Unofficial Academy Awards Discussion Board

My success this year can only be credited to perfect blind-guessing in the three shorts categories, where I'd seen nothing. And for resisting most cool-sounding upset possibilities that I briefly entertained. (The big upset in best picture was one I'd NEVER have considered.)

Continuing what I have been doing for the last few years, here is the list of the most-recent-Oscar ceremonies where I have correctly predicted the various categories:

2016:
Direction
Adapted Screenplay
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress
Foreign Language Film
Documentary Feature
Animated Feature
Documentary Short
Animated Short
Original Song
Original Score
Cinematography
Sound Editing
Production Design
Costume Design
Visual Effects

2015:
Original Screenplay
Film Editing
Makeup & Hairstyling

2014:
Live Action Short

2013:
Sound Mixing

2012:
Picture

It is highly ironic that the Best Picture category, the one with by far the most data on which to make a prediction, is the category that has bedeviled me, and many others, the most.

anonymous1980 wrote:NOBODY got the exact empty-handed Best Picture nominees right. The closest was Aceisgreat but for some reason, he thought Jackie was nominated for Best Picture and he therefore lost what could have been a bonus 9 points for that.

I don't know what halluinogenic I was on at the time...

anonymous1980 wrote:I would like a second verification of the number of winners who referenced refugees, diversity, immigrants or Trump. I think the number is 5: The Makeup & Hairstyling winner, Barry Jenkins, the Documentary Short winner, the Zootopia guys and The Salesman. Am I missing something? Correction: 6. Ezra Edelman also mentioned something.

Best Song. The public school reference was a Trump knock.

THE RESULTS!!!

Okay. Here are a few notes:

- NOBODY got Best Picture right.
- 4 people predicted Hacksaw Ridge in Sound Mixing, just missing the double points.
- dws1982, CalWilliam and Greg correctly predicted Fantastic Beasts in Costume Design earning them double points.
- Only criddic3 predicted Hacksaw Ridge in Editing as a runner-up, earning him triple points for that.
- Only flipp525 correctly predicted Suicide Squad for Makeup, also earning him triple points.
- Even though a whole bunch of you tried to predict a "Carrie Fisher-Debbie Reynolds" In Memoriam finale, only Heksagon and CalWilliam correctly predicted Carrie Fisher as a solo, earning them double points.
- NOBODY got the exact empty-handed Best Picture nominees right. The closest was Aceisgreat but for some reason, he thought Jackie was nominated for Best Picture and he therefore lost what could have been a bonus 9 points for that.

So without further ado, here are the results:

Okri = 40 points
Reza, nightwingnova, Sonic Youth & Big Magilla = 42 points
CalWilliam = 44
criddic3 = 45 points
Precious Doll, mlrg, Oscar Guy, Jefforey Smith & flipp525 = 48
Sabin & The Original BJ = 50 points
FilmFan720 = 51 points
anonymous1980 = 53 points
Heksagon, Snick's Guy, dws1982 and Aceisgreat= 54 points
Greg = 57 points

and the winner with a whopping 60 points is...

Mister Tee!!!

P.S. Please let me know if I missed anything or if I made a mistake in my calculations. Thank you!

I know it's not me, but somebody had to get "the most" right or conversely, the least wrong!

Nobody.

And the winner is?

I would like a second verification of the number of winners who referenced refugees, diversity, immigrants or Trump. I think the number is 5: The Makeup & Hairstyling winner, Barry Jenkins, the Documentary Short winner, the Zootopia guys and The Salesman. Am I missing something? Correction: 6. Ezra Edelman also mentioned something.

Oh and the official answer to the last person in the In Memoriam was Carrie Fisher. I will not count the Debbie Reynolds and Carrie Fisher together answers because even though they're the last two, the montage ends just with Carrie.

Empty-handed Best Picture nominees are: Lion, Hell or High Water and Hidden Figures.

Sonic Youth wrote: Not playing to win this year.

Like I said...

