First 2009 predictions - It's time...

Mister Tee
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Post by Mister Tee »

Tree of Life has, I believe, been confirmed for this year -- and The Tempest has been pushed to 2010.

Not only did the new At the Movies boys trash The Burning Plain, it's been running on IFC on Demand, which I'm led to believe is a disqualifier.
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Post by Big Magilla »

OscarGuy wrote:Yes, I know most of these suck, but I had a hard time just coming up with some of these.
I wouldn't say that, but you need to come up with better choices for the ladies.

A.O. Scott, in his his first stint as co-host of At the Movies, totally ridiculed The Burning Plain with the cattiest review I've ever seen by anyone starting with "Kim Basinger plays Charlize Theron's mother".

Michelle Pfeiffer's Cheri opened to tepid reviews and fizzled at the box office.

The key female roles in Nine are those played by Penelope Cruz and Judi Dench, and to some extent, Marion Cotillard, not those played by Sophia Loren and Kate Hudson, though Loren could possibly grab some sentimental votes if the film has an unprecedented four nominees in Supporting Actress.

Among those worth considering: Carrie Mulligan (An Education); Shoreh Aghashloo (The Stoning of Shoraya M.) and Gibourey Sidibe (Precious) for Best Actress and Mo'nique (Precious) and Rachel Weistz (The Lovely Bones) for Supporting Actress.
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Post by flipp525 »

Reza wrote:What about The Last Train with Christopher Plummer and Helen Mirren as the Tolstoys?
It's actually called The Last Station.
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Post by Reza »

What about The Last Train with Christopher Plummer and Helen Mirren as the Tolstoys?
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Post by OscarGuy »

I will hopefully post these officially on my website tomorrow, but I thought I'd post some of the categories now.

This does not include Tree of Life as I haven't heard anything official about it releasing this year (if you guys have sources, I'd appreciate it).

Picture:
Amelia
Avatar
Bright Star
500 Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine
The Road
Up

Animated:
The Princess and the Frog
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
Up

Director:
Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones
Mira Nair - Amelia
Clint Eastwood - Invictus
Rob Marshall - Nine
Spike Jonze - Where the Wild Things Are (this is my left-field suggestion, so it's just a random thought right now)

Actor:
Morgan Freeman - Invictus
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - 500 Days of Summer
Robert De Niro - Everybody's Fine
Mark Wahlberg - The Lovely Bones
Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine

Actress:

Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones
Hilary Swank - Amelia
Charlize Theron - The Burning Plain
Michelle Pfeiffer - Cheri
Helen Mirren - The Tempest

Supporting Actor:
Matt Damon - Invictus
Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
Guy Pearce - The Road
Emile Hirsch - Taking Woodstock (I haven't done revisions to this category, but probably should considering)
Paul Dano - Taking Woodstock

Supporting Actress:
Sophia Loren - Nine
Kim Basinger - The Burning Plain
Rachel Weisz - The Lovely Bones
Susan Sarandon - The Lovely Bones
Kate Hudson - Nine

Yes, I know most of these suck, but I had a hard time just coming up with some of these.
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Post by MovieWes »

Is Tree of Life going to be released this year? I worked on it, but I haven't heard anything about it being released this year. If it's nominated, that would be really cool because that would mean that I worked on a Best Picture nominee, even though I was the lowliest of production assistants. I hardly ever set foot onset, and never during shooting. But still, it would make up for the mistake I made a couple years ago when I passed on doing PA work on No Country for Old Men because I didn't want to be out in the middle of nowhere in West Texas for two months. I'm still kicking myself for that one.



Edited By MovieWes on 1252033049
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Post by Okri »

Zahveed wrote:
Hustler wrote:Why The Hurt Locker is being considered for this year´s nominees? It was selected last year at the Independent spirit awards.
It wasn't released theatrically though. Do festivals count as premieres?
Only for the Spirit Awards. Films like Whale Rider and City of God have received nominations in this manner.
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Post by Zahveed »

Hustler wrote:Why The Hurt Locker is being considered for this year´s nominees? It was selected last year at the Independent spirit awards.
It wasn't released theatrically though. Do festivals count as premieres?
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Post by rolotomasi99 »

Finally! I have been holding onto my predix for a very long time. I was wondering when OscarGuy would be ready for us to start this discussion.

Obviously these are highly subject to change. With SHUTTER ISLAND out (boo) and THE TREE OF LIFE in (yay) as well as several other schedule changes, I really been thrown for a loop in a number of categories.

Also, I still have no idea what this whole ten best picture nominees will mean. In the years past where there were ten on the ballot, sometimes you would have nominees which were not nominated in any other categories. The closest we have had that situation recently was FOUR WEDDINGS AND A FUNERAL being nominated for only screenplay and yet still being nominated for best picture. Not sure how much of that will happen this year, but I am still praying to the movie goddesses the Academy will come to their senses and change it back to five nominees. They still have time!




Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1251841063
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Post by rolotomasi99 »

BEST PICTURE

Amelia

The Hurt Locker

Invictus

The Lovely Bones

Nine

The Road

The Tempest

The Tree Of Life

Up

DIRECTOR

The Hurt Locker

Invictus

The Lovely Bones

The Road

The Tree Of Life

ADAPTED

An Education

The Informant

The Lovely Bones

Precious

The Road

ORIGINAL

Broken Embraces

The Hurt Locker

A Serious Man

The Tree Of Life

Up

L. ACTOR

Viggo Mortensen – The Road

Sean Penn – The Tree Of Life

Morgan Freeman – Invictus

Daniel Day Lewis – Nine

Matt Damon – The Informant

L. ACTRESS

Michelle Pfiefer – Cheri

Hilary Swank – Amelia

Saoirse Ronan – The Lovely Bones

Carey Mulligan – An Education

Meryl Streep – Julie And Julia

S. ACTOR

Richard Kind – A Serious Man

Djimon Hounsou – The Tempest

Alfred Molin – An Education

Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones

Sam Shepard – Brothers

S. ACTRESS

Jane Lynch – Julie And Julia

Natalie Portman – Brothers

Monique – Precious

Judi Dench – Nine

Rachel Weisz – The Lovely Bones

EDITING

District 9

The Hurt Locker

The Inglorious Basterds

Nine

Public Enemies

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Amelia

The Inglorious Basterds

Nine

The Tree Of Life

The Tempest

SET

Agora

Amelia

The Inglorious Basterds

Nine

The Tempest

COSTUME

Amelia

Bright Star

Cheri

Nine

The Tempest

SCORE

Amelia

The Lovely Bones

The Tempest

The Tree Of Life

Up

SOUND

Avatar

The Hurt Locker

Nine

Star Trek

Up

SOUND EDITING

Avatar

Nine

Star Trek

Transformers 2

Up

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar

Star Trek

Transformers 2

MAKE-UP

The Half-Blood Prince

The Tempest




Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1251841480
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow
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Post by Hustler »

Why The Hurt Locker is being considered for this year´s nominees? It was selected last year at the Independent spirit awards.
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Post by OscarGuy »

Mine will be updated some time this week. I have them all updated as of this weekend, but haven't had the time to update my site.
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Post by Zahveed »

Best Picture
(500) Days of Summer
Amelia
Everybody's Fine
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
The Men Who Stare at Goats
Nine
Where the Wild Things Are

Best Director
Clint Eastwood - Invictus
Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall - Nine
Mira Nair - Amelia
Quentin Tarantino - Inglourious Basterds

Best Lead Actor
Michael Cera - Youth in Revolt
Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine
Robert DeNiro - Everybody's Fine
Morgan Freeman - Invictus
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - (500) Days of Summer

Best Lead Actress
Emily Blunt - The Young Victoria
Penelope Cruz - Broken Embraces
Mélanie Laurent - Inglourious Basterds
Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones
Hilary Swank - Amelia

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges - The Men Who Stare at Goats
Matt Damon - Invictus
Heath Ledger - The Imaginarium of Dr. Parnassus
Mark Wahlberg - The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz - Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress
Drew Barrymore - Everybody's Fine
Marion Cotillard - Nine
Judie Dench - Nine
Zooey Deschanel - (500) Days of Summer
Rachel Weisz - The Lovely Bones

Best Original Screenplay
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
A Serious Man
Up

Best Adapted Screenplay
Everybody's Fine
The Lovely Bones
The Men Who Stare at Goats
Nine
Where the Wild Things Are


Best Animated Feature
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up
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Post by MovieWes »

Might as well, although I will probably get over half of these wrong...

Best Picture
An Education
A Serious Man
Broken Embraces
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire
Up

Best Director
Pedro Almodovar- Broken Embraces
Kathryn Bigalow- The Hurt Locker
Clint Eastwood- Invictus
Peter Jackson- The Lovely Bones
Quentin Tarantino- Inglourious Basterds

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis- Nine
Morgan Freeman- Invictus
Viggo Mortensen- The Road
Jeremy Renner- The Hurt Locker
Michael Stuhlbarg- A Serious Man

Best Actress
Penelope Cruz- Broken Embraces
Carey Mulligan- An Eduction
Saoirse Ronan- The Lovely Bones
Gabourey “Gabby” Sidibe- Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire
Meryl Streep- Julie & Julia

Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon- Invictus
Anthony Mackie- The Hurt Locker
Peter Sarsgaard- An Education
Mark Wahlberg- The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz- Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress
Mo’nique- Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire
Penelope Cruz- Nine
Judi Dench- Nine
Melanie Laurent- Inglourious Basterds
Susan Sarandon- The Lovely Bones

Best Original Screenplay
A Serious Man- Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Broken Embraces- Pedro Almodovar
The Hurt Locker- Mark Boal
Inglourious Basterds- Quentin Tarantino
Up- Pete Docter, Thomas McCarthy, Bob Peterson

Best Adapted Screenplay
An Education- Nick Hornby
Invictus- Anthony Peckham
The Lovely Bones- Peter Jackson, Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens
Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” by Sapphire- Geoffrey Fletcher
The Road- Joe Penhall

Best Animated Feature
Coraline
Ponyo
Up

Best Film Editing
The Hurt Locker- Chris Ennis, Bob Murawski
Inglourious Basterds- Sally Menke
Invictus- Joel Cox, Gary Roach
The Lovely Bones- Jabez Olssen
The Road- Jon Gregory

Best Cinematography
Inglourious Basterds- Robert Richardson
The Lovely Bones- Andrew Lesnie
Public Enemies- Dante Spinotti
Nine- Dion Beebe
The Road- Javier Aguirresarobe

Best Art Direction
Agora
Amelia
An Education
Inglourious Basterds
Nine

Best Costume Design
Agora
Bright Star
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Public Enemies

Best Makeup
District 9
Inglourious Basterds
Watchmen

Best Sound Mixing
Avatar
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Star Trek
Up

Best Sound Editing
Avatar
District 9
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up

Best Visual Effects
Avatar
Star Trek
Watchmen

Best Original Score
Avatar- James Horner
The Hurt Locker- Marco Beltrami
Invictus- Clint Eastwood
The Lovely Bones- Brian Eno
Up- Michael Giacchino




Edited By MovieWes on 1251738776
"Young men make wars and the virtues of war are the virtues of young men: courage and hope for the future. Then old men make the peace, and the vices of peace are the vices of old men: mistrust and caution." -- Alec Guinness (Lawrence of Arabia)
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