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Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Mon Feb 23, 2015 12:12 am
by OscarGuy
Looks like I bit the big one. 51 was my total (thanks to sticking to the belief that the Academy wouldn't love a film like Birdman). Linklater will win an Oscar for his next screenplay and the next brilliant film Wes Anderson does will go all the way.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 8:30 pm
by FilmFan720
Enjoy everyone! I'm watching on slight delay, so I probably won't be chiming in much...

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 7:57 pm
by barrybrooks8
Speaking of hunches, I have a weird feeling that Unbroken wins one award tonight, and Foxcatcher takes Makeup. I just couldnt put them in my predix.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 7:34 pm
by HarryGoldfarb
flipp525 wrote:I've had a weird hunch all week that Bradley Cooper is going to be the shocker of the night
Good call, on my book that would be a good shock (says a Keaton fan).

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 6:40 pm
by flipp525
Balls to the wall predictions. I've had a weird hunch all week that Bradley Cooper is going to be the shocker of the night.

Picture - Boyhood
Director - Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Actor - Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
Actress - Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Supporting Actor - J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Supporting Actress - Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Original Screenplay - Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
Adapted Screenplay - The Imitation Game
Foreign Language Film - Ida
Documentary Feature - Citizenfour
Animated Feature - How to Train Your Dragon 2
Original Song - "Glory," Selma
Original Score - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Costume Design - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Makeup and Hairstyling - Foxcatcher
Cinematography - Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
Film Editing - Boyhood
Sound Mixing - American Sniper
Sound Editing - American Sniper
Visual Effects - Interstellar
Animated Short - The Dam Keepers
Documentary Short - Crisis Hotline: Press 1
Live-Action Short - The Phone Call

Standing Ovations - 5
Final Spot in In Memoriam - Robin Williams
Acknowledging Other Nominees - 5

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 6:38 pm
by rolotomasi99
Best Picture - Birdman
Directing - Boyhood
Lead Actress - Julianne Moore
Lead Actor - Michael Keaton
Supporting Actress - Patricia Arquette
Supporting Actor - J.K. Simmons
Original Screenplay - Birdman
Adapted Screenplay - The Imitation Game
Editing - American Sniper
Cinematography - Birdman
Set - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Costume - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Makeup - Guardians of the Galaxy
Sound Mixing - Interstellar
Sound Editing - American Sniper
Visual Effects - Interstellar
Score - The Theory of Everything
Song - Glory
Animated Feature - How to Train Your Dragon 2
Foreign Language Film - Ida
Documentary Feature - Last Days in Vietnam
Documentary Short - Crisis Hotline
Animated Short Film - Feast
Live Action Short Film - The Phone Call

Standing O's - Moore, Simmons, Arquette, Keaton, Linklater, when Glory wins Best Song
Last in Memoriam - Philip Seymour Hoffman

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:49 pm
by Bog
Second. Now being nearly midnight I'm sure we missed our chance today to finally get a couple last minute thoughts. I sure hope we can right this wrong and hope he's willing to slide right back in afterthe ceremony we spend all year on this board anticipating and obsessing.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:41 pm
by Sonic Youth
Mister Tee wrote: By the way: may I say it's nice to see several people turn up in this thread who I didn't realize were still with us. Glad you dropped in.
Ditto. And on that note, I'm sorry Italiano is (I assume) still having problems logging on, on Oscar night no less. His absence is palpable.

Happy Oscar night. Have fun, everybody.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:13 pm
by Sonic Youth
Best Picture - Birdman (Alt. Boyhood)
Best Directing - Inarritu
Best Actor - Eddie Redmayne (Alt. Michael Keaton)
Best Actress - Julianne Moore
Best Sup. Actor - J.K. Simmons
Best Sup. Actress - Patricia Arquette
Best Or. Screenplay - The Grand Budapest Hotel (Alt. Birdman)
Best Ad. Screenplay - Whiplash

Best Animated Feature - How to Train Your Dragon 2
Best Foreign Language Film - Ida
Best Documentary Feature - Citizenfour
Best Documentary Short - Crisis Hotline (Alt. Joanna)
Best Short Film (Animated) - Feast (Alt. Me and My Moulton)
Best Short Film (Live Action) - The Phone Call (Alt. Boogaloo and Graham)

Best Score - The Grand Budapest Hotel (Alt. The Theory of Everything)
Best Song - "Glory"
Best Film Editing - American Sniper (Alt. Whiplash)
Best Cinematography - Birdman
Best Art Direction - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Costume Design - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Makeup - Guardians of the Galaxy (Alt. The Grand Budapest Hotel)
Best Sound Mixing - American Sniper
Best Sound Editing - American Sniper
Best Visual Effects - Interstellar (Alt. Guardians of the Galaxy)

