2013 NYFCC Awards Predicitons

[nightwingnova]

Very quiet this year. Some interesting choices, but it seems that it's not a very compelling year.

....

American Hustle!!!!!????

Anyone have the vote counts? This I gotta see.

[flipp525]

Thanks, Tee. Also https://twitter.com/indiewire

[Mister Tee]

Sorry; only just saw this.

https://twitter.com/Sidney_Falco

[flipp525]

Is anyone live-tweeting the results?

[mlrg]

Best Feature – 12 Years a Slave
(r.u. – Gravity, Nebraska)
Best Foreign-Language Film – Blue is the Warmest Color
(r.u. – The Past, The Great Beauty)
Best Actor – Bruce Dern, Nebraska
(r.u. – Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave, Robert Redford All is Lost)
Best Actress – Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
(r.u. –Adele Excharpolous, Blue is the Warmest Color, Julie Delpy, Before Midnight)
Best Supporting Actor – James Gandolfini, Enough Said
(r.u. – Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave, Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club)
Best Supporting Actress – Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
(r.u. – June Squibb, Nebraska, Lea Seydoux, Blue is the Warmest Color)
Best Director – Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
(r.u. – Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave, Alexander Payne, Nebraska)
Best Screenplay – Bob Nelson, Nebraska
(r.u. – Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight, John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave)
Best Cinematography – Emmanuel Lubeszki, Gravity & To the Wonder
(r.u. – Bruno Delbonnel, Inside Llewyn Davis, Sean Bobbitt, 12 Years a Slave)
Best Animated Feature – The Wind Rises
(r.u. – Frozen, An Oversimplification of her Beauty)
Best First Feature – Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
(r.u. – Short Term 12, In a World…)
Best Non-Fiction Film – The Act of Killing
(r.u. – At Berkeley, Blackfish)

[Sabin]

New York Film Critic’s Circle
Best Feature – 12 Years a Slave
(r.u. – Blue is the Warmest Color, Nebraska)
Best Foreign-Language Film – Blue is the Warmest Color
(r.u. – The Past, The Great Beauty)
Best Actor – Robert Redford, All is Lost
(r.u. – Chiwetel Ejiofer, 12 Years a Slave, Bruce Dern, Nebraska)
Best Actress – Adele Excharpolous, Blue is the Warmest Color
(r.u. – Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine, Julie Delpy, Before Midnight)
Best Supporting Actor – Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
(r.u. – Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave, James Gandolfini, Enough Said)
Best Supporting Actress – Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
(r.u. – June Squibb, Nebraska, Lea Seydoux, Blue is the Warmest Color)
Best Director – Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
(r.u. – Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave, Abdellatif Kechiche, Blue is the Warmest Color)
Best Screenplay – Bob Nelson, Nebraska
(r.u. – Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight, John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave)
Best Cinematography – Emmanuel Lubeszki, Gravity & To the Wonder
(r.u. – Bruno Delbonnel, Inside Llewyn Davis, Sean Bobbitt, 12 Years a Slave)
Best Animated Feature – The Wind Rises
(r.u. – Frozen, An Oversimplification of her Beauty)
Best First Feature – Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
(r.u. – Short Term 12, In a World…)
Best Non-Fiction Film – The Act of Killing
(r.u. – At Berkeley, Blackfish)

[Okri]

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (Inside Llewyn Davis, Gravity)
Best Director: Steve McQueen (Alfonso Cuaron, Spike Jonze)
Best Screenplay: Her (Frances Ha; Before Midnight)

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Greta Gerwig, Adèle Exarchopoulos)
Best Actor: Leonardo Dicaprio (Oscar Isaac, Chiwetel Eijiofor)
Best Supporting Actress: Scarlett Johansson, Her + Don Jon (Lea Seydoux, Lupita Nyon'go)
Best Supporting Actor: Will Forte (Michael Fassbender, James Gandolfini)

Best Cinematographer: Gravity (Frances Ha, Nebraska)

Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises (Is The Man Who is Tall Happy? Frozen)
Best Non-Fiction Film: Stories We Tell (The Square, Leviathan)
Best Foreign Film: Blue is the Warmest Color (The Great Beauty, Wadjda)
Best First Film: Ain't Them Bodies Saints (not his first film, but whatever) (Blue Caprice)

[Mister Tee]

Eric, you may be on to something with your cinematography call: throwing in To the Wonder as a co-choice enables critics to fudge the CGI-or-not debate while still honoring Lubezki.

