Winner predictions

For the films of 2012
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OscarGuy
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby OscarGuy » Thu Jan 10, 2013 6:38 pm

I look at these predictions and I have to ask: why is everyone saying it's such an exciting year? Most of the predictions below are nearly identical with a handful of differences here and there in the big categories, but few...I'd say it looks quite predictable if most people tend to agree who the leaders in the races are.
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby Cinemanolis » Thu Jan 10, 2013 6:07 pm

est Picture: Lincoln (r.u. Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Director: Michael Haneke - Amour (r.u. Steven Spielberg - Lincoln)
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln (r.u. Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actress: Emmanuelle Riva (r.u. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty)
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln (r.u. Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables (r.u. Sally Field - Lincoln)
Best Original Screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty (r.u. Amour)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln (r.u. Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour (r.u. A Royal Affair)
Best Animated Feature: Frankenweenie (r.u. Brave)
Best Film Editing: Zero Dark Thirty (r.u. Argo)
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi (r.u. Skyfall)
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables (r.u. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey)
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables (r.u. Skyfall)
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall (r.u. Argo)
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi (r.u.The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey)
Best Original Score: Anna Karenina (r.u. Lincoln)
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" from Skyfall (r.u. "Suddenly" from Les Miserables)
Best Documentary Feature: How to Survive a Plague (r.u. Searching for Sugar Man)

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Re: Winner predictions

Postby Greg » Thu Jan 10, 2013 5:32 pm

Picture: Lincoln
Direction: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Original Screenplay: Michael Haneke, Amour
Adapted Screenplay: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Lead Actor: Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
Lead Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Foreign Language Film: Amour, Austria
Animated Feature: Brave
Original Song: "Skyfall," Skyfall
Original Score: Lincoln
Film Editing: Lincoln
Cinematography: Life Of Pi
Production Design: Life Of Pi
Costume Design: Les Miserables
Visual Effects: Life Of Pi
Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Sound Editing: Life Of Pi
Makeup: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby Big Magilla » Thu Jan 10, 2013 5:25 pm

I wouldn't have thought Daniel Day-Lewis would win over Jean-Louis Trintignant and John Hawkes, but considering the actual competition, a third Oscar is well within his grasp.

Tommy Lee Jones has Best Supporting Actor in the bag.

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Re: Winner predictions

Postby Sonic Youth » Thu Jan 10, 2013 5:13 pm

I've decided Tommy Lee Jones is my designated Oscar hopeful. If he can play "the esteemed gentleman from Pennsylvania" and make me believe it, he deserves an award for that. Tommy Lee Jones... Pennsylvania... I'd never have thought it possible...

And yes, I believe they'd give Day-Lewis an Oscar for playing Abraham Lincoln over Bradley Cooper and Joaquin Phoenix in a second. And technicalities like this being his third Oscar ain't gonna make them think twice.
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby dws1982 » Thu Jan 10, 2013 5:12 pm

Can't see any reason why Jones and Day-Lewis won't both win. The fact that Spielberg has never directed an Oscar winning performance is not a meaningful. I also don't think Oscar voters sit around and think about how many Oscars someone has while filling out their ballot.

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Re: Winner predictions

Postby MovieWes » Thu Jan 10, 2013 4:58 pm

Do we really think that Daniel Day-Lewis is going to win another Oscar so soon after winning for There Will Be Blood? I mean, he's a great actor and all, but seeing how long it took for the Academy to finally give Meryl Streep her third Oscar, I could see it taking a similar length of time for them to feel like awarding Daniel Day-Lewis his third. I could easily see them giving it to Bradley Cooper or Joaquin Phoenix instead. The only thing I see in his favor is the distinction of playing arguably the most popular U.S. President ever in a film now perceived to be the frontrunner. That it's also a huge hit at the box-office doesn't hurt either.

It should also be noted that Steven Spielberg has never directed an actor to an Oscar win. I can't see both Daniel Day-Lewis and Tommy Lee Jones winning what would be their third and second Oscars in a Spielberg-directed film.
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby OscarGuy » Thu Jan 10, 2013 4:07 pm

Robert De Niro isn't winning a third, at least not for something like this.

Christoph Waltz doesn't have a two-time Oscar winner vibe, nor does Alan Arkin (and Arkin's performance is too slight and similar to his prior win to be considered much of a competitor).

The only two on this list I can see them giving a second Oscar two are Tommy Lee Jones (who unlike Bacall is fairly well liked person) and Philip Seymour Hoffman. I think Jones has the edge simply because he's been an ever-present personality the last few years and his character seems like something Academy voters would love to recognize.
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby criddic3 » Thu Jan 10, 2013 2:43 pm

MovieFan wrote:I think Tommy Lee Jones is easily winning Supporting Actor.