Standing O's - 5
Last in Memoriam - Mike Nichols
Acknowledgement of Fellow Nominees - 7

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:11 pm
by Mister Tee
Of course, remember last year, when Darlene Love got it started, and by the end of the night they were standing for damn near anyone (both screenwriters got s.o.'s, which I doubt anyone envisioned). This doesn't seem like that kind of year (I've been surprised at the lack of standing o's for Julianne at the prelims), but who knows. (Though I'd almost bet on Harris' opening number leading irresistably into one)

By the way: may I say it's nice to see several people turn up in this thread who I didn't realize were still with us. Glad you dropped in.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:04 pm
by Big Magilla
It's hard to gauge the standing ovations. I don't know that any of the winners will receive one just for winning though one or two may receive one for a rousing speech. A surprise presenter or an acknowledged special guest in the audience may receive one. The opening number and a particularly well staged subsequent number may receive one. Or maybe, just maybe, with no surprise winners, presenters or guest in the audience no one will receive a standing ovation other than NPH after his opening number.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 4:25 pm
by Bog
Picture: Boyhood
Director: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Actor: Michael Keaton (Redmayne)
Actress: Julianne Moore
Supp. Actor: J.K. Simmons
Supp. Actress: Patricia Arquette
Original Screenplay: Grand Budapest Hotel
Adapted Screenplay: The Imitation Game
Cinematography: Mr. Turner (Birdman)
Editing: Boyhood
Animated: How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Boxtrolls)
Foreign Language: Leviathan (Ida)
Documentary: Citizenfour
Original Score: Grand Budapest Hotel
Original Song: Glory
Visual Effects: Dawn of Planet of Apes (Interstellar)
Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Makeup: Grand Budapest Hotel
Sound Editing: American Sniper
Sound Mixing: Birdman (Whiplash)
Animated Short: Feast
Doc. Short: Joanna (White Earth)
Live Action Short: The Phone Call

Standing ovations: 2
Final spot In Memoriam: Robin Williams
Congratulate fellow noms: 9

I still feel like I'm overshooting the ovations, not sure from where a slam dunk stand up comes outside Moore and maybe Wes. Keaton would be a yes, Linklater also possible...neither TV journeyman supporting trophy should warrant it and nothing down-ballot.

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 3:20 pm
by dws1982
Picture: Birdman
Director: Innaritu
Actor: Eddie Redmayne
Actress: Julianne Moore
Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons
Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette
Original Screenplay: Grand Budapest Hotel
Adapted Screenplay: Whiplash
Cinematography: Birdman
Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Editing: American Sniper
Music Score: Grand Budapest Hotel
Sound Mixing: American Sniper
Sound Editing: American Sniper
Visual Effects: Interstellar
Make-up: Grand Budapest Hotel
Song: "Glory"
Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Documentary Feature: Virunga
Documentary Short: Joanna
Animated Short: The Dam Keeper
Live Short: The Phone Call

Standing Ovations: 4
Last in In Memorian: Robin Williams
Acknowledging Other Nominees: 3

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 2:49 pm
by HarryGoldfarb
Picture: Boyhood (Birdman)
Director: Richard Linklater (Iñárritu)
Actor: Michael Keaton (Eddie Redmayne)
Actress: Julianne Moore
Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons
Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette
Original Screenplay: Grand Budapest Hotel
Adapted Screenplay: Whiplash (American Sniper)
Cinematography: Birdman (Grand Budapest Hotel)
Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Editing: Boyhood
Music Score: Grand Budapest Hotel
Sound Mixing: Whiplash
Sound Editing: American Sniper
Visual Effects: Interstellar
Make-up: Foxcatcher
Song: "Glory"
Animated Feature: Big Hero 6 (How to Train your Dragon 2)
Foreign Language Film: Ida
Documentary Feature: CitizenFour (The Salt of the Earth)
Documentary Short: The Reaper
Animated Short: Feast
Live Short: The Phone Call

Standing Ovations - 6
Final Spot in In Memoriam - Bacall
Acknowledging Other Nominees - 4

Re: Oscar Predictions Contest

Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 1:57 pm
by FilmFan720
Out of curiosity, I went back to find the winners of this contest. Here is what I found:

86th - Jeffory Smith, The Original BJ, Snick's Guy
85th - ITALIANO
84th - Jeffory Smith
83rd - No Official Contest (Sabin had the most right on our predictions page)
82nd - Greg, Damien

78th - the critic

Anyone have a recollection of the missing years?