I guessed 3/9. I was almost going to include the Canadian turkey but thought surely they can't have such poor judgement.
Of the selected films I've seen five: Land of Mine, Toni Erdmann, It's Only the End of the World, Tanna & The Salesman.
Though easily the best of the five, Toni Erdmann is far from a shoe-in and if the Academy actually watches the films Land of Mine is going to be the spoiler.
First impression predictions of the five final (which will be way off I'm sure as all my predictions are from Western Europe and that isn't going to happen) are:
Denmark, “Land of Mine,” Martin Zandvliet, director;
Germany, “Toni Erdmann,” Maren Ade, director;
Norway, “The King’s Choice,” Erik Poppe, director;
Sweden, “A Man Called Ove,” Hannes Holm, director;
Switzerland, “My Life as a Zucchini,” Claude Barras, director.
My Life as a Zucchini, an animated feature is apparently very good and it's reviews at Cannes were pretty much up their with Toni Erdmann, Elle & Paterson.
"I think he sexually assaulted a child and I don't think that's right…It's gotten very quiet in here, but that's true." Susan Sarandon on Woody Allen, Cannes Film Festival 2016