DGA Nominations Tomorrow

For the films of 2013
User avatar
criddic3
Tenured
Posts: 2752
Joined: Thu Jan 09, 2003 11:08 pm
Location: New York, USA
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby criddic3 » Tue Jan 07, 2014 6:19 am

Steve McQueen
Martin Scorsese
David O. Russell
Alfonso Cuaron
Paul Greengrass
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)

anonymous1980
Laureate
Posts: 5257
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 10:03 pm
Location: Manila
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby anonymous1980 » Tue Jan 07, 2014 5:19 am

My predictions:

David O. Russell, American Hustle
Jean Marc Vallee, Dallas Buyers Club
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave

Sabin
Laureate
Posts: 7483
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 12:52 am
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Sabin » Tue Jan 07, 2014 1:26 am

A pondering…

Can you believe it was merely one year ago when Ben Affleck, Tom Hooper, and Kathryn Bigelow all got nominated over David O. Russell? He may have been nominated for The Fighter (over Joel & Ethan Coen for True Grit) but is it possible people don't like him? American Hustle is well-liked, but tomorrow morning will Russell again be the one sitting by the sidelines?
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

User avatar
Eric
Tenured
Posts: 2723
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 11:18 pm
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Eric » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:55 pm

And, of course, if Jean-Marc Vallée shows up, I'll throw my hands up in the air and howl Bennett Miller's name in vain.

User avatar
Eric
Tenured
Posts: 2723
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 11:18 pm
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Eric » Mon Jan 06, 2014 10:53 pm

Mister Tee wrote:My gut feeling after that is Payne -- I think younger folk here underestimate how much old-timers relate to Nebraska (a film that's pretty consistently over-performed this season).

Not only that, but my rule of thumb for DGA as of late has been to take two or three steps back from whatever would represent the most vanguard possible Oscar slate (which would then naturally allow for Oscar to take one step toward "righting the balance," at least among electric youthers). In nearly every year for the last decade and change, the DGA represented a palpably more old-guard/middlebrow friendly entity. (Tom Hooper, anyone?) So, I think once you allow for the two undeniable gimmes -- McQueen and Cuarón -- you have to give the benefit of the doubt to the more reactionary among the remaining candidates. So, yes, I see the exact same slate as you, Tee. Russell (has any other formerly renegade-ish filmmaker been more amply rewarded for playing it safe?), Greengrass and Payne join the other two.

And, naturally, I'm hoping against hope that the latter two make way for some combination of Jonze, the Coens or even Scorsese at the Oscars. Though I disliked Nebraska as much as anything this year, I'd much rather see Payne get in for staying true to his vision than to see Greengrass snare a nod for ripping every page from out of Kathryn Bigelow's latest playbook (and none too enthusiastically at that).

Big Magilla
Site Admin
Posts: 15816
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 3:22 pm
Location: Jersey Shore

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Big Magilla » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:59 pm

I expect Curaon and McQueen for sure; Russell and Jonze probably and either Grenngrass or the Coens. Anyone else would surprise me.
“‎Life is a shipwreck, but we must not forget to sing in the lifeboats.” - Voltaire

Mister Tee
Laureate
Posts: 6568
Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 2:57 pm
Location: NYC
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Mister Tee » Mon Jan 06, 2014 9:33 pm

My rule of thumb for DGA is, think in terms of the five most likely best picture nominees; leave lone directors for the directing branch of the Academy. (Though Spike Jonze did manage to snag one in 1999, when we had fonder hopes for that year's Oscars)

So, Cuaron/McQueen/Russell are no-brainers. After that it gets murkier. I think, despite all the "who'll give it number one votes?" distraction, Captain Phillips is next in line (it would be Greengrass' first from the DGA). My gut feeling after that is Payne -- I think younger folk here underestimate how much old-timers relate to Nebraska (a film that's pretty consistently over-performed this season). But the Fincher/Scorsese analogy might pan out, as well.

I doubt anyone beyond that could surprise -- a contention I won't be repeating on Nominations Morning, given last year's chaos.

Sabin
Laureate
Posts: 7483
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 12:52 am
Contact:

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby Sabin » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:43 pm

I second mlrg. Spike Jonze and Alexander Payne have decent chances of sneaking in but it's going to be Alfonso Cuaron, Paul Greengrass, Steve McQueen, David O. Russell, and getting his 11th DGA nomination Martin Scorsese.
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

mlrg
Adjunct
Posts: 1115
Joined: Tue Dec 07, 2004 11:19 am
Location: Lisbon, Portugal

Re: DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby mlrg » Mon Jan 06, 2014 4:38 pm

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
12 Years a Slave
Wolf of Wall Street

no gut no glory: Blue Jasmine

FilmFan720
Tenured
Posts: 3458
Joined: Thu Jan 02, 2003 3:57 pm
Location: Illinois

DGA Nominations Tomorrow

Postby FilmFan720 » Mon Jan 06, 2014 3:42 pm

The DGA announces their nominations tomorrow, which could help to give a lot of focus to some of these Best Picture nominees. In this age of more than 5 nominees, a DGA fail doesn't mean you're out of the game, but it doesn't help a lot.

In the 4 years since the Best Picture expansion, only 1 DGA nominee hasn't led to a Best Picture nominee (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo -- although that film ended up with a surprising 5 nominations). That means that we can assume that all the films cited tomorrow will pick up Best Picture nominees. Assuming that the 3 frontrunners all pick up DGA nods (American Hustle, Gravity, 12 Years a Slave), that means that 2 other films tomorrow should see their Best Picture chances solidify tomorrow.

That said, who do we think is going to show up? Martin Scorsese would seem a pretty strong bet (although his film probably needs this nomination the least), and Spike Jonze would seem like a likely fifth nominee. Alexander Payne seems like a strong alternate to those five. Paul Greengrass has never been nominated by the DGA, but his film feels very much like a directorial achievement that could show up here. The Coen Brothers have never done exceptionally well with the DGA -- they have 2 nominations and a win, but have never showed up here when they weren't "guaranteed" a slot. Dallas Buyers Club has shown up on all 3 other major guild awards so far, but Jean-Marc Vallee is the part of the film getting no real serious consideration. Will Woody Allen solidify his films chances here? Could Lee Daniels mark a return for The Butler?

My guess is that we will see:
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
her
12 Years a Slave

With Dallas Buyers Club my dark horse.
"Go into the world and do well. But more importantly, go into the world and do good."
- Minor Myers, Jr.


Return to “86th Predictions and Precursors”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest