In fact, I think that all of them are shaky nominees, and have no shot of winning (except Natalie Portman)Mister Tee wrote:1) Agree with Magilla: not happening this year, either.Greg wrote:If the awards for Lead Actor, Lead Actress, Supporting Actor, and Supporting Actress go to Jesse Eisenberg, Natalie Portman, Andrew Garfield, and either Hailee Steinfeld or Mila Kunis, then all acting winners will be under 30 years old. Does anyone know if this has ever happened before?
2) I'm pretty sure the only two best actor winners under 30 are Richard Dreyfuss and Adrien Brody, so possible precedents are automatically limited.
My first complete Oscar predictions of the year
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FilmFan720
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Mister Tee
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1) Agree with Magilla: not happening this year, either.Greg wrote:If the awards for Lead Actor, Lead Actress, Supporting Actor, and Supporting Actress go to Jesse Eisenberg, Natalie Portman, Andrew Garfield, and either Hailee Steinfeld or Mila Kunis, then all acting winners will be under 30 years old. Does anyone know if this has ever happened before?
2) I'm pretty sure the only two best actor winners under 30 are Richard Dreyfuss and Adrien Brody, so possible precedents are automatically limited.
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Big Magilla
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Here are my updated predictions. The biggest changes have been in the acting categories. In general, I mixed the usual predix with a few out of the norm (though nothing impossible). Considering how great a Best Picture line-up this looks, I am assuming there is some movie I am missing. There has to be some sort of THE BLIND SIDE nominee to screw things up, but I cannot figure out what that is.
BEST PICTURE
127 Hours
Another Year
Black Swan
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
Shutter Island
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
DIRECTOR
127 Hours
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The Social Network
True Grit
ADAPTED
Shutter Island
The Social Network
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Winter's Bone
ORIGINAL
Another Year
Black Swan
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
L. ACTOR
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Jim Broadbent - Another Year
Leo Dicaprio - Shutter Island
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours
L. ACTRESS
Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville - Another Year
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
S. ACTOR
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Aaron Eackhart - Rabbit Hole
Jeremy Renner - The Town
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
S. ACTRESS
Amy Adams - The Fighter
Marion Cotillard - Inception
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Hailee Steinfield - True Grit
EDITING
127 Hours
Black Swan
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit
CINEMATOGRAPHY
127 Hours
Black Swan
The King's Speech
Inception
True Grit
SET
Alice In Wonderland
The Deathly Hallows
Inception
Tron Legacy
Shutter Island
COSTUME
Alice In Wonderland
The King's Speech
Shutter Island
The Tempest
True Grit
SCORE
127 Hours
Inception
The King's Speech
Never Let Me Go
True Grit
SOUND
127 Hours
Inception
Iron Man 2
Toy Story 3
Tron Legacy
SOUND EDITING
Inception
Iron Man 2
Scott Pilgrim Vs The World
Toy Story 3
Tron Legacy
VISUAL EFFECTS
Alice In Wonderland
The Deathly Hallows
Inception
Iron Man 2
Tron Legacy
MAKE-UP
Black Swan
The Tempest
The Wolf Man
BEST PICTURE
127 Hours
Another Year
Black Swan
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
Shutter Island
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
DIRECTOR
127 Hours
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The Social Network
True Grit
ADAPTED
Shutter Island
The Social Network
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Winter's Bone
ORIGINAL
Another Year
Black Swan
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
L. ACTOR
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Jim Broadbent - Another Year
Leo Dicaprio - Shutter Island
Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours
L. ACTRESS
Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville - Another Year
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
S. ACTOR
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Aaron Eackhart - Rabbit Hole
Jeremy Renner - The Town
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
S. ACTRESS
Amy Adams - The Fighter
Marion Cotillard - Inception
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Hailee Steinfield - True Grit
EDITING
127 Hours
Black Swan
Inception
The Social Network
True Grit
CINEMATOGRAPHY
127 Hours
Black Swan
The King's Speech
Inception
True Grit
SET
Alice In Wonderland
The Deathly Hallows
Inception
Tron Legacy
Shutter Island
COSTUME
Alice In Wonderland
The King's Speech
Shutter Island
The Tempest
True Grit
SCORE
127 Hours
Inception
The King's Speech
Never Let Me Go
True Grit
SOUND
127 Hours
Inception
Iron Man 2
Toy Story 3
Tron Legacy
SOUND EDITING
Inception
Iron Man 2
Scott Pilgrim Vs The World
Toy Story 3
Tron Legacy
VISUAL EFFECTS
Alice In Wonderland
The Deathly Hallows
Inception
Iron Man 2
Tron Legacy
MAKE-UP
Black Swan
The Tempest
The Wolf Man
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anonymous1980
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Big Magilla wrote:Is it official that there will only be three song nominees?
