Golden Globe Predictions

[Sabin]

Updated my predictions.

The King's Speech and The Social Network lead with seven, then 127 Hours, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, and True Grit with four, and then How Do You Know, Love and Other Drugs, and The Town with three.

[criddic3]

uh-oh. ok. I'll edit.

[anonymous1980]

Country Strong was ruled a DRAMA by the HFPA.

[criddic3]

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA

Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
The Town
True Grit

[Don't know if I should go on a limb and say 127 Hours misses here, but it could happen.]

BEST PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Greenberg
How Do You Know?
The Kids Are All Right
Love and Other Drugs
Morning Glory

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA

Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Mark Wahlberg, The Fighter

BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA

Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Diane Lane, Secretariat
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Chloe Grace Moretz, Let Me In
Natalie Portman, Black Swan

[If not Moertz, maybe Gwyneth Paltrow or Noomi Rapace.]

BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs
Rachel McAdams, Morning Glory
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Reese Witherspoon, How Do You Know?

BEST ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Jim Carrey, I Love You, Phillip Morris
Tom Cruise, Knight & Day
Harrison Ford, Morning Glory
Jake Gyllenhaal, Love and Other Drugs
Ben Stiller, Greenberg

[Tempted to put John C. Reilly here, but Greenberg and Cyrus -two small comedies competing here - just seems unlikely; Carrey might get in just for taking a chance on an unusual role)]

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Jack Nicholson, How Do You KNow?
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech

[If they really wanted to throw out a surprise, they could nominate Ewan McGregor along with Carrey. I'm pretty certain they won't.]

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech)
Marion Cotillard, Inception
Diane Keaton, Morning Glory
Chloe Grace Moretz, Kick-Ass
Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole

[Ok, Moretz is wishful thinking. It might be Kristin Scott Thomas, Amy Adams or Melissa Leo instead of her or Cotillard (or both)]

BEST DIRECTOR

Ben Affleck (The Town)
Danny Boyle (127 Hours)
James L. Brooks (How Do You Know?)
David Fincher (The Social Network)
Tom Hooper (The King's Speech)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)

BEST SCORE

Black Swan
How to Train Your Dragon
The King's Speech
Secretariat
Toy Story 3

BEST SONG

"Country Strong," Country Strong
"I See the Light," Tangled
"If I Rise," 127 Hours
"We Belong Together," Toy Story 3
"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," Burlesque

[Maybe I'm mis-remembering, but I seem to recall reading that Country Strong contained an original title tune. Am I wrong about that?]

BEST ANIMATED FILM

How to Train Your Dragon
Tangled
Toy Story 3

Stearing clear of Foreign Film.



Edited By criddic3 on 1292298152

[Big Magilla]

By the way, should this thread be in the 83rd Precursor predictions discussion?

Good catch, I'll fix it.

[rudeboy]

Best Picture – Drama
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

Best Picture –Musical/Comedy
How Do You Know
I Love You Philip Morris
The Kids are All Right
Love and Other Drugs
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

Director
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception

Actor-Drama
Robert Duvall, Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine
James Franco, 127 Hours

Actor –Musical/Comedy
Jim Carrey, I Love You Philip Morris
Michael Cera, Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland
Michael Douglas, Solitary Man
Jack Nicholson, How Do You Know

Actress-Drama
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Lesley Manville, Another Year
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Actress-Musical/Comedy
Annette Bening, The Kids are All Right
Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Julia Roberts, Eat Pray Love
Reese Witherspoon, How Do You Know

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The Kings Speech
Barbara Hershey, Black Swan
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Screenplay
How Do You Know
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

Score
Black Swan
How to Train Your Dragon
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit



Edited By rudeboy on 1292255639

[criddic3]

By the way, should this thread be in the 83rd Precursor predictions discussion?

[criddic3]

Best Comedic or Musical Picture
Eat Pray Love
How Do You Know
The Kids Are All Right
Made in Dagenham
Morning Glory

Best Actor in a Comedic or Musical Picture
Michael Douglas, Solitary Man
Harrison Ford, Morning Glory
Paul Giamatti, Barney's Version
Paul Rudd, How Do You Know
Ben Stiller, Greenberg

Best Actress in a Comedic or Musical Picture
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Gwyneth Paltrow, Country Strong
Julia Roberts, Eat Pray Love
Reese Witherspoon, How Do You Know

If the HFPA goes for How Do You Know? for actress, actor AND picture, wouldn't they also nominate Jack Nicholson? Afterall, how many more chances will they get?

[anonymous1980]

My predictions:

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
127 Hours
Inception
The King's Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
I Love You, Phillip Morris
The Kids Are All Right
Made in Dagenham
Nowhere Boy
Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World


BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Robert Duvall, Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville, Another Year
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Noomi Rapace, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Jim Carrey, I Love You, Phillip Morris
Michael Cera, Scott Pilgrim vs. The World
Robert Downey Jr., Due Date
Paul Giamatti, Barney's Version
Ben Stiller, Greenberg

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs
Sally Hawkins, Made in Dagenham
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Emma Stone, Easy A

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
Justin Timberlake, The Social Network

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Jackie Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole

BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right
David Lindsay-Abaire, Rabbit Hole
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Seidel, The King's Speech
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hopper, The King's Speech

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Alexandre Desplat, The King's Speech
Randy Newman, Toy Story 3
A.R. Rahman, 127 Hours
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Hans Zimmer, Inception

BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
"If I Rise", 127 Hours
"I See The Light", Tangled
"Someone's Got a Hold of Me", Burlesque
"You Haven't Seen The Last of Me", Burlesque
"We Belong Together", Toy Story 3

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon
Tangled
Toy Story 3

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Biutiful (Mexico)
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (Sweden)
I Am Love (Italy)
Incendies (Canada)
Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Thailand)



Edited By anonymous on 1292303344

[Sabin]

For the past three years, I think a PIXAR movie has stood a better chance of winning the Comedic or Musical Golden Globe than any nominated film.

WALL-E > Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Up > The Hangover
Toy Story 3 > really, anything.


Mark Ruffalo could very easily get nominated for Best Supporting Actor. I just figured they might just overlook him for other erstwhile competitors. Actually, he could get in over Aaron Eckhart. But Timberlake makes sense to me. There is a substantial PR-campaign to be made on Michael Douglas's behalf for either one of his movies this year, Solitary Man or Wall Street 2.

[jack]

They will include Toy Story 3 in the Comedy/Musical Best Picture category.

I don't think they will. If the rules for the animated category are the same as the foreign film one then Toy Story 3 will not be eligible for the Comedy/Musical Picture nomination.

[Reza]

They will include Toy Story 3 in the Comedy/Musical Best Picture category.

[Big Magilla]

I would think Mark Ruffalo would have a better shot a supporting actor nod here than Michael Douglas who may get sympathy votes for his lead performance in Solitary Man, but I wouldn't think the mega-flop sequel to Wall Street will elicit anything for anyone.

[OscarGuy]

I'm sure Love & Other Drugs will end up as a comedy for as much as it isn't a comedy, neither was Driving Miss Daisy, but that didn't stop them putting it in Comedy/Musical.

[flipp525]

The Globes are starfuckers. If there's one place Justin Timberlake could get a nomination, it's here.

True, but the "star-fucking" candidates don't supplant their better received co-stars, especially in the supporting categories (see Cameron Diaz and Catherine Keener for Being John Malkovich; Tom Cruise and Robert Downey Jr. for Tropic Thunder, etc.)

And where's Mark Ruffalo?

I'm making an early prediction that Melissa Leo starts racking up critics awards for The Fighter.