Ah but in a field of past winners, favoritism could play a role and present a "surprise" winner. Remember Lauren Bacall?
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby MovieFan » Thu Jan 10, 2013 2:39 pm

I think Tommy Lee Jones is easily winning Supporting Actor.

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Re: Winner predictions

Postby FilmFan720 » Thu Jan 10, 2013 12:32 pm

I have no idea on most of these, but here goes:

PICTURE: Lincoln (Silver Lining Playbooks)
ACTOR: Daniel Day-Lewis (Hugh Jackman)
ACTRESS: Jennifer Lawrence (Jessica Chastain)
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robert DeNiro (Tommy Lee Jones)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Anne Hathaway (Sally Field)
DIRECTOR: Steven Spielberg (David O. Russell)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Zero Dark Thirty (Amour)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Lincoln (Silver Lining Playbook)
CINEMATOGRAPHY: Lincoln (Skyfall)
PRODUCTION DESIGN: Lincoln (Les Miserables)
SOUND MIXING: Life of Pi (Les Miserables)
SONG: Skyfall (Everybody Needs a Best Friend)
SCORE: Life of Pi (Lincoln)
EDITING: Lincoln (Life of Pi)
COSTUMES: Lincoln (Mirror Mirror)
MAKEUP: The Hobbit (Les Miserables)
VISUAL EFFECTS: Life of Pi (The Avengers)
SOUND EDITING: Life of Pi (Skyfall)
ANIMATED SHORT: Adam and Dog (Papermen)
LIVE ACTION SHORT: Asad (Curfew)
DOC SHORT: Open Heart (Inocente)
DOC FEATURE: Searching for Sugar man (How to Survive a Plague)
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Amour (A Royal Affair)
ANIMATED FEATURE: Frankenweenie (Wreck-It Ralph)
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Re: Winner predictions

Postby rolotomasi99 » Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:44 am

Almost exactly the same as yours MovieWes.

Best Picture: Lincoln (r.u. Life Of Pi)
Best Director: Lincoln (r.u. Life Of Pi)
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln (r.u. Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook (r.u. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty)
Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook (r.u. Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables (r.u. Sally Field - Lincoln)
Best Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom (r.u. Amour)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln (r.u. Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour (r.u. A Royal Affair)
Best Animated Feature: Brave (r.u. Frankenweenie)
Best Film Editing: Life Of Pi (r.u. Argo)
Best Cinematography: Life Of Pi (r.u. Lincoln)
Best Production Design: Lincoln (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Costume Design: Lincoln (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Hobbit (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Sound Mixing: Life Of Pi (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall (r.u. Life Of Pi)
Best Visual Effects: Life Of Pi (r.u. The Hobbit)
Best Original Score: Life Of Pi (r.u. Lincoln)
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" from Skyfal (r.u. "Suddenly" from Les Miserables)
Last edited by rolotomasi99 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 12:42 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Winner predictions

Postby MovieWes » Thu Jan 10, 2013 9:52 am

Best Picture: Lincoln (r.u. Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Director: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln (r.u. David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Actor: Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook (r.u. Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln)
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook (r.u. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty)
Best Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook (r.u. Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables (r.u. Sally Field - Lincoln)
Best Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom (r.u. Amour)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln (r.u. Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour (r.u. A Royal Affair)
Best Animated Feature: Frankenweenie (r.u. Brave)
Best Film Editing: Lincoln (r.u. Argo)
Best Cinematography: Lincoln (r.u. Life of Pi)
Best Production Design: Lincoln (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Costume Design: Les Miserables (r.u. Lincoln)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (r.u. Hitchcock)
Best Sound Mixing: Skyfall (r.u. Les Miserables)
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall (r.u. Argo)
Best Visual Effects: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (r.u. Life of Pi)
Best Original Score: Life of Pi (r.u. Lincoln)
Best Original Song: "Skyfall" from Skyfall (r.u. "Suddenly" from Les Miserables)
Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man (r.u. How to Survive a Plague)
Best Documentary Short Subject: Inocente (r.u. Redemption)
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman (r.u. Adam and Dog)
Best Live-Action Short Film: Curfew (r.u. Buzkashi Boys)
"Young men make wars and the virtues of war are the virtues of young men: courage and hope for the future. Then old men make the peace, and the vices of peace are the vices of old men: mistrust and caution." -- Alec Guinness (Lawrence of Arabia)


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