I don't know if anyone else makes predictions as early as I do, but usually I make preliminary ones in December for the next year, and 'officialise' them after the Oscars in February or March. Predicting the nominees at this stage is scattershot enough, winners even more so, but it's a bit of fun and I do it anyway. The 79th were the first Oscars that I tracked throughout the entire year, and IIRC these were the FIRST winner predictions I made for each year, usually made after Sundance and Berlin. Some of them were so wildly off the mark it is kind of funny! Does anyone remember their first winner predictions for past years?
2011
Brad Pitt (Moneyball) [nominated]
Keira Knightley (A Dangerous Method)
Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
Viola Davis (The Help) [nominated in another category]
2010
Stephen Dorff (Somewhere)
Anne Hathaway (Love and Other Drugs)
Ed Harris (The Way Back)
Julianne Moore (The Kids Are All Right)
2009
Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart) *correct
Carey Mulligan (An Education) [nominated]
Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones) [nominated]
Mo'Nique (Precious) *correct
2008
Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road)
Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight) *correct
Amy Adams (Doubt) [nominated]
2007
Joaquin Phoenix (Reservation Road)
Vanessa Redgrave (Evening)
Philip Bosco (The Savages)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)
2006
Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland) *correct
Kate Winslet (Little Children)
Jack Nicholson (The Departed)
Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls) *correct
And I will make my 2012 ones now:
Bill Murray (Hyde Park on Hudson)
Viola Davis (Won't Back Down)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)
Amy Adams (The Master)
First Winner Predictions for Past Years
Return to “Other Oscar Discussions”
Jump to
- Announcements
- ↳ General Announcements
- Introductions
- ↳ Let Me Introduce Myself...
- The Academy Awards
- ↳ The 10th Decade
- ↳ 97th Academy Awards
- ↳ 96th Academy Awards
- ↳ 95th Academy Awards
- ↳ 94th Academy Awards
- ↳ 93rd Academy Awards
- ↳ 92nd Academy Awards
- ↳ 91st Academy Awards
- ↳ The 9th Decade
- ↳ 90th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 90th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 89th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 89th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 88th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 88th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 87th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 87th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 86th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 86th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 85th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 85th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 84th Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 84th Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 83rd Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 83rd Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 82nd Nominations and Winners
- ↳ 82nd Predictions and Precursors
- ↳ 81st and Other 9th Decade Discussions
- ↳ The 8th Decade
- ↳ The Damien Bona Memorial Oscar History Thread
- ↳ Other Oscar Discussions
- General Film Discussions
- ↳ 2020s
- ↳ Coming Soon
- ↳ 2024
- ↳ 2023
- ↳ 2022
- ↳ 2021
- ↳ 2020
- ↳ 2010s
- ↳ 2019
- ↳ 2018
- ↳ 2017
- ↳ 2016
- ↳ 2015
- ↳ 2014
- ↳ 2013
- ↳ 2012
- ↳ 2011
- ↳ 2010
- ↳ 2000s
- ↳ 2009
- ↳ 2008
- ↳ 2000 - 2007
- ↳ The First Century
- ↳ Dream Projects
- ↳ The People
- ↳ Other Film Discussions
- Miscellaneous Discussions
- ↳ Help Forum
- ↳ DVD Discussions
- ↳ Current Events
- ↳ Broadcast Media
- ↳ The Cam Dagg Memorial Theatre and Literature Forum
- ↳ General Off-Topic