Unofficial Academy Awards Discussion Board

Big Magilla wrote:

The Original BJ wrote: At this point I feel like Meryl Streep has become to me what Judi Dench is to Magilla -- the candidate I've consistently put faith in despite evidence to the contrary that support for her runs that high. (I see virtually everyone has predicted Adams, who I wouldn't be at all surprised to see win.) But sometimes it's fun to stick to your hunches, on the chance you'll be right and standing alone.

Oy, vey. I like Judi Dench but I am not a constant supporter.

I was only referring to this year's race.

Picture, Drama:
12 Years a Slave

Picture, Comedy:
American Hustle

Director:
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
(RU: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity)

Actor, Drama:
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

Actress, Drama:
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Actor, Comedy:
Bruce Dern, Nebraska

Actress, Comedy:
Amy Adams, American Hustle

Supporting Actor:
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyer's Club

Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
(RU: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave)

Screenplay:
American Hustle

Score:
Gravity
(RU: 12 Years a Slave)

Song:
"Let It Go", Frozen

Foreign Language:
The Great Beauty
(RU: The Hunt)

Animated Feature:
Frozen

The Original BJ wrote: At this point I feel like Meryl Streep has become to me what Judi Dench is to Magilla -- the candidate I've consistently put faith in despite evidence to the contrary that support for her runs that high. (I see virtually everyone has predicted Adams, who I wouldn't be at all surprised to see win.) But sometimes it's fun to stick to your hunches, on the chance you'll be right and standing alone.

Oy, vey. I like Judi Dench but I am not a constant supporter. Some of her performances actually leave me cold - her lame characterizations in Tea With Mussolini; The Importance of Being Earnest and My Week With Marilyn to name a few. Some of her Oscar nominated performances - Iris, Mrs. Henderson Presents were also-rans at best, but when she's on, she's on.

Last year she had two shots at seventh and eighth Oscar nominations for The Best Exotic Marigold and Skyfall, but I supported only one of them while initially talking up her friend Maggie Smith for two - Quartet (sight unseen, which turned out to be crap) and The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel. Dench's lack of an Oscar nod for one or the other was not a surprise, but the lack of a nod for Philomena would be. The lack of a major win - the Globe, the SAG or the BAFTA would be disappointing but not shocking given the penchant for everyone to award the most acting opposed to the best.

On the other hand, Meryl Streep in August: Osage County is done. Put a fork in it.

Mister Tee wrote: Song: Please, Mr. Kennedy
(BJ, I disagree with you on two scores: first, I don’t see “Let It Go” as a 90s Alan Menken-like Oscar juggernaut; but, even if I did, the Globes in this millennium have very rarely been in synch with the Oscars, frequently picking songs that fail to be nominated by AMPAS)

Your second point is extremely valid, and when I reminded myself of just how out of sync HFPA/Oscar have been in this category, I realized a more fluky choice might indeed prevail tomorrow.

But gosh, I still think Let It Go just about has the Oscar in the bag. I honestly think you'd have to go back to Lose Yourself to find a song that has permeated the culture to such a strong degree, and the default-to-animation proclivity runs very high in this category. But...this is definitely a conversation for another day, once we even see what the competition is. (I feel like I'll be lucky to predict more than 2 nominees correct in that category, I just have no idea where these songs are going to come from.)

At this point I feel like Meryl Streep has become to me what Judi Dench is to Magilla -- the candidate I've consistently put faith in despite evidence to the contrary that support for her runs that high. (I see virtually everyone has predicted Adams, who I wouldn't be at all surprised to see win.) But sometimes it's fun to stick to your hunches, on the chance you'll be right and standing alone.

Film-Drama: 12 Years a Slave (ru: Gravity)

Film-Comedy/Musical: American Hustle

Actor-Drama: Chiwetel Ejiofor

Actress-Drama: Cate Blanchett

Actor-Comedy/Musical: Bruce Dern

Actress-Comedy/Musical: Amy Adams

Sup. Actor: Jared Lero (ru: Michael Fassbender)

Sup. Actress: Jennifer Lawrence

Director: Alfonso Cuaron

Screenplay: American Hustle

Foreign-Language Film: The Great Beauty
(I heard pretty consistent reports last Fall that HFPA didn’t much like Blue is the Warmest Color – we’ll see if they have any validity)

Animated Feature: Frozen

Song: Please, Mr. Kennedy
(BJ, I disagree with you on two scores: first, I don’t see “Let It Go” as a 90s Alan Menken-like Oscar juggernaut; but, even if I did, the Globes in this millennium have very rarely been in synch with the Oscars, frequently picking songs that fail to be nominated by AMPAS)

Score: Gravity

Picture, Drama --12 Years A Slave
Picture, Comedy Or Musical -- American Hustle
Picture, Animated -- Frozen
Foreign Language Film -- Blue Is The Warmest Color
Director -- Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Lead Actor, Drama -- Robert Redford, All Is Lost
Lead Actress, Drama -- Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Lead Actor, Comedy Or Musical -- Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Lead Actress, Comedy Or Musical -- Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Supporting Actor -- Jared Leto -- Dallas Buyers Club
Supporting Actress -- Lupita Nyong'o -- 12 Years A Slave
Screenplay -- American Hustle
Original Score -- Gravity
Original Song -- "Let It Go," Frozen

Best Drama
12 Years a Slave

Best Musical/Comedy
American Hustle

Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity (Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave)

Best Actress in a Drama
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Actor in a Drama
Robert Redford, All Is Lost (Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyer’s Club)

Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy
Bruce Dern, Nebraska (Christian Bale, American Hustle)

Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy
Amy Adams, American Hustle (Julie Delpy, Before Midnight)

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle (Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave)

Best Supporting Actor
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave (Jared Leto, Dallas Buyer’s Club)

Best Screenplay
Spike Jonze, Her (Jeff Pope/Steve Coogan, Philomena)

Best Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (The Hunt)

Best Animated Feature
Frozen

Best Original Song
“Let It Go,” Frozen

Best Score
Hans Zimmer, 12 Years a Slave (Steven Price, Gravity)

Drama:
12 Years a Slave

Comedy/Musical:
American Hustle

Animated:
Frozen

Director:
Alfonso Cuaron (RU: Steve McQueen)

Drama Actor:
Matthew McConaughey (RU: Chiwetel Ejiofor)

Drama Actress:
Cate Blanchett

Comedy/Musical Actor:
Christian Bale (RU: Bruce Dern)

Comedy/Musical Actress:
Amy Adams

Supporting Actor:
Jared Leto (RU: Michael Fassbender)

Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Lawrence (RU: Lupita Nyong'o)

Screenplay:
Her (RU: 12 Years a Slave)

Original Score:
Gravity (RU: 12 Years a Slave)

Song:
Let It Go (RU: Ordinary Love)

Foreign Film:
Blue Is the Warmest Color (RU: Great Beauty)

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
12 Years a Slave
(RU: Gravity)

BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
American Hustle

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Bruce Dern, Nebraska

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Amy Adams, American Hustle

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
(RU: Jennifer Lawrence)

BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
(RU: Steve McQueen)

BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Steven Price, Gravity

BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
"Let It Go", Frozen

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Frozen

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Hunt
(RU: Blue is the Warmest Color)

PICTURE (DRAMA)
12 Years a Slave

PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
American Hustle

DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

ACTOR (DRAMA)
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave

ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Bruce Dern, Nebraska

ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

ACTRESS (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

SCREENPLAY
Her (though I think you could make a pretty great case for most of the nominees)

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Blue is the Warmest Color

ANIMATED FEATURE
Frozen

ORIGINAL SONG
Let It Go, Frozen (I could be way off base, but this one strikes me as basically a gimme, and I'm surprised so many are betting against it)

ORIGINAL SCORE
Gravity

Best Picture, Drama
12 Years a Slave

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy
Inside Llewyn Davis
R.U.: Her

Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
R.U.: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor, Drama
Chiwetel Ejoifor, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
Bruce Dern, Nebraska

Best Actress, Drama
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy
Amy Adams, American Hustle

Best Supporting Actress
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave

Best Supporting Actor
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Original Song
"Please Mr. Kennedy:, Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Score
12 Years a Slave

Screenplay
Her

Foreign Film
The Great Beauty

Animated Film
Frozen

Picture, Drama -- Gravity
Picture, Comedy Or Musical -- American Hustle
Picture, Animated -- Frozen
Foreign Language Film -- Blue Is The Warmest Color
Director -- Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Lead Actor, Drama -- Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave
Lead Actress, Drama -- Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Lead Actor, Comedy Or Musical -- Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Lead Actress, Comedy Or Musical -- Amy Adams, American Hustle
Supporting Actor -- Jared Leto -- Dallas Buyers Club
Supporting Actress -- Lupita Nyong'o -- 12 Years A Slave
Screenplay -- 12 Years A Slave
Original Score -- Gravity
Original Song -- "Let It Go," Frozen

You really can't go runner-up on too much or it's statically impossible to win.

Best Picture Drama - 12 Years a Slave
Best Picture Comedy or Musical - American Hustle
Best Foreign-Language Film - Blue is the Warmest Color
Best Animated Film - Frozen
Best Director - Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity (r.u. Steve McQueen)
Best Actor, Drama - Robert Redford, All is Lost (r.u. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club)
Best Actor, Comedy or Musical - Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Best Actress, Drama - Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Best Actress, Comedy or Musical - Amy Adams, American Hustle
Best Supporting Actor - Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Supporting Actress - Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Best Screenplay - John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave (r.u. David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer, American Hustle)
Best Score - 12 Years a Slave
Best Song - "Ordinary Love" ("Please Mr. Kennedy")

PICTURE DRAMA
12 Years A Slave

ACTRESS DRAMA
Cate Blanchett

ACTOR DRAMA
Matthew McConaughey
(Chiwetel Ejofor)

PICTURE COMEDY
American Hustle

ACTRESS COMEDY
Julie Delpy

ACTOR COMEDY
Joaquin Phoenix
(Leonardo Di Caprio)

ANIMATED FILM
Frozen

FOREIGN FILM
The Hunt

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Lupita Nyong'o

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jared Leto

DIRECTOR
Steve McQueen

SCREENPLAY
American Hustle
(Her)

ORIGINAL SCORE
Gravity

SONG
Frozen

Best Picture, Drama
12 Years a Slave

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy
American Hustle

Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
R.U.: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor, Drama
Matthew McConnaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
R.U.: Chiwetel Ejoifor, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy
Bruce Dern, Nebraska

Best Actress, Drama
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy
Amy Adams, American Hustle

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
R.U.: Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave

Best Supporting Actor
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Original Song
"Please Mr. Kennedy:, Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Score
12 Years a Slave
R.U.: Gravity

Screenplay
her

Foreign Film
Blue Is the Warmest Color

Animated Film
Frozen