Oscar Predictions Contest

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criddic3
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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby criddic3 » Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:40 pm

nightwingnova wrote:Thank you, everyone.

It may blow Mister Tee's and others' fun in guessing the winners, but I do believe that it will be easier to predict the winners from now on, due to all the opinions out in the media. There were a ton of 23/24 predictors on Gold Derby, whereas they used to be very rare.


Precious Doll wrote:
anonymous1980 wrote:THE RESULTS!!!


65 points = criddic3


nightwingnova!!!


Congratulations to Nightwingova.

Criddic came third (or fourth if you take away third place with two tying for second) but didn't include a foreign language selection. Who would you predicted Criddic?


Thank you Anonymous and Precous Doll and Nightwing for noticing my better-than-usual standing. I got so frustrated trying to enter my prediction while on a train en route to the family Oscar party that I forgot Foreign Film. I would have done even better had I included it. Congrats to all who did well this year. :)
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby nightwingnova » Mon Mar 05, 2018 5:40 pm

Thank you, everyone.

It may blow Mister Tee's and others' fun in guessing the winners, but I do believe that it will be easier to predict the winners from now on, due to all the opinions out in the media. There were a ton of 23/24 predictors on Gold Derby, whereas they used to be very rare.


Precious Doll wrote:
anonymous1980 wrote:THE RESULTS!!!


65 points = criddic3


nightwingnova!!!


Congratulations to Nightwingova.

Criddic came third (or fourth if you take away third place with two tying for second) but didn't include a foreign language selection. Who would you predicted Criddic?

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby flipp525 » Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:07 pm

I came up with my predictions about twenty minutes before the show started. I’m surprised that I tied for second place having made incorrect predictions for a lot of the big awards (Picture, Actor, Original Screenplay, Original Song).

That Icarus guess helped!
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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby Precious Doll » Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:41 am

anonymous1980 wrote:THE RESULTS!!!


65 points = criddic3


nightwingnova!!!


Congratulations to Nightwingova.

Criddic came third (or fourth if you take away third place with two tying for second) but didn't include a foreign language selection. Who would you predicted Criddic?
"I have no interest in all of that. I find that all tabloid stupidity" Woody Allen, The Guardian, 2014, in response to his adopted daughter's allegations.

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby OscarGuy » Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:14 am

I ignored precedent in a few spots, partly out of caution of recent trends and partly because I didn't want to be wrong predicting on gut.
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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby Big Magilla » Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:53 am

I expected to win the booby prize and almost did, but the only change I regret making is taking Eva Marie Saint and Rita Moreno out of my predictions for standing ovations. I thought they would save the ovations for the former winners for the class photo that never came.

Congrats to nighwingnova and his whopping 69 points!
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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby anonymous1980 » Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:51 am

THE RESULTS!!!

Math is not my strong suit so let me know if I made a mistake on any of these.

The answers to the bonus points are: Lady Bird and The Post; and Jerry Lewis.

Since practically every expected winner won, I had to look at the shorts and documentary categories to see if anyone qualified for double or triple points. As it turns out, only three people each predicted Icarus and The Silent Child, affording them double points. Nobody got triple points this year. With that in mind, here are the results:

38 points = Franz Ferdinand
39 points = Okri
42 points = Banana Ohana
48 points = Big Magilla
49 points = dws1982
51 points = ITALIANO & Oscar Guy
54 points = Greg & The Original BJ
55 points = Precious Doll & anonymous1980
57 points = Mister Tee
59 points = Reza
61 points = FilmFan720, CalWilliam, mlrg & Jefforey Smith
63 points = Aceisgreat & Sabin
65 points = criddic3
66 points = Heksagon & flipp525

and the winner with a whopping 69 points is...

nightwingnova!!!

He did it without using runners-up and without even bothering to do the bonus point questions! He won by virtue of earning double points by predicting both Icarus and The Silent Child, that was the deciding factor. Congrats!
Last edited by anonymous1980 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:48 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby Reza » Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:13 am

nightwingnova wrote:Lesson: don't overthink.


Absolutely true. Should have stuck to my original predictions. Kept changing them around. Did badly in the end.

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby nightwingnova » Sun Mar 04, 2018 11:50 pm

Since (except for Icarus) all the faves won, I assume there were at least a few that got 100%.

I went for Baby Driver in Film Editing and Sound Mixing because there were complaints about plot confusion and difficulty hearing the dialogue in Dunkirk. Seems Baby Driver not big enough to compete, despite the acclaim. "Big" continues to win.

And then I went with Garden Party because some complained that Dear Basketball was narcissistic. Should've heeded advice that Angelenos love their Kobe.

