Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

For the films of 2011
Sabin
Laureate Emeritus
Posts: 10747
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 12:52 am
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Sabin »

I've done better. I'll do worse.

The only categories that I didn't at least get a runner up are Best Live Action Short Film, Best Actress, and Best Film Editing. But with Jeoffrey in the running, I would have had to go more out on a limb on a few to even qualify.

I wish I didn't underestimate the amount of support for Meryl Streep or that it's even conceivable that the foreign branch could recognize something as awesome as A Separation.

Call I'm most proud of? Hugo for Cinematography. Call I'm least proud of? Hugo for Cinematography.
"How's the despair?"
Reza
Laureate Emeritus
Posts: 10031
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 11:14 am
Location: Islamabad, Pakistan

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Reza »

OscarGuy wrote:I had a sneaking suspicion Saving Face would win it...I felt the subject matter was just too similar to recent documentaries not to tickle their fancy again. I should have changed my prediction, but didn't.
This was an easy choice for me. Firstly the subject was Oscar bait and secondly I was especially rooting for it as a Pakistani was nominated for an Oscar for the first time.

Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy has received universal acclaim here in Pakistan for winning this high honor. Not only has she highlighted a terrible problem in our country but it has brought it out in the open for the first time thanks to the Oscar win. It cannot now be ignored. Plus being a female in a country like ours it has done wonders for all women who are in the workfield. There has been the usual silly backlash from the religious front as some morons said she should have thanked Allah (God) first and there were comments about her sleeveless outfit (traditionally females in the Islamic religion should be covered - think A Separation and how all the women in that film were dressed). But overall her win has been taken extremely positively here in Pakistan.
User avatar
OscarGuy
Site Admin
Posts: 13668
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 12:22 am
Location: Springfield, MO
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by OscarGuy »

I had a sneaking suspicion Saving Face would win it...I felt the subject matter was just too similar to recent documentaries not to tickle their fancy again. I should have changed my prediction, but didn't.
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
Greg
Tenured
Posts: 3285
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 1:12 pm
Location: Greg
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Greg »

So, Documentary Short Subject is the only category I failed to predict every time for the last three years.
ksrymy
Adjunct
Posts: 1164
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2011 1:10 am
Location: Wichita, KS
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by ksrymy »

I cannot say I was predicting to do that good. Congratulations to Jefforey. Very well done.
"Men get to be a mixture of the charming mannerisms of the women they have known." - F. Scott Fitzgerald
anonymous1980
Laureate
Posts: 6377
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 10:03 pm
Location: Manila
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by anonymous1980 »

THE RESULTS!!!!!

First of all a note: I gave bonus points to everyone who predicted The Artist for most wins (also to Sabin who predicted Hugo). However, two people (Mister Tee and FilmFan720) actually predicted The Artist and Hugo will tie for most wins and it seems weird to not reward that so I'm giving them one more point for that prediction.

Thanks to ksrymy for tabulating the results but I did still double-checked them just to be sure.

19. HarryGoldfarb: 30 + 6 = 36 points
18. criddic3: 35 + 3 = 38 points
17. (tie) Oscar Guy: 38 points* (didn't do bonus)
16. mlrg: 42 points* (didn't do bonus)
15. Filmfan720: 36 + 6 + 1 = 43 points
14. Sonic Youth: 43 + 3 = 46 points
13. (tie) Precious Doll: 40 + 6 = 46 points
12. (tie) Big Magilla: 40 + 6 = 46 points
11. Barrybrook2011: 41 + 6 = 47 points
10. The Original BJ: 43 + 6 = 49 points
09. Franz Ferdinand: 44 + 6 = 50 points
08. Mister Tee: 41 + 9 + 1 = 51 points
07. (tie) Reza: 45 + 6 = 51 points
05. anonymous1980: 46 + 6 = 52 points
05. Snick's Guy: 54 points* (didn't do the bonus)
04. Sabin: 49 + 6 = 55 points
03. Greg: 48 + 9 = 57 points
02. ksrymy: 50 + 9 = 59 points

and the winner of our Oscar winners prediction contest is....

