Exactly. That DVD release date could be pushed back even further if the re-release is successful.dws1982 wrote:Sonic Youth wrote:I wish I hadn't missed Into the Wild. Any plans on a re-release?
I think they've started expanding it again; It came back to my town (a town of about 170,000) last weekend to two different theatres, although I'm not sure how many screens it's on right now. If it gets the major nominations it's expected to tomorrow, it may go wide--its widest release so far has been about 600 screens, so there are plenty of small towns that haven't gotten it at all. But if it doesn't come back to your town, it's supposed to be on DVD on February 12, although Amazon.com is reporting that it's been pushed back to March 4.
For some reason, I was under the impression that you had seen it and didn't care for it.
The Official Final Predictions Thread
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Big Magilla
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I don't think it would category confusion -- the whole wide stupid world, except for us and Michael Musto -- see him as Supporting -- but rather that not enough Academy members people saw Assassination of Jesse James and those that did didn't like it (a 2-and-a-half hour "arty" western).OscarGuy wrote:I'm going to try calling this one early: Casey Affleck. I think category confusion might cut him and I could easily see him missing out altogether.
"Y'know, that's one of the things I like about Mitt Romney. He's been consistent since he changed his mind." -- Christine O'Donnell
I think they've started expanding it again; It came back to my town (a town of about 170,000) last weekend to two different theatres, although I'm not sure how many screens it's on right now. If it gets the major nominations it's expected to tomorrow, it may go wide--its widest release so far has been about 600 screens, so there are plenty of small towns that haven't gotten it at all. But if it doesn't come back to your town, it's supposed to be on DVD on February 12, although Amazon.com is reporting that it's been pushed back to March 4.Sonic Youth wrote:I wish I hadn't missed Into the Wild. Any plans on a re-release?
For some reason, I was under the impression that you had seen it and didn't care for it.
Best Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: American Gangster, Juno
Best Director
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: Ridley Scott, American Gangster ; Jason Reitman, Juno
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington, American Gangster
6th and 7th Place: Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild ; James McAvoy, Atonement
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno
6th and 7th Place: Keira Knightley, Atonement ; Laura Linney, The Savages
Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
6th and 7th Place: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War ; John Travolta, Hairspray
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchet, I’m Not There
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
6th and 7th Place: Catherine Keener, Into the Wild ; Kelly Macdonald, No Country for Old Men
Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
6th and 7th Place: Knocked Up ; Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: Zodiac ; The Kite Runner
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: American Gangster, Juno
Best Director
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: Ridley Scott, American Gangster ; Jason Reitman, Juno
Best Actor
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington, American Gangster
6th and 7th Place: Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild ; James McAvoy, Atonement
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page, Juno
6th and 7th Place: Keira Knightley, Atonement ; Laura Linney, The Savages
Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
6th and 7th Place: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War ; John Travolta, Hairspray
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchet, I’m Not There
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
6th and 7th Place: Catherine Keener, Into the Wild ; Kelly Macdonald, No Country for Old Men
Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
6th and 7th Place: Knocked Up ; Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
6th and 7th Place: Zodiac ; The Kite Runner
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OscarGuy
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After much internal debate and a number of changes while I was working on my final predictions, I think I've finally come up with the list. The hardest category for me to call was supporting actor. There are 7 individuals that could all end up nominees. I think Javier Bardem is the only lock in the category, but the other four could be one of Casey Affleck, Hal Holbrook, Paul Dano, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Tom Wilkinson or Tommy Lee Jones. Ultimately I left Hoffman and Dano off the list. I think Dano will get in, but at whose expense? Either Tommy Lee Jones or, I'm going to try calling this one early: Casey Affleck. I think category confusion might cut him and I could easily see him missing out altogether.
Anyway, here are my final predictions, but I have to say this has been the most difficult year to predict in my memory. I fought internally for days over all of these and only finalized yesterday evening. But, we have to cement sometime and I guess with less than 24 hours to go, it was the best time.
Oscar Hopefuls
Anyway, here are my final predictions, but I have to say this has been the most difficult year to predict in my memory. I fought internally for days over all of these and only finalized yesterday evening. But, we have to cement sometime and I guess with less than 24 hours to go, it was the best time.
