Predict the Oscar Nominations Contest

[Jim20]

My mistake, these were posted in the wrong category.

[Jim20]

All right, let me give this a go, major categories with animated shorts, etc to follow:

PICTURE: Slumdog Millionaire
ACTOR: Sean Penn, Milk
ACTRESS: Kate Winslet, The Reader
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Viola Davis, Doubt
DIRECTOR: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Wall-E
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Slumdog Millionaire
ANIMATED FEATURE: Wall-E
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: The Class
ART DIRECTION: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Dark Knight
COSTUME DESIGN: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
FILM EDITING: Slumdog Millionaire
MAKEUP: The Dark Knight
ORIGINAL SCORE: Wall-E
ORIGINAL SONG: Slumdog Millionaire
SOUND: The Dark Knight
SOUND EDITING: The Dark Knight
VISUAL EFFECTS: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

[Sabin]

Damn these were close. I thought I did lousy but then again, this isn't a good year to be right.

[sijmen]

Congrats to Sijmin. I wonder if he employed his famous statistical theory to his predictions.

Yeah, I was going to say, obviously his Experiment was a success this year.

Wow! I won!!! I won a predicting contest at the UAADB!

I'm working on that statistical formula for 8 years now, and I do it with one goal in mind: to some day beat the UAADB in predicting the Oscar nominees! Now that day has finally come... And I have to find another goal in life

Actually, without the formula I would have predicted Wall-E for best picture and director instead of Frost/Nixon. So long live that formula.

In the other categories I didn't think to much (I didn't had the time, I was at work writing that post). I just put the ASC nominees for best cinematography, the ACE nominees for best editing, the CAS-nominees for best sound and sound-editing, etc.

So maybe that's the secret of it all: write your final predictions at work, so you don't have too much time for (wishfull) thinking.

Thanks Cinemanolis for all your hard work!

[dylanfan23]

This is actually the first time i ever attempted to predict all the catorgories, i really just enjoy rooting for films, performances ect. that i feel are the best...so i was pretty sure i would be at the bottom, so i'm very happy to be middle of the pack lol.

[flipp525]

Michael Shannon 'Revolutionary Road' for Best Supporting Actor

I know it doesn't count for anything, but I had him down for my 'Dark Horse' spot.

[Cinemanolis]

Some more statistics

Nobody predicted the following

Stephen Daldry 'The Reader' for Best Director

Kate Winslet 'The Reader' for Best Actress

Michael Shannon 'Revolutionary Road' for Best Supporting Actor

'Wanted' for Best Sound Mixing

Only 3 participants predicted 'O Saya' for Best Song

[barrybrooks8]

Despite The Reader in Pic and Changeling in Cinematography, I suck.

[Mister Tee]

Congrats to Sijmin. I wonder if he employed his famous statistical theory to his predictions.

Yeah, I was going to say, obviously his Experiment was a success this year.

[Big Magilla]

Ironically wishful thinking would have helped me this year, the first year in which I haven't allowed wishful thinking to guide my predictions. I would have won with 74 points, but I'm just happy my real choices won.

Congrats to Sijmin. I wonder if he employed his famous statistical theory to his predictions.

[OscarGuy]

Well, Zahveed, Wishful thinking, sadly, gets all of us in trouble sometimes. I know I've been guilty of it in the past, but I tried to be entirely empirical this year and tried to shunt my personal opinions out of the equation and I think it turned out quite well. Obviously no one is perfect, but that I did so well, especially in the Top categories, makes me feel better about my methodology this year.

[Zahveed]

Damn my wishful thinking.

[Greg]

It's not a surprise that with us mostly making all the same choices, that the scores are so bunched together.

[Big Magilla]

Thanks, Manolis, for undertaking such an arduous task and to Filmfan (belatedly) for doing the same with the Globes.

[Cinemanolis]

The results are in. It was a very close race.

First some honorable mentions to:

Barrybrooks for being the only one who had 'The Reader' in the Best Picture category

Big Magilla for being the only one who had 'Frozen River' in the Best Original Screenplay category

Hollywood Z for being the only one who had 'Wanted' in the Best Sound Editing category

Reza and Sijmen for being the only ones who had 'Milk' in the Best Costume Design category

Barrybrooks and DylanFan23 for being the only ones who had 'The Changeling' in the Best Cinematography category

DylanFan23 for being the only one who predicted all 5 nominees in the Best Music Score category.


And the results (for all the 20 categories)

1. Sijmen (70)
2. OscarGuy (69)
2. Big Magilla (69)
2. Heksagon (69)
5. FilmFan720 (68)
5. Greg (68) *
5. Sabin (68)
5. Paperboy (68)
9. Damien (67)
9. Reza (67)
11. Anonymous (66)
11. Cinemanolis (66)
11. Critic (66)
11. Rudeboy (66)
11. Snick's Guy (66)
16. DylanFan23 (65)
16. Eric (65)
16. MovieWes (65)
16. Precious Doll (65)
20. Mister Tee (64)
21. dws1982 (63)
21. Flipp525 (63)
23. Criddic3 (62)
24. Hollywood Z (61) (no Foreign Film predictions)
24. Zahveed (61)
26. Barrybrooks8 (60)
27. Rolotomasi (55) (no Foreign Film, Animated Film, Song predictions)

* Greg could have tied in the first place if in the Foreign Film category he had chosen 'Revanche' and 'Departures' instead of 2 films that were not in the Academy shortlist.

As for the top 8 categories the top 10 was:

1. OscarGuy (32)
1. Sijmen (32)
3. Big Magilla (31)
3. Damien (31)
3. Snick's Guy (31)
6. Greg (30)
6. Mister Tee (30)
6. Paperboy (30)
6. Precious Doll (30)
6. Rolotomassi (30)
6. Rudeboy (30)

P.S. Feel free to correct me in case you see something wrong.



Edited By Cinemanolis on 1232647357