Lesson: don't overthink

This "no surprises" awards means that the information age has facilitated the Academy in developing consensus before the voting (especially with preference voting for best picture).
Last edited by nightwingnova on Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:50 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby flipp525 » Sun Mar 04, 2018 7:37 pm

Best Picture: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Director: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Best Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Best Original Screenplay: Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Adapted Screenplay: James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name
Best Art Direction: The Shape of Water
Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Best Production Design: The Shape of Water

Best Film Editing: Dunkirk
Best Makeup: Darkest Hour
Best Original Score: The Shape of Water
Best Original Song: "Mystery of Love" - Call Me By Your Name
Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Best Sound Mix: Dunkirk
Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049

Best Animated Feature: Coco
Best Animated Short: Dear Basketball
Best Foreign Film: A Fantastic Woman
Best Documentary: Icarus
Best Documentary Short: Heroin(e)
Best Live Action Short: Dekalb Elementary

1. The Post, Lady Bird
2. Jerry Lewis
3. Honorary winners, Timothée Chalamet, Roger Deakins, Frances McDormand
"The mantle of spinsterhood was definitely in her shoulders. She was twenty five and looked it."



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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby criddic3 » Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:10 pm

criddic3 wrote:I tried 3 times to do this with my phone, but it is not letting me finish. Argh


Best Picture: The Shape of Water
Best Director: Del Toro
Best Actor: Old man
Best Actress: McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Rockwell
Best Supporting Actress: Jann ey
Best Original Screenplay: Get Out
Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me By Your Name
Best Art Direction: The Shape of Water
Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Best Film Editing: Dunkirk
Best Makeup: Darkest Hour
Best Original Score: The Shape of Water
Best Original Song: "Remember Me"
Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Best Sound Mix: Dunkirk
Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049
Best Animated Feature: Coco
Best Animated Short: Garden Party
Best Doc: Abacus
Best Doc Short: Heroin(e)
Best Live Action: Dekalb

1. POST, Lady Bird
2. Jerry Lewis
3. Honorary winners, Old man, Deakins
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby criddic3 » Sun Mar 04, 2018 5:58 pm

I tried 3 times to do this with my phone, but it is not letting me finish. Argh
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby ITALIANO » Sun Mar 04, 2018 5:48 pm

Best Film: The Shape of Water
Best Actor: Gary Oldman
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell
Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf
Best Director: Guillermo del Toro
Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
Best Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Best Production Design: The Shape of Water
Best Sound Mixing: Dunkirk
Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Best Film Editing: Dunkirk
Best Music Score: The Shape of Water
Best Song: This is Me
Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049
Best Makeup and Hair: Darkest Hour
Best Animated Feature: Coco
Best Foreign-Language Film: The Insult
Best Documentary Feature: Faces Places
Best Documentary Short: Heroin(e)
Best Live Short: DeKalb Elementary
Best Animated Short: Revolting Rhymes

1. The Post, Get Out
2. Jerry Lewis

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby Mister Tee » Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:44 pm

Since I'm defending champion, and since it's all for fun, I decided to take a few flyers -- including assuming it's going to be a big night for standing ovations.

Best Film: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Best Actor: Gary Oldman
Best Actress: Frances McDormand
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell
Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf
Best Director: Guillermo del Toro
Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
Best Original Screenplay: Get Out
Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Best Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Best Production Design: The Shape of Water
Best Sound Mixing: Dunkirk
Best Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Best Film Editing: Dunkirk
Best Music Score: The Shape of Water
Best Song: Remember Me
Best Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049
Best Makeup and Hair: Darkest Hour
Best Animated Feature: Coco
Best Foreign-Language Film: Loveless
Best Documentary Feature: Faces Places
Best Documentary Short: Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Best Live Short: DeKalb Elementary
Best Animated Short: Revolting Rhymes

01. The Post
02. Jonathan Demme
03. Which of the presenters and winners of which categories will get FULL standing ovations?
Annabella Sciorra & company, Gary Oldman, Frances McDormand, Guillermo del Toro, James Ivory, Jordan Peele, Roger Deakins, Agnes Varda, Honorary winners

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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Postby dws1982 » Sun Mar 04, 2018 1:43 pm

Picture: The Shape of Water
Director: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adapted Screenplay: Call Me By Your Name
Foreign Language Film: The Insult
Documentary Feature: Faces Places
Animated Feature: Coco
Original Song: "This Is Me," The Greatest Showman
Original Score: The Shape of Water
Production Design: The Shape of Water
Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Makeup & Hairstyling: Darkest Hour
Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Film Editing: Dunkirk
Sound Mixing: Dunkirk
Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Visual Effects: Blade Runner 2049
Live Action Short: DeKalb Elementary
Documentary Short: Heroin(e)
Animated Short: Garden Party

1. Get Out, The Post
2. Martin Landau
3. Gary Oldman, Frances McDormand, the MeToo actresses (whether they present individually or together)
Last edited by dws1982 on Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.


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