Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby ITALIANO » Wed Jan 24, 2018 4:22 am

Precious Doll wrote:
ITALIANO wrote:
Precious Doll wrote:Anonymous was the only personal to predict On Body and Soul for Foreign Language Film.

I knew it was going to make the final five but couldn't decide at what film's expense. I really should have stuck to my original assessment that In the Fade would not make the cut but it kept winning awards and looked a certainty. Whilst A Fantastic Woman would appear to be the favourite for the Foreign Language award if there is an upset it is going to be from On Body and Soul.

With the exception of myself and my partner everyone I know who has seen the film absolutely loves it.



Completely forgotten on this board, the Lebanese entry The Insult , as I predicted, has got a nomination - a first for this small and troubled country. I don't think it is strong enough to pull off an upset win over more celebrated contenders, but who knows.


The Insult is probably the least seen of the nominees. I understand it opens in the U.S. this week and will be released on DVD/Blu Ray in the next few months in the U.S.

I am looking forward to seeing it. I'd never heard of it until Italiano mentioned it a few months back.


I liked it - and it was a reasonable hit here in Italy. The moment I saw it, I knew it would be nominated. But of course now I should see the other four (which for once are all supposedly quite good) before I can make a prediction about the final outcome.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Precious Doll » Wed Jan 24, 2018 4:09 am

ITALIANO wrote:
Precious Doll wrote:Anonymous was the only personal to predict On Body and Soul for Foreign Language Film.

I knew it was going to make the final five but couldn't decide at what film's expense. I really should have stuck to my original assessment that In the Fade would not make the cut but it kept winning awards and looked a certainty. Whilst A Fantastic Woman would appear to be the favourite for the Foreign Language award if there is an upset it is going to be from On Body and Soul.

With the exception of myself and my partner everyone I know who has seen the film absolutely loves it.



Completely forgotten on this board, the Lebanese entry The Insult , as I predicted, has got a nomination - a first for this small and troubled country. I don't think it is strong enough to pull off an upset win over more celebrated contenders, but who knows.


The Insult is probably the least seen of the nominees. I understand it opens in the U.S. this week and will be released on DVD/Blu Ray in the next few months in the U.S.

I am looking forward to seeing it. I'd never heard of it until Italiano mentioned it a few months back.
"I have no interest in all of that. I find that all tabloid stupidity" Woody Allen, The Guardian, 2014, in response to his adopted daughter's allegations.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby ITALIANO » Wed Jan 24, 2018 3:46 am

Precious Doll wrote:Anonymous was the only personal to predict On Body and Soul for Foreign Language Film.

I knew it was going to make the final five but couldn't decide at what film's expense. I really should have stuck to my original assessment that In the Fade would not make the cut but it kept winning awards and looked a certainty. Whilst A Fantastic Woman would appear to be the favourite for the Foreign Language award if there is an upset it is going to be from On Body and Soul.

With the exception of myself and my partner everyone I know who has seen the film absolutely loves it.



Completely forgotten on this board, the Lebanese entry The Insult , as I predicted, has got a nomination - a first for this small and troubled country. I don't think it is strong enough to pull off an upset win over more celebrated contenders, but who knows.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby anonymous1980 » Wed Jan 24, 2018 3:43 am

Precious Doll wrote:Anonymous was the only personal to predict On Body and Soul for Foreign Language Film.


I predicted it solely because I saw it and knew it had a shot. I didn't predict The Square because I thought it would be too weird for them but lo and behold....

The Academy managed the nominate all 4 films I've seen from the 9. The only one I haven't seen is The Insult. Is it available anywhere?

As for predictions, I think with In the Fade out of contention, A Fantastic Woman should easily take this but if enough people see it, watch out for On Body and Soul (and apparently, it will be on Netflix next month!)

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Precious Doll » Wed Jan 24, 2018 2:44 am

Anonymous was the only personal to predict On Body and Soul for Foreign Language Film.

I knew it was going to make the final five but couldn't decide at what film's expense. I really should have stuck to my original assessment that In the Fade would not make the cut but it kept winning awards and looked a certainty. Whilst A Fantastic Woman would appear to be the favourite for the Foreign Language award if there is an upset it is going to be from On Body and Soul.

With the exception of myself and my partner everyone I know who has seen the film absolutely loves it.
"I have no interest in all of that. I find that all tabloid stupidity" Woody Allen, The Guardian, 2014, in response to his adopted daughter's allegations.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Sabin » Tue Jan 23, 2018 9:45 pm

criddic3 wrote
oh ... oops... then I got 4 of 5 there, swapping Get Out for I, Tonya.

Thanks.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby criddic3 » Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:46 pm

Sabin wrote:
cridsic3 wrote
Best Film Editing
(surprised Dunkirk didn't make it here.)

It did.


oh ... oops... then I got 4 of 5 there, swapping Get Out for I, Tonya.

Thanks.
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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Sabin » Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:35 pm

cridsic3 wrote
Best Film Editing
(surprised Dunkirk didn't make it here.)