No. But the rules allow for it to happen. I'm guessing this is the year there will be only 3 nominees.
Yeah, Uncle Boonmee is a stretch but they did nominate The Milk of Sorrow which is a sign, I hope, that the Academy is starting to open up on weirder, more idiosyncratic/artsy fare.
Edited By anonymous on 1291641848
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Big Magilla
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Good first try.
Is it official that there will only be three song nominees?
Best Picture list could be Oscar's actual one, although I'm still not completely sold on True Grit. I keep taking it on and off my list on CinemaSight.
The most likely acting nominee from that, though, is not Jeff Bridges, but Hailee Steinfled, who is certainly more likely than Marion Cotillard. Also conspicuous by her absence from your supporting actress line-up: Amy Adams in The Fighter.
I think Best Actor will skewer younger with Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter), Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine) and Aaron Eckhart (Rabbit Hole) all vying for the Bridges and Duvall spots.
Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine is also a potent contender in Best Actress, but the five you list look pretty solid.
Supporting Actor looks solid with Renner the only question mark over Sam Rockwell in Conviction and Guy Pearce in The King's Speech, neither of whom are likely to win, but both of whom are overdue for some sort of recognition.
The foreign film selections seem almost too good to be true, which probably means they are, and the foreign language selection committee will throw their usual curve ball and come up with something totally unexpected.
Is it official that there will only be three song nominees?
Best Picture list could be Oscar's actual one, although I'm still not completely sold on True Grit. I keep taking it on and off my list on CinemaSight.
The most likely acting nominee from that, though, is not Jeff Bridges, but Hailee Steinfled, who is certainly more likely than Marion Cotillard. Also conspicuous by her absence from your supporting actress line-up: Amy Adams in The Fighter.
I think Best Actor will skewer younger with Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter), Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine) and Aaron Eckhart (Rabbit Hole) all vying for the Bridges and Duvall spots.
Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine is also a potent contender in Best Actress, but the five you list look pretty solid.
Supporting Actor looks solid with Renner the only question mark over Sam Rockwell in Conviction and Guy Pearce in The King's Speech, neither of whom are likely to win, but both of whom are overdue for some sort of recognition.
The foreign film selections seem almost too good to be true, which probably means they are, and the foreign language selection committee will throw their usual curve ball and come up with something totally unexpected.
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anonymous1980
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Since awards season has already officially started, my first complete Oscar predictions of the year:
BEST PICTURE OF THE YEAR
127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) Danny Boyle, Christian Coulson and John Smithson, producers.
Another Year (Focus Features) Georgina Lowe, producer.
Black Swan (20th Century Fox) Brian Oliver, Scott Franklin and Arnold Messer, producers.
Inception (Warner Bros.) Christopher Nolan and Emma Thomas, producers.
The Kids Are All Right (Focus Features) Gary Gilbert, Celine Rattray and Daniela Taplin Lundberg, producers.
The King's Speech (Miramax) Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, producers.
The Social Network (Columbia Pictures) Cean Chaffin, Michael DeLuca and Scott Rudin, producers.
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney Pictures/PIXAR) Darla K. Anderson, producer.
True Grit (Paramount Pictures) Joel Coen, Ethan Coen and Scott Rudin, producers.
Winter's Bone (Roadside Attractions) Alix Madigan and Anne Rosellini, producers.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Fincher, The Social Network
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, True Grit
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Robert Duvall, Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville, Another Year
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Marion Cotillard, Inception
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole
BEST SCREENPLAY WRITTEN DIRECTLY FOR THE SCREEN
Another Year
Written by Mike Leigh.
Black Swan
Story by Andres Heinz.
Screenplay by Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz & John McLaughlin.
Inception
Written by Christopher Nolan.
The Kids Are All Right
Written by Lisa Cholondeko and Stuart Blumberg.
The King's Speech
Written by David Seidler.
BEST SCREENPLAY BASED ON MATERIAL PREVIOUSLY PRODUCED or PUBLISHED
The Ghost Writer
Screenplay by Robert Harris and Roman Polanski.
Based on the novel by Robert Harris.
Rabbit Hole
Screenplay by David Lindsay-Abaire.
Based on his play.
The Social Network
Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin.
Based on the book The Accidental Billionaires by Ben Metzinger.
Toy Story 3
Screenplay by Michael Arndt.
Screen story by John Lasseter, Lee Unkrich and Andrew Stanton.
Based on the characters of the 1995 and 1999 films.
Winter’s Bone
Screenplay by Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini.