Oscar Hopefuls
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
Not likely?! I'd say that it's very possible... Nobody wants to say it because, as you pointed out, we all refuse the idea that Blanchett can be nominated for that unwatchable movie (while I personally liked her in I'm Not There). But it can happen, definitely - a left-field nomination, and as such it seems to me that she has more chances than Linney, Bonham Carter (both probably more deserving) and Knightley.Sonic Youth wrote: Not likely, but what's life and predictions without risk?
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Sonic Youth
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Best Picture
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
*There Will Be Blood
Best Director
*Paul Thomas Anderson
Coen Bros.
Tony Gilroy
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel
I feel more confident with my Director pix than with Best Film. I'm sticking with my contention that "Into the Wild" and "Diving Bell" will make Best Picture, and "Juno" will miss. And should this happen, it will be that rare 5-for-5 film/director year. If "Juno" makes it, Best Director still stands. And if there IS an out-of-nowhere choice... well, David Cronenberg is as good a choice as any, unless Ridley wants to spoil things again.
If the Oscars were tonight, "No Country" and the Coens would be likely winners. They won the precursor tally race for sure. But have they peaked? I see "There Will Be Blood" charging over that hill just yonder, and I'm wondering... could this be the fiercest, most exciting Film/Director race since Eastwood/Scorsese? (And now that people are just discovering "Diving Bell", figure that may be a factor of sorts in the race... assuming it's nominated.)
Best Actor
*Daniel Day-Lewis
Four others
I may eat these words later, but why there are still so many people who think Johnny Depp is making it is beyond me. And I also predict this will be more of a Helen Mirren year than a Forrest Whitaker, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Jamie Foxx year... meaning, people will be thrilled for this imminent victory, rather than gripe about the inequity and predictibility of it all.
(It hardly matters, but George Clooney, Ryan Gosling, Emile Hirsch, and Viggo Mortensen will be the others.)
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett
*Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
People don't want to predict Blanchett. They can't abide predicting Blanchett. They'd rather eat glass than predict Blanchett over Laura Linney, Helena Bonham Carter or Keira Knightly. It does feel wrong, doesn't it? Anyone remember last year's unlikely contender, the one that received a Globe and a SAG nomination? It was "Bobby" for Best Picture. That gave us a little scare, didn't it? And Blanchett may go the "Bobby" route. But she has also picked up a BAFTA nom. So, how many voters are simultaneous AMPAS and BAFTA members? How many are insufferable Anglosnobs? And how many are Blanchett lunatics, like their fellow fanboys on the internet? Maybe... MAYBE... just enough to put her over the edge. Not likely, but what's life and predictions without risk? Every Oscar slate provides one blast of stale air, and this could be it. If it happens... yup... I called it!
Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck
*Javier Bardem
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Tommy Lee Jones
Hal Holbrook
What to say, other than maybe Holbrook could be the Alan Arkin spoiler this year. (I wish I hadn't missed Into the Wild. Any plans on a re-release?)
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett
Ruby Dee
Catherine Keener
*Amy Ryan
Tilda Swinton
Okay, so Amy didn't exactly sweep the precursors. Or rather, she did but it wasn't a CLEAN sweep. But it feels a little like a Hillary Swank-Annette Bening flashback, with the journeywoman overtaking the veteran.
Best Original Screenplay
*Juno
Knocked Up
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
The Savages
Good thing this is such a weak field. Juno retains its frontrunner status even if it isn't nominated for Best Picture. I don't really think Knocked Up will make it (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead will take its place), but I've been sticking with this prediction since last March and I can't abandon it now! If it happens, I called it.
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
*No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Talk about inverse proportions. This Screenplay category will be as classy and first-rate as the other one will be meh. Compare it to last year, when the opposite was the case.
No Country's win will either be a harbinger of things to come, or a "Nice try, Coen's! Here's yer runner-up citation" prize. Either way, it'll win.
I'll finish the other categories once I see what everyone else is predicting, and I get to crib off of you.
Is this a contest?
Edited By Sonic Youth on 1200896902
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
*There Will Be Blood
Best Director
*Paul Thomas Anderson
Coen Bros.
Tony Gilroy
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel
I feel more confident with my Director pix than with Best Film. I'm sticking with my contention that "Into the Wild" and "Diving Bell" will make Best Picture, and "Juno" will miss. And should this happen, it will be that rare 5-for-5 film/director year. If "Juno" makes it, Best Director still stands. And if there IS an out-of-nowhere choice... well, David Cronenberg is as good a choice as any, unless Ridley wants to spoil things again.