Picture: La La Land
Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Actress: Emma Watson, La La Land00
Supporting Actor: Dev Patel, Lion
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences
Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Foreign Language Film: The Salesman
Documentary Feature: I Am Not Your Negro
Animated Feature: Zootopia
Animated Short Subject: Piper
Live Action Short Subject: Sing
Documentary Short Subject: The White Helmets
Original Song: "City of Stars", La La Land
Original Score: La La Land
Production Design: La La Land
Costume Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Cinematography: La La Land
Film Editing: La La Land
Sound Mixing: La La Land
Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

Empty-Handed Best Picture Nominees: Arrival, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures,
Last Person in In Memoriam: Carrie Fisher and Debbie Reynolds
Number of Winner Speeches Alluding to Trump: 8

I hope everyone has fun tonight.

Not playing to win this year.

Picture: La La Land
Director: Damien Chazelle
Actor: Denzel Washington
Actress: Emma Stone
Sup. Actor: Mahershala Ali
Sup. Actress: Viola Davis
Orig. Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Adap. Screenplay: Moonlight

Song: "City of Stars"
Score: La La Land
Editing: La La Land
Cinematography: La La Land
Sound Mixing: La La Land
Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Production Design: La La Land
Costume Design: Jackie
Makeup: Star Trek Beyond

Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann (The Salesman)
Documentary: I am Not Your Negro
Animated Film: Kubo and the Two Strings (Zootopia)
Animated Short Film: Piper
Live Action Short Film: Ennemis Interieurs (Sing)
Documentary Short Film: The White Helmets

Empty-handed Best Picture nominees: Arrival, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, Lion
Last person in the In Memoriam montage: Carrie Fisher and Debbie Reynolds*
Winners speeches, etc.: 5

*Taking the rule literally, I'm assuming "Last Person" means final image of person rather than final name displayed. If it's "name displayed", then I'd say Reynolds, but "final image" would have to be Reynolds and Fisher together, I'm guessing.

Picture: La La Land
Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Actress: Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences

Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Foreign Language Film: The Salesman

Documentary Feature: O.J.: Made in America
Animated Feature: Zootopia
Animated Short Subject: Piper
Live Action Short Subject: Sing
Documentary Short Subject: My Homeland

Original Song: "How Far I'll Go," Moana
Original Score: La La Land
Production Design: Arrival
Costume Design: Jackie (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Makeup and Hairstyling: Suicide Squad

Cinematography: Lion
Film Editing: La La Land
Sound Mixing: La La Land
Sound Editing: La La Land
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

Empty-Handed Best Picture Nominees: Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures
Last Person in In Memoriam: Debbie Reynolds
Number of Winner Speeches Alluding to Trump: 7

Picture: La La Land
Director: Damien Chazelle (La La land)
Lead Actor: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Lead Actress: Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis (Fences)
Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Adapted Screenplay: Barry Jenkins & Tarell Alvin McCraney (Moonlight)
Original Song: "City Of Stars" (La La Land)
Original Score: La La Land
Film Editing: Hell or High Water
Cinematography: La La Land
Sound Mixing: Hacksaw Ridge
Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Production Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Costume Design: Florence Foster Jenkins
Makeup And Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann
Documentary Feature: I Am Not Your Negro
Animated Feature: Zootopia
Live Action Short Subject: La Femme et le TGV
Documentary Short Subject: The White Helmets
Animated Short Subject: Piper

Empty-handed Best Picture nominees: Arrival, Hidden Figures, Lion.
Last in In Memoriam: Debbie Reynolds and Carrie Fisher
Winner speeches mentioning diversity/immigrants/refugees/Trump: 7

Picture: La La Land
Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land
Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences
Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Aqdapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann
Documentary Feature: O.J.: Made in America
Animated Feature: Zootopia
Animated Short Subject: Piper
Live Action Short Subject: Sing
Documentary Short Subject: The White Helmets
Original Song: "City of Stars," La La Land
Original Score: La La Land
Production Design: La La Land
Costume Design: La La Land
Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Cinematography: La La Land
Film Editing: La La Land
Sound Mixing: La La Land
Sound Editing: Arrival
Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Empty-Handed Best Picture Nominees: Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, Lion
Last Person in In Memoriam: Debbie Reynolds / Carrie Fisher combo
Number of Winner Speeches Alluding to Trump/Diversity/illegal immigrants: 9