Based on the novel by Daniel Woodrell.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon (Dreamworks) Chris Sanders and Dean DuBlois.
The Illusionist (Sony Pictures/Canal+) Sylvain Chomet.
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney Pictures/PIXAR) Lee Unkrich.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Biutiful (Mexico) Alejandro Gonzalez Inarittu, director.
Live Above All (South Africa) Oliver Schmitz, director.
Of Gods and Men (Italy) Xavier Beauvois
Sons of Babylon (Iraq) Mohamed Al-Daradji, director.
Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Thailand) Apichatpong Weeraseekathul, director.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN ART DIRECTION
Alice in Wonderland
Robert Stromberg (art direction) & Karen O'Hara (set decoration)
Black Swan
Therese DePrez (art direction) & Lin MacDonald (set decoration)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Stuart Craig (art direction) & Stephenie McMillan (set decoration).
Inception
Guy Hendrix Dyas (art direction) & Larry Dias and Doug Mowat (set decoration)
The King's Speech
Eve Stewart (art direction) & Judy Farr (set decoration)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
Enrique Chediak and Anthony Dod Mantle, 127 Hours
Eduardo Serra, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Wally Pfister, Inception
Jeff Cronenweth, The Social Network
Roger Deakins, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
Jon Harris, 127 Hours
Lee Smith, Inception
Tariq Anwar, The King's Speech
Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall, The Social Network
Roderick Jaynes, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
A.R. Rahman, 127 Hours
Hans Zimmer, Inception
Alexandre Desplat, The King's Speech
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Randy Newman, Toy Story 3
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"If I Rise", 127 Hours
music & lyrics by A.R. Rahman and Dido.
"I See The Light", Tangled
music by Alan Menken & lyrics by Glenn Slater.
"We Belong Together", Toy Story 3
music & lyrics by Randy Newman
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Colleen Atwood, Alice in Wonderland
Amy Westcott, Black Swan
Michael Kaplan, Burlesque
Jenny Beavan, The King's Speech
Mary Zophres, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND MIXING
Gary Rizzo, Lora Hirschberg and Ed Novick, Inception
Michael Semanick and Tom Myers, Toy Story 3
Christopher Boyes, Gary Rizzo and Juan Peralta, TRON: Legacy
Skip Lievsey, Greg Orloff and Craig Berkey, True Grit
Kevin O'Connell, Beau Borders and William B. Kaplan, Unstoppable
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND EDITING
Randy Thom and Jonathan Null, How to Train Your Dragon
Richard King, Inception
Tom Myers and Michael Silvers, Toy Story 3
Addison Teague and Christopher Boyes, TRON Legacy
Mark P. Stoeckinger, Unstoppable
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
Jim Rygiel, Angus Bickerton, Thomas Baber and Brian Cox, The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader
Tim Burke, John Moffatt, Chris Shaw and Steve Hamilton, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1
Paul J. Franklin, Chris Corbould, Tim Angulo and Mark H. Weingarter, Inception
Janek Sirrs, Andrew Hellen, Timothy Brakensiek and Simeon Bassett, Iron Man 2
Eric Barba, Nikos Kalaitzidis, Steve Preeg and Bernd Angerer, TRON: Legacy
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP
Valli O'Reilly and Christopher Allen Nelson, Alice in Wonderland
Judy Chin and Michael Marino, Black Swan
Matthew W. Mungle and Jeff Rebelo, The Tempest
Edited By anonymous on 1291641767
BEST PICTURE OF THE YEAR
127 Hours (Fox Searchlight) Danny Boyle, Christian Coulson and John Smithson, producers.
Another Year (Focus Features) Georgina Lowe, producer.
Black Swan (20th Century Fox) Brian Oliver, Scott Franklin and Arnold Messer, producers.
Inception (Warner Bros.) Christopher Nolan and Emma Thomas, producers.
The Kids Are All Right (Focus Features) Gary Gilbert, Celine Rattray and Daniela Taplin Lundberg, producers.
The King's Speech (Miramax) Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, producers.
The Social Network (Columbia Pictures) Cean Chaffin, Michael DeLuca and Scott Rudin, producers.
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney Pictures/PIXAR) Darla K. Anderson, producer.
True Grit (Paramount Pictures) Joel Coen, Ethan Coen and Scott Rudin, producers.
Winter's Bone (Roadside Attractions) Alix Madigan and Anne Rosellini, producers.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Fincher, The Social Network
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, True Grit
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Robert Duvall, Get Low
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Lesley Manville, Another Year
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Marion Cotillard, Inception
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
Dianne Wiest, Rabbit Hole
BEST SCREENPLAY WRITTEN DIRECTLY FOR THE SCREEN
Another Year
Written by Mike Leigh.
Black Swan
Story by Andres Heinz.
Screenplay by Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz & John McLaughlin.
Inception
Written by Christopher Nolan.
The Kids Are All Right
Written by Lisa Cholondeko and Stuart Blumberg.
The King's Speech
Written by David Seidler.
BEST SCREENPLAY BASED ON MATERIAL PREVIOUSLY PRODUCED or PUBLISHED
The Ghost Writer
Screenplay by Robert Harris and Roman Polanski.
Based on the novel by Robert Harris.
Rabbit Hole
Screenplay by David Lindsay-Abaire.
Based on his play.
The Social Network
Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin.
Based on the book The Accidental Billionaires by Ben Metzinger.
Toy Story 3
Screenplay by Michael Arndt.
Screen story by John Lasseter, Lee Unkrich and Andrew Stanton.
Based on the characters of the 1995 and 1999 films.
Winter’s Bone
Screenplay by Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini.
Based on the novel by Daniel Woodrell.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
How to Train Your Dragon (Dreamworks) Chris Sanders and Dean DuBlois.
The Illusionist (Sony Pictures/Canal+) Sylvain Chomet.
Toy Story 3 (Walt Disney Pictures/PIXAR) Lee Unkrich.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Biutiful (Mexico) Alejandro Gonzalez Inarittu, director.
Live Above All (South Africa) Oliver Schmitz, director.
Of Gods and Men (Italy) Xavier Beauvois
Sons of Babylon (Iraq) Mohamed Al-Daradji, director.
Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Thailand) Apichatpong Weeraseekathul, director.
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN ART DIRECTION
Alice in Wonderland
Robert Stromberg (art direction) & Karen O'Hara (set decoration)
Black Swan
Therese DePrez (art direction) & Lin MacDonald (set decoration)
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Stuart Craig (art direction) & Stephenie McMillan (set decoration).
Inception
Guy Hendrix Dyas (art direction) & Larry Dias and Doug Mowat (set decoration)
The King's Speech
Eve Stewart (art direction) & Judy Farr (set decoration)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN CINEMATOGRAPHY
Enrique Chediak and Anthony Dod Mantle, 127 Hours
Eduardo Serra, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
Wally Pfister, Inception
Jeff Cronenweth, The Social Network
Roger Deakins, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN FILM EDITING
Jon Harris, 127 Hours
Lee Smith, Inception
Tariq Anwar, The King's Speech
Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall, The Social Network
Roderick Jaynes, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
A.R. Rahman, 127 Hours
Hans Zimmer, Inception
Alexandre Desplat, The King's Speech
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Randy Newman, Toy Story 3
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"If I Rise", 127 Hours
music & lyrics by A.R. Rahman and Dido.
"I See The Light", Tangled
music by Alan Menken & lyrics by Glenn Slater.
"We Belong Together", Toy Story 3
music & lyrics by Randy Newman
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN COSTUME DESIGN
Colleen Atwood, Alice in Wonderland
Amy Westcott, Black Swan
Michael Kaplan, Burlesque
Jenny Beavan, The King's Speech
Mary Zophres, True Grit
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND MIXING
Gary Rizzo, Lora Hirschberg and Ed Novick, Inception
Michael Semanick and Tom Myers, Toy Story 3
Christopher Boyes, Gary Rizzo and Juan Peralta, TRON: Legacy
Skip Lievsey, Greg Orloff and Craig Berkey, True Grit
Kevin O'Connell, Beau Borders and William B. Kaplan, Unstoppable
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SOUND EDITING
Randy Thom and Jonathan Null, How to Train Your Dragon
Richard King, Inception
Tom Myers and Michael Silvers, Toy Story 3
Addison Teague and Christopher Boyes, TRON Legacy
Mark P. Stoeckinger, Unstoppable
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN VISUAL EFFECTS
Jim Rygiel, Angus Bickerton, Thomas Baber and Brian Cox, The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader
Tim Burke, John Moffatt, Chris Shaw and Steve Hamilton, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1
Paul J. Franklin, Chris Corbould, Tim Angulo and Mark H. Weingarter, Inception
Janek Sirrs, Andrew Hellen, Timothy Brakensiek and Simeon Bassett, Iron Man 2
Eric Barba, Nikos Kalaitzidis, Steve Preeg and Bernd Angerer, TRON: Legacy
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP
Valli O'Reilly and Christopher Allen Nelson, Alice in Wonderland
Judy Chin and Michael Marino, Black Swan
Matthew W. Mungle and Jeff Rebelo, The Tempest
Edited By anonymous on 1291641767