SAG Awards

[Big Magilla]

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods
Steven Yeun, Minari

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Clare Dunne, Herself
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A SUPPORTING MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Brian Dennehy, Driveways
Frank Langella, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami...
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A SUPPORTING FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Yuh-Jung Youn, Minarai

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Minari
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
The Trial of the Chicago 7

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Bad Boys for Life
Birds of Prey
Da 5 Bloods
Tenet
The Trial of the Chicago 7

[Sabin]

Don't really disagree with you on anything big except:

- I'm struggling to predict Hamilton for Best Ensemble Cast even though if it's nominated I think there's actually a very strong chance it could end up winning. Currently, I would predict Promising Young Woman. Da 5 Bloods or Sound of Metal could happen too.
- Currently predicting Steven Yeun over Gary Oldman, largely because I really don't know how much voters are going to enjoy Mank.
- Zendaya could benefit from Malcolm and Marie hype and a very hot couple of years but Malcolm and Marie has received a little more muted reviews than expected. I'm going to predict Elisabeth Moss for The Invisible Man with Rachel Brosnahan for I'm Your Woman in the wings.
- Chadwick Boseman in support remains a question mark. Will this be a thing?
- We also need to see whether Judas and the Black Messiah takes off. I think it will benefit strongly from a lack release and an extended calendar, picking up interest as it goes along. Daniel Kaluuya seems like a good bet. I also think Lakeith Stanfield (an very good and interesting actor) could elbow into Best Actor.
- Glenn Close up for Hillbilly Elegy would happen here if anywhere. I like your prediction of Minari for Cast but no individual performances. Pretty dead one.

[anonymous1980]

They announce next week. Let me do some predictions:

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

Chadwick Boseman, Paul Walter Hauser, Sandy Hương Phạm, Lê Y Lan, Nguyễn Ngọc Lâm, Norm Lewis, Delroy Lindo, Jonathan Majors, Veronica Ngo, Johnny Tri Nguyen, Jasper Pääkkönen, Clarke Peters, Jean Reno, Melanie Thierry and Isiah Whitlock Jr., Da 5 Bloods

Chadwick Boseman, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Michael Potts and Glynn Turman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Noel Kate Cho, Han Ye-ri, Scott Haze, Alan Kim, Will Patton, Steven Yeun and Youn Yun-jung, Minari

Kingsley Ben-Adir, Beau Bridges, Lawrence Gilliard Jr., Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Michael Imperioli, Joaquina Kalukango, Leslie Odom Jr., Lance Reddick and Nicolette Robinson, One Night in Miami...

Yahya Abdul Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp and Jeremy Strong, The Trial of the Chicago 7

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Riz Ahmed as Ruben Stone, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman as Levee Green, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins as Anthony, The Father
Delroy Lindo as Paul, Da 5 Bloods
Gary Oldman as Herman "Mank" Mankiewicz, Mank

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Viola Davis as Ma Rainey, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Vanessa Kirby as Martha Weiss, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand as Fern, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan as Cassandra "Cassie" Thomas, Promising Young Woman
Zendaya as Marie, Malcolm & Marie

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A SUPPORTING MALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sacha Baron Cohen as Abbie Hoffman, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chadwick Boseman as "Stormin'" Norman, Da 5 Bloods
Daniel Kaluuya as Fred Hampton, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr. as Sam Cooke, One Night in Miami...
Paul Raci as Joe, Sound of Metal

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A SUPPORTING FEMALE ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Maria Bakalova as Tutar Sagdiyev, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Ellen Burstyn as Elizabeth Weiss, Pieces of a Woman
Glenn Close as Bonnie "Mawmaw" Vance, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman as Anne, The Father
Amanda Seyfried as Marion Davies, Mank

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Bad Boys for Life
Birds of Prey
Da 5 Bloods
Tenet
The Trial of the Chicago 7