Ten months out - Best Picture

For the films of 2014
flipp525
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by flipp525 »

Is this really what the UAADB has come to? Copy and paste jobs from Awards fucking Daily? Cue Damian rolling in his grave.
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Big Magilla
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by Big Magilla »

There seems to be a lot of excitement over Gone Girl, not just over Fincher. The novel, which I haven't read, has a huge fan base of its own. That was the case with The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo as well, but that film had a well-made Swedish original it was bucking up against and still managed to be in the conversation until the nominations were announced, receiving five nominations and winning for editing. I wouldn't bet against it just yet.
FilmFan720
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by FilmFan720 »

If Tim Burton can really embrace a more narrative, adult vision than his recent output, I don't see any reason why Big Eyes shouldn't be a major player. Burton has a long, successful career with several films considered classics in some circles, he has been artistically unique while being financially successful and seems like the kind of filmmaker who, in his middle age, makes a more traditional, grown-up film and gets major Oscar attention for it (Danny Boyle, James Cameron, David Fincher, The Coens, etc.).

The one that I see as being too fan-boy hopeful is Gone Girl. David Fincher has had two big hauls at the Oscars, but both times were departures from his thrillers: they were a biopic and a sprawling epic, albeit both were darker than the usual fare. Zodiac completely missed and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo managed several nods and a win, but didn't make the director or picture cut. Gone Girl is a fun thriller, but its not exactly F. Scott Fitzgerald, and while it will play a part I don't see it being the behemoth others are saying it is. Fincher isn't going to win until he finds another Social Network, and even then he has to quiet the fanboys proclaiming it the next Citizen Kane.
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Big Magilla
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by Big Magilla »

It's fine to speculate early on but there should be some rationale for the speculation on films sight unseen. Nine of the ten potential Best Picture nominees cited seem like Oscar caliber films on paper - we shall see, though, what we shall see. The one I have problems with is Big Eyes only because most of Tim Burton's films have been misfires. On the other hand, you can't discount the selling power of the Weinstein Company.

Some of the acting predictions give me more pause, however. Jennifer Garner because of her husband's success two years ago? Give me a break.

Also, this guy doesn't seem to know anything about Into the Woods other than who was nominated and/or won a Tony for the original stage production. He has Emily Blunt as a contender for Best Actress because the role of the baker's wife won Joanna Gleason a 1988 Tony, yet doesn't take into account the shock at the time over the non-nomination of Bernadette Peters as the witch, the production's true star. Vanessa Williams was nominated for Best Actress for that role in the 2002 revival. He has Meryl Streep in the role reduced to supporting, which she definitely is not. He sees Johnny Depp's role as the wolf a supporting actor contender because Robert Westenberg was nominated for a 1988 Tony for playing that part in the original production. Westernberg also played Cinderella's prince as did Gregg Edelman who nominated for the 2002 production for playing both parts. My equally absurdly early acting predictions (coming soon to CinemaSight) for Into the Woods have Streep up for Best Actress; Blunt and Anna Kendrick as Cinderalla up for Supporting Actress (this one in agreement with him - Laura Benanti was nominated for that role for the 2002 production) and James Corden as the baker up for Supporting Actor. No Depp or Chris Pine who plays Cinderella's prince for Supporting Actor.
The Original BJ
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by The Original BJ »

Greg wrote:How can Awards Circuit expect to be taken seriously when not one of the films they mention has been released?
Because they forgot how accurate their predictions from this time a year ago turned out to be at the 2013 Oscars. And they will next year too. And the next. And the next.
Greg
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Re: Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by Greg »

How can Awards Circuit expect to be taken seriously when not one of the films they mention has been released?
ksrymy
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Ten months out - Best Picture

Post by ksrymy »

It's never too early, right?

http://www.awardscircuit.com/oscar-pred ... n-picture/

BEST PICTURE

The predicted nominees

1. Inherent Vice (Warner Bros.) – December 12, 2014
Private investigator Larry “Doc” Sportello investigates the disappearance of his ex-girlfriend and her boyfriend in Los Angeles.
2. Foxcatcher (Sony Pictures Classics) – No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
The story of Olympic Wrestling Champion Mark Schultz and how paranoid schizophrenic John duPont killed his brother, Olympic Champion Dave Schultz.
3. Gone Girl (20th Century Fox) – October 3, 2014
A woman mysteriously disappears on the day of her wedding anniversary. Based on the novel, “Gone Girl.”
4. Fury (Sony Pictures) – November 14, 2014
April, 1945. A battle-hardened army sergeant named Wardaddy commands a Sherman tank and her five-man crew on a deadly mission behind enemy lines. Wardaddy and his men face odds in their attempts to strike at Nazi Germany.
5. Interstellar (Paramount Pictures) – November 7, 2014
A group of explorers make use of a newly discovered wormhole to surpass the limitations on human space travel and conquer the vast distances involved in an interstellar voyage.
6. Big Eyes (The Weinstein Company) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
A drama centered on the awakening of the painter Margaret Keane, her phenomenal success in the 1950s, and the subsequent legal difficulties she had with her husband, who claimed credit for her works in the 1960s.
7. Birdman (Fox Searchlight Pictures) – September 11, 2014
A washed-up actor who once played an iconic superhero must overcome his ego and family trouble as he mounts a Broadway play in a bid to reclaim his past glory.
8. Trash (Universal Pictures) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
Set in an unnamed Third World country, three kids who make a discovery in a garbage dump soon find themselves running from the cops and trying to right a terrible wrong.
9. Into the Woods (Walt Disney Pictures) – December 25, 2014
A witch conspires to teach important lessons to various characters of popular children’s stories including Little Red Riding Hood, Cinderella, Jack and the Beanstalk and Rapunzel.

Other top-tier contenders

10. Unbroken (Universal Pictures) – December 25, 2014
A chronicle of the life of Louis Zamperini, an Olympic runner who was taken prisoner by Japanese forces during World War II.
11. Suite française (The Weinstein Company) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
During the early years of German occupation of France, romance blooms between Lucile Angellier, a French villager and Bruno von Falk, a German soldier.
12. Boyhood (IFC Films) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
The life of a young man, Mason, from age 5 to age 18.
13. The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (The Weinstein Company) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
A New York couple’s relationship.
14. The Judge (Warner Bros.) – October 10, 2014
A successful lawyer returns to his hometown for his mother’s funeral only to discover that his estranged father, the town’s judge, is suspected of murder.
15. Men, Women, & Children (Paramount Pictures) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
A look at the sexual frustrations that young teenagers and adults face in today’s world.
16. Exodus (20th Century Fox) – December 12, 2014
An account of Moses’ hand in leading the Israelite slaves out of Egypt.
17. Pawn Sacrifice (No U.S. Distribution) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
American chess champion Bobby Fischer prepares for a legendary match-up against Russian Boris Spassky.
18. The Homesman (No U.S. Distribution) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
A claim jumper and a pioneer woman team up to escort three insane women from Nebraska to Iowa.
19. Maps to the Stars (No U.S. Distribution) - No U.S. Release Date Scheduled
Complex look at Hollywood and what it reveals about Western culture.
20. Kill the Messenger (Roadside Attractions) – October 10, 2014
A reporter becomes the target of a vicious smear campaign that drives him to the point of suicide after he exposes the CIA’s role in arming Contra rebels in Nicaragua and importing cocaine into California. Based on the true story of journalist Gary Webb.
"Men get to be a mixture of the charming mannerisms of the women they have known." - F. Scott Fitzgerald
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