Mister Tee wrote:Cotillard's run in best actress seems like it might push her into that waiting-to-be-filled spot on the best actress ballot. Julianne Moore's non-performance thus far is reminding me a bit of Paul Newman's in 1986: there, too, critics initially pushed him as Oscar front-runner, but only NBR voted him a year-end award. Cotillard could be the Bob Hoskins of the slot: win all the critics' prizes, then watch the sentimental favorite win the Oscar in the end.
From what I gather, it seems as if you're hoping that this is finally the year Moore gets the win, and I think she's as much in the race as anyone. But it's also worth mentioning that, as much as this seems like the perfect time for her to win (just like, for example, Crazy Heart did for Jeff Bridges five years ago), the perfect time doesn't come along in every career. Like I said, she's as much in the race as anyone can be on December 7, but her soft showing with these early critics may just mean she's not as strong a candidate as her fans are hoping.