Last-mInute predicts:
Ensemble: Slumdog Millionaire (RU: Doubt)
Actor: Mickey Rourke (RU: Sean Penn)
Actress: Kate Winslet (RU: Anne Hathaway)
Supp. Actor: Heath Ledger (RU: Robert Downey Jr.)
Supp. Actress: Penelope Cruz (RU: Kate Winslet)
SAG Predictions
-
barrybrooks8
- Temp
- Posts: 463
- Joined: Thu Jan 17, 2008 1:34 pm
- Location: Milwaukee
SAG PREDICTIONS
Male-Lead
Winner: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Maybe: Sean Penn, Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Female-Lead
Winner: Meryl Streep, Doubt
Maybe: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Not Gonna Happen: Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Male-Supporting
Winner: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Maybe: Josh Brolin, Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Female-Supporting
Winner: Kate Winslet, The Reader
Maybe: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Not Gonna Happen: Amy Adams, Doubt
Stunt Ensemble:
Winner: The Dark Knight
Maybe: Indiana Jones and the Blah Blah Blah
Not Gonna Happen: Hellboy 2
Cast:
Winner: Doubt
Maybe: Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Frost/Nixon
Male-Lead
Winner: Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Maybe: Sean Penn, Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Female-Lead
Winner: Meryl Streep, Doubt
Maybe: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Not Gonna Happen: Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Male-Supporting
Winner: Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Maybe: Josh Brolin, Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Female-Supporting
Winner: Kate Winslet, The Reader
Maybe: Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Not Gonna Happen: Amy Adams, Doubt
Stunt Ensemble:
Winner: The Dark Knight
Maybe: Indiana Jones and the Blah Blah Blah
Not Gonna Happen: Hellboy 2
Cast:
Winner: Doubt
Maybe: Milk
Not Gonna Happen: Frost/Nixon
"Jesus! Look at my hands! Now really, I am too young for liver spots. Maybe I can merge them together into a tan."
-
Mister Tee
- Tenured Laureate
- Posts: 8648
- Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 2:57 pm
- Location: NYC
- Contact:
I guess the time is now.
I can see any film but Frost/Nixon taking ensemble -- Button or Slumdog on "favorite film" basis, Doubt on four high-powered lead performances, Milk on the classic definition of ensemble. I worry Milk's limited release could hurt it, but, given Doubt's non-best picture Oscar situation, I'll make Milk my crossed-fingers prediction.
The Wrestler has been even less seen that Milk, so Sean should win here -- especially since he's never won SAG.
If Winslet wins for Revolutionary Road, she's truly an Oscar lock. More likely Streep wins here, with Hathaway a possible upset.
Ledger. The free spot on your bingo card.
Everyone's really that sure about Winslet taking supporting? The Reader is such a flop -- how many of those multi-thousand SAG voters have seen it? Wil they really all vote on name recognition alone? This category has some history of voting the most commercially successful even when they're Oscar long shots (Dench for Chocolat, Dee last year), which would argue for Henson, or Adams/Davis. Even Cruz has been fairly well-exposed thanks to DVD.
I'll take the long shot on Adams, probably overly-influenced by seeing the film yesterday.
I can see any film but Frost/Nixon taking ensemble -- Button or Slumdog on "favorite film" basis, Doubt on four high-powered lead performances, Milk on the classic definition of ensemble. I worry Milk's limited release could hurt it, but, given Doubt's non-best picture Oscar situation, I'll make Milk my crossed-fingers prediction.
The Wrestler has been even less seen that Milk, so Sean should win here -- especially since he's never won SAG.
If Winslet wins for Revolutionary Road, she's truly an Oscar lock. More likely Streep wins here, with Hathaway a possible upset.
Ledger. The free spot on your bingo card.
Everyone's really that sure about Winslet taking supporting? The Reader is such a flop -- how many of those multi-thousand SAG voters have seen it? Wil they really all vote on name recognition alone? This category has some history of voting the most commercially successful even when they're Oscar long shots (Dench for Chocolat, Dee last year), which would argue for Henson, or Adams/Davis. Even Cruz has been fairly well-exposed thanks to DVD.
I'll take the long shot on Adams, probably overly-influenced by seeing the film yesterday.