Film: 12 Years a Slave
(ru: The Wolf of Wall Street, Gravity)
Actor: Robert Redford
(ru: Chiwetel Ejiofor, Bruce Dern)
Actress: Cate Blanchett
(ru: Adele Exarchopoulos, Brie Larson)
Sup. Actor: Jonah Hill
(ru: Michael Fassbender, Jared Leto)
Sup. Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
(ru: Lea Seydoux, June Squibb)
Director: Alfonso Cuaron
(ru: Steve McQueen, Martin Scorsese)
Screenplay: Her
(ru: Nebraska, 12 Years a Slave)
Cinematography: 12 Years a Slave
(ru: Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis)
Non-Fiction: 20 Feet from Stardom
(ru: The Act of Killing, Tim's Vermeer)
Foreign-Language Film: Blue is the Warmest Color
(ru: The Hunt, The Great Beauty)
Animated Feature: The Wind Rises
(ru: Frozen)
First Film: Fruitvale Station
(ru: Don Jon, In a World)

[ksrymy]

Best Picture - 12 Years a Slave (r-u Gravity)
Director - Alfonso Cuarón, 12 Years a Slave (r-uAbdellatif Keciche, Blue is the Warmest Colour)
Actor - Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club (r-u Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave)
Actress - Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine (r-u Adèle Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Colour)
Supporting Actor - Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club (r-u Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave)
Supporting Actress - Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave (r-u June Squibb, Nebraska)
Screenplay - Blue Jasmine (r-u Gravity)
Cinematography - Gravity (r-u 12 Years a Slave)
Animated Film - The Wind Rises (r-u Frozen)
First Film - Fruitvale Station (r-u Don John)

[FilmFan720]

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (Inside Llewyn Davis; Gravity)
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron (Steve McQueen; Joel and Ethan Coen)
Best Screenplay: Enough Said (Inside Llewyn Davis; Her)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Berenice Bejo; Julie Delpy)
Best Actor: Bruce Dern (Leonardo DiCaprio; Michael B. Jordan)
Best Supporting Actress: Scarlett Johansson (Octavia Spencer; Lupita N'yongo)
Best Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender (Jonah Hill; James Gandolfini)
Best Cinematographer: Gravity (12 Years a Slave; Nebraska)
Best Animated Film: Frozen (The Wind Rises)
Best Non-Fiction Film: Blackfish (The Act of Killing; Alex Gibney's Wikileaks Movie)
Best Foreign Film: Blue is the Warmest Color (The Past; The Hunt)
Best First Film: Fruitvale Station (Don John)

[Eric]

NYFCC don't veer too far to the left of Oscar, but it's fun to hope they will anyway.

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (Blue is the Warmest Color; Inside Llewyn Davis)
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron (Steve McQueen; Abdellatif Kechiche)
Best Screenplay: Before Midnight (Her; Blue Jasmine)
Best Actress: Adèle Exarchopoulos (Cate Blanchett; Brie Larson)
Best Actor: Bruce Dern (Robert Redford; Oscar Isaac)
Best Supporting Actress: June Squibb (Léa Seydoux; Scarlett Johansson)
Best Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender (James Gandolfini; Sam Rockwell)
Best Cinematographer: Gravity + To the Wonder (Nebraska; Prisoners)
Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises (An Oversimplification of Her Beauty; Frozen)
Best Non-Fiction Film: The Act of Killing (At Berkeley; After Tiller)
Best Foreign Film: Blue is the Warmest Color (The Past; Drug War)
Best First Film: Fruitvale Station (Blue Caprice; Sun Don't Shine)

Yeah, I guess I see 12 Years taking the title too, but only after its frustrated partisans have lost a lot of other battles on the way.

[dws1982]

New York's been more mainstream than Los Angeles over the past 5-10 years. LA almost always finds room for at least one foreign winner (usually in Best Actress or Supporting Actor) and often has a couple of winners that aren't really on the Oscar radar at all. New York generally only has off-the-wall winners when they can't come to a consensus between the Oscar contenders.

I do wonder how Supporting Actor will go. I could see Leto getting it for surprising everyone with a performance that no one expected--his career up until this point has been, putting it kindly, unimpressive--but I could also see Fassbender getting it kind of the way Christian Bale did a few years back--for being an actor's actor, giving another impressive performance in a career that routinely balances blockbusters with smaller, more personal projects.

[OscarGuy]

These seem more like Oscar predictions than NYFCC predictions, no offense.

I don't have time to predict right now, but I wonder where the foreign lingo or off-the-wall winner will come from. Will it be NYFCC or LAFCA? Who will it be?

[nightwingnova]

Oh, what the heck...

Best Picture - Gravity (r-u 12 Years a Slave)
Director - Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity (r-u Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave)
Actor - Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club (r-u Bruce Dern, Nebraska)
Actress - Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine (r-u Judi Dench, Philomena)
Supporting Actor - Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club (r-u Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave)
Supporting Actress - Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Screenplay - Before Midnight (r-u 12 Years a Slave)
Cinematography - Gravity

[Big Magilla]

Best Picture - 12 Years a Slave (r-u Gravity)
Director - Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave (r-u Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity)
Actor - Chiwitel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave (r-u Bruce Dern, Nebraska)
Actress - Judi Dench, Philomena (r-u Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine)
Supporting Actor - Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club (r-u Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave)
Supporting Actress - Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave (r-u June Squibb, Nebraska)
Screenplay - 12 Years a Slave (r-u The Wolf of Wall Street)
Cinematography - Gravity (r-u 12 Years a Slave)
Foreign Language Film - Blue Is the Warmest Color (r-u The Past)
Animated Film - The Wind Rises (r-u Frozen)
First Film - Fruitvale Station (r0u Don John)