and make clear just how high the stakes are. Everyone says that, in any normal situation, he wouldn't push the boundaries. But maybe, just maybe, seeing the Trump/Barr/McConnell corruption around him, he'll decide this is the time to be bold.

As Trump is fond of saying, We'll see what happens.
Sabin
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Sabin »

Mister Tee wrote
So...Bob Mueller just rolled an unpinned grenade onto the floor of the House.
And we're not talking about it anymore. We're talking about racism. Just like we're not talking about Jeffrey Epstein anymore. We're talking about racism. Whenever anything picks up steam, we stop talking about it because of some other deplorable shitstorm he kicks up.
"How's the despair?"
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Big Magilla »

Morning Joe just called last night's horror show Trump's Nuremberg rally. I couldn't agree more, but it's more than time that the pundits stopped talking about his base being "old white men". It's old white men, old white women, middle-aged white men, middle-aged white women, young white men and young white women. The more vocal standing behind him last night were the young and middle-aged women - all blondes, natural and bleached. They're his Hitler youth.
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Okri »

Trump is trying to get Omar killed.
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Re: New Developments III

Post by danfrank »

Mister Tee wrote:So...Bob Mueller just rolled an unpinned grenade onto the floor of the House.
Yes, and he aimed it right into Nancy Pelosi's lap. He may as well have shouted "Do your job!"
Mister Tee
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Mister Tee »

So...Bob Mueller just rolled an unpinned grenade onto the floor of the House.
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Greg »

I wonder if anyone here with banking experience has any thoughts on an idea of mine. That is, and it would have to be phased into over time, to replace the banking system with deficit spending from the Federal Government. Instead of the Federal Reserve issuing currency and lending it to banks that then lend it corporations and households, all the money issued would be directly spent into the economy when the Congress and President sign and pass appropriation bills. Then, there would only be enough money taxed out of the economy to prevent excessive inflation, not balance the budget.

As corporate debt is larger than household debt, I would start by prohibiting any bank chartered with Federal Reserve from lending money to any hedge fund, private-equity firm, venture-capital firm, company that buys its own stocks, or company that engages in mergers and acquisitions. That money could be spent on infrastructure, basic-and-applied R&D, the Green New Deal, etc. So-called corporate investment, which mostly goes to blow speculative bubbles, would be replaced with more real investment from the Federal Government.

Ultimately, as the substantial addition of public-works jobs would strengthen the minimum amount of money workers could make, private savings would replace household debt. People would rent until they saved up enough money to buy a house in cash, rather than take out mortgages; people would walk or take the bus until they saved up enough money to buy a used car in cash and drive a used car until they saved up enough money to buy a new car in cash; university education would have full scholarships, etc.
Sabin
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Sabin »

So... Roe v. Wade is done, right?

BUT HER EMAILS.
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Sabin
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Sabin »

Trump will not appear on the California primary ballot unless he releases his taxes. So, that's one state that Bill Weld can win.
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Sonic Youth
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Sonic Youth »

Heksagon, you'll be happy to know that both of Trump's Federal Reserve board nominees withdrew themselves from consideration - one happened just yesterday - when it was clear they would not be approved. To be sure, there will be other nominees and no doubt they'll be terrible, but at least they might have some actual qualifications other than being a personal acquaintance.
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Heksagon
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Heksagon »

You only need two things for printing money (or whatever you want to call it) to become a real policy - an incompetent President and an incompetent Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve. So I'd say with Donald Trump we're about halfway getting there. And Trump is certainly working his way to getting the other pre-condition a reality as well, as he's been trying to stack the Board of Governors with political hacks lacking any formal qualifications.

Trump would certainly want to see Federal Reserve adopt a more inflationary policy. Now that Democrats control the House, he can't "stimulate" the economy via tax cuts, so inflation is the one other thing he could try to give the economy a short-term boost before the next elections.
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Greg »

Ray Dalio says MMT, the controversial theory endorsed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, is a lot closer to happening than you might think:

https://markets.businessinsider.com/new ... 1028162987
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Re: New Developments III

Post by criddic3 »

Sabin wrote:Bill Weld officially announces he is challenging Trump for GOP nomination in 2020

https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/15/politics ... index.html

That's a key.

We'll see how many Bill Weld Republicans there actually are out there.

I voted for the Gary Johnson/Bill Weld ticket in 2016, mostly as a protest vote but both were genuinely more likable than either of the two major ticket candidates. I don't see Weld alone making huge inroads against Trump for the nomination, but if former 2-term Ohio Governor John Kasich, former Tennessee Senator Bob Corker and current Maryland Governor Larry Hogan -- now in his second term -- all run, it could shake up Trump's re-election bid. Those are the three major party members who have expressed some interest or hinted at a 2020 run. It would be a signal that the party's future is not a foregone conclusion, though it might not completely stave off a Trump re-nomination. He would be forced to use resources to ward off those challenges, since they are not all lightweights (particularly Kasich).
"Because here’s the thing about life: There’s no accounting for what fate will deal you. Some days when you need a hand. There are other days when we’re called to lend a hand." -- President Joe Biden, 01/20/2021
Sabin
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Re: New Developments III

Post by Sabin »

Bill Weld officially announces he is challenging Trump for GOP nomination in 2020

https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/15/politics ... index.html

That's a key.

We'll see how many Bill Weld Republicans there actually are out there.
"How's the despair?"
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Re: New Developments III

Post by danfrank »

Mister Tee wrote:Posted on Twitter as the Notre Dame horror unfolds:

"Watching helplessly as something beautiful burns is 2019 in a nutshell"
I haven't felt as sad about something in a long while.
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