If the Oscars were tonight, "No Country" and the Coens would be likely winners. They won the precursor tally race for sure. But have they peaked? I see "There Will Be Blood" charging over that hill just yonder, and I'm wondering... could this be the fiercest, most exciting Film/Director race since Eastwood/Scorsese? (And now that people are just discovering "Diving Bell", figure that may be a factor of sorts in the race... assuming it's nominated.)
Best Actor
*Daniel Day-Lewis
Four others
I may eat these words later, but why there are still so many people who think Johnny Depp is making it is beyond me. And I also predict this will be more of a Helen Mirren year than a Forrest Whitaker, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Jamie Foxx year... meaning, people will be thrilled for this imminent victory, rather than gripe about the inequity and predictibility of it all.
(It hardly matters, but George Clooney, Ryan Gosling, Emile Hirsch, and Viggo Mortensen will be the others.)
Best Actress
Cate Blanchett
*Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
People don't want to predict Blanchett. They can't abide predicting Blanchett. They'd rather eat glass than predict Blanchett over Laura Linney, Helena Bonham Carter or Keira Knightly. It does feel wrong, doesn't it? Anyone remember last year's unlikely contender, the one that received a Globe and a SAG nomination? It was "Bobby" for Best Picture. That gave us a little scare, didn't it? And Blanchett may go the "Bobby" route. But she has also picked up a BAFTA nom. So, how many voters are simultaneous AMPAS and BAFTA members? How many are insufferable Anglosnobs? And how many are Blanchett lunatics, like their fellow fanboys on the internet? Maybe... MAYBE... just enough to put her over the edge. Not likely, but what's life and predictions without risk? Every Oscar slate provides one blast of stale air, and this could be it. If it happens... yup... I called it!
Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck
*Javier Bardem
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Tommy Lee Jones
Hal Holbrook
What to say, other than maybe Holbrook could be the Alan Arkin spoiler this year. (I wish I hadn't missed Into the Wild. Any plans on a re-release?)
Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett
Ruby Dee
Catherine Keener
*Amy Ryan
Tilda Swinton
Okay, so Amy didn't exactly sweep the precursors. Or rather, she did but it wasn't a CLEAN sweep. But it feels a little like a Hillary Swank-Annette Bening flashback, with the journeywoman overtaking the veteran.
Best Original Screenplay
*Juno
Knocked Up
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
The Savages
Good thing this is such a weak field. Juno retains its frontrunner status even if it isn't nominated for Best Picture. I don't really think Knocked Up will make it (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead will take its place), but I've been sticking with this prediction since last March and I can't abandon it now! If it happens, I called it.
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
*No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Talk about inverse proportions. This Screenplay category will be as classy and first-rate as the other one will be meh. Compare it to last year, when the opposite was the case.
No Country's win will either be a harbinger of things to come, or a "Nice try, Coen's! Here's yer runner-up citation" prize. Either way, it'll win.
I'll finish the other categories once I see what everyone else is predicting, and I get to crib off of you.
Is this a contest?
Edited By Sonic Youth on 1200896902
"What the hell?"
