DGA Predictions

[VanHelsing]

Joel & Ethan Coen VS Paul Thomas Anderson.

I'm picking the former.

[cam]

Silence of the Lambs (1991)
Unforgiven (1992)
Schindler's List (1993)

Crash (2005)
The Departed (2006)

I *knew* that someone could find an exception.

[Sonic Youth]

Coens.

And I'm going back on my TWBB/Anderson prediction for AMPAS, even before the DGA is announced. If Anderson wins, and if his movie takes in a respectible box office, then we may have a race. I'm not expecting either to happen. But even putting that aside, I think it's the year of the Bros.

And no, I don't see a split. And no, I don't see a "cancel each other out" scenario.



Edited By Sonic Youth on 1201402387

[MovieWes]

Silence of the Lambs (1991)
Unforgiven (1992)
Schindler's List (1993)

Crash (2005)
The Departed (2006)



Edited By MovieWes on 1201402448

[OscarGuy]

Patton 1970
The French Connection 1971
The Godfather 1972

[cam]

I have this feeling that No Country is too violent --we had The Departed just last year--and I don't recall violent films winning two years in a row( someone will point out one!).
Although TWBB *sounds* violent, it really is not.
But I predict Schnabel.

[MovieWes]

If Julian Schnabel wins, then he would become the first odd-man-out director to have a legitimate shot at winning the Oscar.

I think it'll be the Coens, though. No Country for Old Men has the feel of a Best Picture winner to me. I had the same feeling about The Departed last year too.



Edited By MovieWes on 1201396369

[Big Magilla]

The Coen Brothers have the momentum, but this could be one of those years where the DGA and Oscar disagree, with Anderson wins best director and the Coens settle for adapted screenplay.

[OscarGuy]

Well, we have less than 6-8 hours left until the DGA winner is revealed. What do you guys think will happen?

The Coens need this to win the Oscar. If they lose to Anderson, then it looks like Blood will have the support to win Best Picture and Director. If they lose to Julian Schnabel or Tony Gilroy, we'll know that the support for those two films is larger than we expected. Schnabel might prove a director split is imminent. Gilroy winning may point towards a bigger shift. Sean Penn winning isn't likely to show or tell us anything except the DGA loves actors.

I really think the award comes down to the Coens and Anderson. I've seen about the same amount of advertising for each, but Miramax/Vantage must be having a hard time deciding which they're giving their full push to. We may know more after tonight...

Will Win: The Coen Brothers, just because they have a longer history and wider array of films to examine than Anderson.
My Wish: Paul Thomas Anderson. The guy certainly would deserve it for making a tremendous comeback. Not to mention the movie's damned good.