Jefforey Smith: 57 + 6 = 63 points

What's amazing he did it without runners-up. His gamble paid off. Congratulations!
ksrymy
Adjunct
Posts: 1164
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2011 1:10 am
Location: Wichita, KS
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by ksrymy »

Franz Ferdinand wrote:How about everyone who predicted ONLY The Artist as winning the most Oscars (aka. everyone)?
It did in a way.
"Men get to be a mixture of the charming mannerisms of the women they have known." - F. Scott Fitzgerald
Franz Ferdinand
Adjunct
Posts: 1457
Joined: Mon Nov 22, 2004 3:22 pm
Location: Calgary, Alberta
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Franz Ferdinand »

How about everyone who predicted ONLY The Artist as winning the most Oscars (aka. everyone)?
User avatar
OscarGuy
Site Admin
Posts: 13668
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 12:22 am
Location: Springfield, MO
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by OscarGuy »

I forgot entirely about those three little questions. I guess I'm not in the competition.
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
ksrymy
Adjunct
Posts: 1164
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2011 1:10 am
Location: Wichita, KS
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by ksrymy »

Well, everyone who had Crystal's entrance just lost out as well as Whitney Houston guessers.
"Men get to be a mixture of the charming mannerisms of the women they have known." - F. Scott Fitzgerald
HarryGoldfarb
Adjunct
Posts: 1071
Joined: Fri Jan 10, 2003 4:50 pm
Location: Colombia
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by HarryGoldfarb »

BEST PICTURE
The Artist

BEST DIRECTOR
Michel Hazanavicius
RU: Terrence Malick

BEST ACTOR
Jean Dujardin

BEST ACTRESS
Meryl Streep

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christopher Plummer
RU: Max von Sydow

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Octavia Spencer

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Midnight in Paris
RU: A Separation

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Moneyball
RU: The Descendants

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Separation
RU: In Darkness

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Pina

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Chico & Rita

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Real in Rio

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
RU: Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy

BEST ART DIRECTION
Hugo
RU: The Artist

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Artist
RU: Jane Eyre

BEST MAKEUP
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Tree of Life

BEST FILM EDITING
Moneyball
RU: Hugo

BEST SOUND MIXING
Hugo
RU: War Horse

BEST SOUND EDITING
War Horse
RU: Hugo

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
La Luna

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Raju

1. What film will win the most Oscars? - The Artist

2. Who will get the final spot of the IN MEMORIAM segment? - Elizabeth Taylor

3. Name one moment that will be getting a standing ovation during the ceremony. - Billy Crystal entrance
"If you place an object in a museum, does that make this object a piece of art?" - The Square (2017)
Mister Tee
Tenured Laureate
Posts: 8637
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 2:57 pm
Location: NYC
Contact:

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Mister Tee »

Guess I can't put this off any longer.

If the results are as utterly predictable as some of you think -- with so many no-runner-up choices -- I'm going to lose badly this year. I just don't see things as so cut-and-dried. But if thing do go so that way, given how promisingly random this season began, the Oscars might as well acknowledge they just surrender to the ongoing narrative and have no independent mind.

Film: The Artist
(ru: The Descendants)

Actor: George Clooney
(ru: Jean Dujardin)
...and I don't fully rule out Brad Pitt

Actress: Viola Davis
(ru: Meryl Streep)

Sup. Actor: Christopher Plummer

Sup. Actress: Octavia Spencer

Director: Michel Hazanavicius
(ru: Martin Scorsese)

Ad. Screenplay: The Descendants
(ru: Moneyball)

Orig. Screenplay: Midnight in Paris
(ru: The Artist)

Cinematography: The Tree of Life
(ru: Hugo)

Costume Design: Hugo
(ru: The Artist)

Art Direction: Hugo

Sound Mixing: Hugo
(ru: Moneyball)

Sound Editing: Hugo
(War Horse)

Editing: The Artist
(ru: Hugo)

Music Score: The Artist

Song: Real in Rio
(ru: Man or Muppet)

Visual Effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
(ru: Hugo)

Make Up: The Iron Lady
(ru: Harry Potter & the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2)

Animated Feature: Rango

Foreign Language Film: In Darkness
(ru: A Separation)
...everyone does know what In Darkness is about, don't they?

