November 2009 Predictions

[OscarGuy]

Although I won't be posting all of these officially until later this week (possibly Thursday), I thought I would share:

Picture:
Avatar
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air

Animated:
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up

Director:
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Precious
Up in the Air

Actor:
Morgan Freeman
Mark Wahlberg
Daniel Day-Lewis
Colin Firth
George Clooney

Actress:
Annette Bening
Hilary Swank
Helen Mirren
Saoirse Ronan
Gabby Sidibe

Supporting Actor:
Matt Damon
Alfred Molina
Christoph Waltz
Christopher Plummer
Stanley Tucci

Supporting Actress:
Mo'Nique
Susan Sarandon
Marion Cotillard
Winona Ryder - The Private Lives of Pippa Lee
Ginnifer Goodwin - A Single Man

[Big Magilla]

I think if there were only five nominees there would be less consensus.

The Lovely Bones is still a question mark for me, and Nine may turn out to be less than we expect. Invictus looks solid enough to score major nominations even if it turns out to be no more than an "inspiring" combination of Chariots of Fire and Gandhi.

We shall see what we shall see.

[The Original BJ]

One thought I've had about Best Picture since reading these lists (as well as others across the web): about EIGHT movies seem to be showing up on EVERYONE'S lists. An Education, The Hurt Locker, Invictus, The Lovely Bones, Nine, Precious, Up, and Up in the Air.

Now, of course I'm not saying that these movies are all set for nominations. Some probably aren't -- we won't know for a couple months. But isn't it kind of odd that there seems to be so much consensus prediction-wise so early on? In past years, there has been a lot more disagreement over the contenders.

Hopefully this doesn't portend a predictable season...

[Big Magilla]

Supporting actor is suddenly top heavy with big names. The heretofore unknown Waltz will probably make it, but I'm hard pressed to say which veteran performer won't - Baldwin, Bridges, Molina? I couldn't decide.



Edited By Big Magilla on 1257137193

[anonymous1980]

I think Christoph Waltz in Inglourious Basterds is practically a lock at this point, along with Mo'Nique. It's one of the most talked-about performances of the year.

What makes you think he isn't going to make the cut?

[Big Magilla]

Plummer is being campaigned for support in The Last Station, James McAvoy and Helen Mirren in lead.

Shoreh Aghdashloo was an early favorite in some circles but her film came and went without much notice.

I don't believe Mother and Child has a release date.

[FilmFan720]

I thought I had read somewhere he was being pushed for supporting, which is why I had him there. It certainly seems likely, as that is where most older actors career nods come in.

[Reza]

Surely Christopher Plummer is a lead in The Last Station?

[OscarGuy]

I don't know that it's going to make it to the final race, but has anyone considered Shohreh Aghdashloo in The Stoning of Soraya M? It's a good performance, but I don't know if she can compete, though her Emmy win might help.

[FilmFan720]

BEST PICTURE
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglorious Basterds
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air

BEST DIRECTOR
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels, Precious
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Peter Jackson, The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall, Nine

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Hal Holbrook, That Evening Sun
Mark Wahlberg, The Lovely Bones

BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, Mother and Child
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Saoirse Roman, The Lovely Bones
Gabourie Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julia and Julia

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, The Men Who Stare At Goats
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglorious Basterds

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Judi Dench, Nine
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo’Nique, Precious
Susan Sarandon, The Lovely Bones
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Hurt Locker
Inglorious Basterds
A Serious Man
That Evening Sun
Up

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Lovely Bones
The Men Who Stare at Goats
Nine
Precious
Up in the Air

[Big Magilla]

The National Board of Review awards, the first major awards of the season, will be announced on December 3rd, which is just a little over a month away. Time for us to start getting serious about our predictions. Here are my first of the year:

Best Picture
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Invictus
Nine
Precious
A Serious Man
A Single Man
Up
Up in the Air
Where the Wild Things Are

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Matt Damon, The Informant!
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus

Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Best Supporting Actor
Alec Baldwin, It's Complicated
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, Julie & Julia
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Judi Dench, Nine
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo’Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Lee Daniels, Precious
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Lone Sherfig, An Education



Edited By Big Magilla on 1259435827