It did.
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby criddic3 » Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:27 pm

How I did:

8/9
Best Picture

5/5
Best Actress
Best Cinematography
Best Sound Mixing

4/5
Best Actor
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Animated Feature
Best Film Editing
Best Original Song
Best Sound Editing

3/3
Best Costume Design
Best Director
(I took Peele out, thinking his newbie status might relegate him to screenplay
and didn't count on Anderson)
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Original Score
Best Visual F/X

2/3
Best Makeup
Last edited by criddic3 on Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Precious Doll » Tue Jan 23, 2018 4:34 pm

I was the only person to correctly pick the best supporting actress line-up. Based on two factors really - my dislike of The Big Sick and the fact that the Academy rarely nominated Asian actors meant a must deserved Hong Chau would miss out.
"I have no interest in all of that. I find that all tabloid stupidity" Woody Allen, The Guardian, 2014, in response to his adopted daughter's allegations.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Big Magilla » Tue Jan 23, 2018 10:22 am

mlrg wrote:Well I correctly predicted 18 of the 20 acting nominees and apparently was the only one that predicted Denzel Washington.


Unless I missed someone, you and I were two of only five who didn't predict a nomination for James Franco, the others being Criddic, CalWilliam and Franz Ferdinand.
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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby mlrg » Tue Jan 23, 2018 9:38 am

Well I correctly predicted 18 of the 20 acting nominees and apparently was the only one that predicted Denzel Washington.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Precious Doll » Tue Jan 23, 2018 8:57 am

Well, I'm going to take a bow for being the only person to correctly predict the best director line-up. And now I'm off to bed.....
"I have no interest in all of that. I find that all tabloid stupidity" Woody Allen, The Guardian, 2014, in response to his adopted daughter's allegations.

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Eenusch » Mon Jan 22, 2018 10:39 pm

Best Picture
Call Me By Your Name
The Florida Project
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
Mudbound
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Director
Jordan Peele - Get Out
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread
Guillermo Del Toro - The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Actor
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

Best Actress
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Emma Stone - Battle of the Sexes

Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me by Your Name

Best Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Melissa Leo - Novitiate
Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird

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Re: Final Oscar Nominations Predictions

Postby Mister Tee » Mon Jan 22, 2018 5:16 pm

A couple of thoughts:

I wavered on putting I, Tonya into best picture, because I hadn't been able to fit it into screenplay. It was only then I noticed that, unless Molly's Game gets a surprise best picture nomination, Call Me by Your Name will be the only best picture nominee in adapted screenplay. This kind of thing happened occasionally, in adapted or (more commonly) original, back in the days of five best picture nominees, but, since the advent of the expanded slate, only twice have we had as few as two in any category (original, 2011 & 2015); 4 or 5 has actually been more common. So, I'm thinking this unusual (unprecedented) fact creates special circumstances for I, Tonya (and The Post) to compete for best picture, despite what's been a serious handicap of late.

I don't know if it's that we're on to something or that we just talk too much amongst ourselves, but I note that a lot of us are omitting Mary J. Blige, despite her precursor run, and including Michael Stuhlbarg, despite his lack of same.

1. Best Picture
Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
alt.: The Big Sick

2. Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
alt.: Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)

3. Best Actress
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Meryl Streep (The Post)
alt.: Jessica Chastain (Molly’s Game)

4. Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me by Your Name)
alt.: Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)

5. Best Supporting Actress
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Lesley Manville (The Phantom Thread)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)
alt.: Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

6. Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson (The Phantom Thread)
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
alt.: Luca Guadagnino (Call Me by Your Name)

7. Best Adapted Screenplay
Call Me by Your Name
The Disaster Artist
The Lost City of Z
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
alt.: Wonder

8. Best Original Screenplay
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
alt.: I, Tonya

9. Best Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water
alt.: Call Me by Your Name

10. Best Costume Design
Beauty and the Beast
The Greatest Showman
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
Victoria and Abdul
alt.: Darkest Hour

11. Best Production Design
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
alt.: Downsizing

12. Best Sound Mixing
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Wonder Woman
alt.: Baby Driver

13. Best Film Editing
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
alt.: I, Tonya

14. Best Score
Coco
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
alt.: Star Wars: The Last Jedi

15. Best Visual Effects
Alien: Covenant
Blade Runner 2049
Okja
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
alt.: The Shape of Water

16. Best Sound Editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
alt.: The Shape of Water

17. Best Make Up
Darkest Hour
Guardians of the Galaxy v.2
Wonder
alt.: I, Tonya

18. Best Song
Mighty River (Mudbound
Mystery of Love (Call Me by Your Name)
Prayers for This World (Cries From Syria)
Remember Me (Coco)
This Is Me (The Greatest Showman)
alt.: Evermore (Beauty and the Beast)

19. Best Foreign Language Film
A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
In the Fade (Germany)
Foxtrot (Israel)
The Insult (Lebanon)
The Square (Sweden)
alt.: Loveless (Russia)

20. Best Animated Feature
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
The LEGO Batman Movie
Loving Vincent x
alt.: The Boss Baby

21. Best Documentary Feature
City of Ghosts
Faces Places
An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power
Jane
LA 92
alt.: Ex Libris – The New York Public Library


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