Doc. Feature: Paradise Lost 3
(ru: Undefeated)

Doc. Short: Saving Face
(ru: God is the Bigger Elvis)

Live Short: Raju
(ru: Pentecost)

Animated Short: Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
(ru: Wild Life)

Most awards? I have a tie between Hugo and The Artist
Last In Memoriam? Elizabeth without a doubt
Standing O? Billy's entrance seems certain, but I think BJ is quite right, that whichever of Streep/Davis wins best actress will get one
Barrybrooks2011
Graduate
Posts: 19
Joined: Tue Dec 06, 2011 1:37 pm

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Barrybrooks2011 »

I forgot my tie breakers:

The Artist will win the most.

Whitney Houston will be last.

Meryl Streep will receive a standing O.
Barrybrooks2011
Graduate
Posts: 19
Joined: Tue Dec 06, 2011 1:37 pm

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Barrybrooks2011 »

Best picture
Will win: The Artist
Runner up: none
Should win: The Tree of Life
Should have been nominated: Melancholia

Best director:
Will win: Michel Hazanavicius
Runner up: none
Should win: Terence Malick
Should have been nominated: Nicholas Winding Refn

Best actor:
Will win: Jean Dujardin
Runner up: none
Should win: Jean Dujardin
Should have been nominated: Ryan Gosling, Drive

Best actress:
Will win: Meryl Streep
Runner up: Viola Davis
Should win: Meryl Streep
Should have been nominated: Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia

Best supporting actor:
Will win: Christopher Plummer
Runner up: none
Should win: Kenneth Branagh
Should have been nominated: Hunter McCracken, The Tree of Life

Best supporting actress:
Will win: Octavia Spencer
Runner up: none
Should win: Jessica Chastain
Should have been nominated: Jessica Chastain, Take Shelter

Best original screenplay:
Will win: Midnight in Paris
Runner up: none
Should win: Midnight in Paris
Should have been nominated: Melancholia

Best adapted screenplay:
Will win: The Descendants
Runner up: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Should win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Should have been nominated: Drive

Best score:
Will win: The Artist
Runner up: none
Should win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Should have been nominated: Insidious

Best song:
Will win: Man or Muppet
Runner up: none
Should win: Man or Muppet
Should have been nominated: Think You Can Wait, Win Win

Best cinematography:
Will win: The Tree of Life
Runner up: none
Should win: The Tree of Life
Should have been nominated: Drive

Best art direction:
Will win: Hugo
Runner up: The Artist
Should win: Midnight in Paris
Should have been nominated: The Skin I Live In

Best Costume:
Will win: Jane Eyre
Runner up: The Artist
Should win: The Artist
Should have been nominated: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Best editing:
Will win: The Artist
Runner up: Hugo
Should win: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Should have been nominated: The Tree of Life

Best Sound Mixing:
Will win: War Horse
Runner up: Hugo
Should win: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Should have been nominated: The Tree of Life

Best Sound Editing:
Will win: War Horse
Runner up: Hugo
Should win: Drive
Should have been nominated: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Best Visual Effects:
Will win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Runner up: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Should win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Should have been nominated: The Tree of Life

Best makeup:
Will win: The Iron Lady
Runner up: none
Should win: The Iron Lady
Should have been nominated: Warrior

Best animated film:
Will win: A Cat in Paris
Runner up: Kung Fu Panda 2

Best animated short:
Will win: A Morning Stroll
Runner up: Dimanche

Best live action short:
Will win: Pentacost
Runner up: The Shore

Best documentary:
Will win: Piña
Runner up: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory

Best documentary short:
Will win: Saving Face
Runner up: The Barber of Birmingham
Should win: The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom

Best foreign film:
Will win: A Seperation
Runner up: Bullhead
Should have been eligible: The Skin I Live In
Jefforey Smith
Graduate
Posts: 117
Joined: Sat Nov 12, 2011 12:13 pm
Location: Lexington, Kentucky

Re: Oscar Winners Predictions Contest

Post by Jefforey Smith »

(It looks as though tie breakers are supposed to be included. I forgot.)

1. The Artist
2. Elizabeth Taylor
3. Billy Crystal.
Post Reply

Return to “84th Predictions and Precursors”