Win Butler
Win Butler
BEST PICTURE
American Gangster
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney in Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch in Into The Wild
Viggo Mortensen in Eastern Promises
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchet in That Other Elizabeth Flick
Julie Christie in Away from Her
Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page in Juno
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck in The Assassination Of Jesse James
Javier Bardem in No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook in Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones in No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There
Ruby Dee in American Gangster
Catherine Keener in Into the Wild
Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton for Sweeney Todd
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen for No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy for Michael Clayton
Sean Penn for Into the Wild
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Gangster
Before The Devil Knows You’re Dead
Juno
Michael Clayton
The Savages
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST FILM EDITING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination Of Jesse James
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie en Rose
300
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
3:10 To Yuma
BEST SONG
"Come So Far" (Hairspray)
“Do You Feel Me" (American Gangster )
“Falling Slowly” (Once)
"Guaranteed" (Into The Wild )
“Le Festin” (Ratatouille)
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
The Golden Compass
Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
300
Transformers
Live Free Or Die Hard
Spider-man 3
BEST MAKE UP
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Sweeney Todd
BEST FOREIGN PICTUIRE
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
12 (Russia)
The Unknown (Italy)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Autism: The Musical
Nanking
A Promise To The Dead: The Exile Journey Of Ariel Dorfman
The Rape Of Europa
Taxi To The Darkside
CARTOON
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
American Gangster
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney in Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch in Into The Wild
Viggo Mortensen in Eastern Promises
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchet in That Other Elizabeth Flick
Julie Christie in Away from Her
Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page in Juno
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck in The Assassination Of Jesse James
Javier Bardem in No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook in Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones in No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There
Ruby Dee in American Gangster
Catherine Keener in Into the Wild
Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton for Sweeney Todd
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen for No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy for Michael Clayton
Sean Penn for Into the Wild
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Gangster
Before The Devil Knows You’re Dead
Juno
Michael Clayton
The Savages
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
BEST FILM EDITING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination Of Jesse James
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie en Rose
300
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
3:10 To Yuma
BEST SONG
"Come So Far" (Hairspray)
“Do You Feel Me" (American Gangster )
“Falling Slowly” (Once)
"Guaranteed" (Into The Wild )
“Le Festin” (Ratatouille)
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted)
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
300
The Golden Compass
Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
300
Transformers
Live Free Or Die Hard
Spider-man 3
BEST MAKE UP
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Sweeney Todd
BEST FOREIGN PICTUIRE
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
12 (Russia)
The Unknown (Italy)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Autism: The Musical
Nanking
A Promise To The Dead: The Exile Journey Of Ariel Dorfman
The Rape Of Europa
Taxi To The Darkside
CARTOON
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
"The only thing I regret about my past is the length of it. If I had to live my life again, I'd make the same mistakes... only sooner."--Tallulah Bankhead
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The Original BJ
- Emeritus
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- Joined: Mon Apr 28, 2003 8:49 pm
The big question-mark for many seems to be Into the Wild, but I feel pretty good about those predictions. For me, the bigger question is 'how big a bust will Atonement be?' It's still at least a competitor in plenty of major categories...but it could also be left out of all of them, leaving a surprisingly low nomination total...we'll see...
BEST PICTURE
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Away From Her
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
David Fincher - Zodiac
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Pretty Please: Andrew Dominik - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
Pretty Please: Gordon Pinsent - Away From Her
BEST ACTRESS
Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno
Pretty Please: Tang Wei - Lust, Caution
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Supporty McSupporterson - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Max von Sydow - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Pretty Please: Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Ruby Dee - American Gangster
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Pretty Please: Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
Pretty Please: I'm Not There
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Pretty Please: Away From Her
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Days of Darkness
12
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation
Pretty Please: 4 Months, 3 Weeks and...oh wait...
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Autism: The Musical
Body of War
Lake of Fire
No End in Sight
Sicko
Pretty Please: don't overlook good docs just because they're popular
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
Pretty Please: do NOT drop Persepolis for something like Bee Movie...just...don't...
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Come So Far [Got So Far to Go] - Hairspray
Despedida - Love in the Time of Cholera
Falling Slowly - Once
Guaranteed - Into the Wild
That's How You Know - Enchanted
Pretty Please: something funky and totally out of the blue like the foreign nominees in '04
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
Into the Wild
The Kite Runner
Lust, Caution
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Ratatouille
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: Absolutely Unnecessary
Hairspray
Lust, Caution
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Pretty Please: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST MAKEUP
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
300
La Vie en Rose
Pretty Please: don't make me see Norbit
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: I'm Not There
BEST FILM EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Zodiac
BEST SOUND MIXING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Transformers
Pretty Please: There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
Beowulf
The Bourne Ultimatum
Ratatouille
3:10 to Yuma
Transformers
Pretty Please: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
300
Transformers
Pretty Please: cancel this category
BEST PICTURE
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Away From Her
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen - No Country for Old Men
David Fincher - Zodiac
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Pretty Please: Andrew Dominik - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
Pretty Please: Gordon Pinsent - Away From Her
BEST ACTRESS
Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno
Pretty Please: Tang Wei - Lust, Caution
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Supporty McSupporterson - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Max von Sydow - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton
Pretty Please: Tommy Lee Jones - No Country for Old Men
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Ruby Dee - American Gangster
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Pretty Please: Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
Pretty Please: I'm Not There
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac
Pretty Please: Away From Her
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Days of Darkness
12
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation
Pretty Please: 4 Months, 3 Weeks and...oh wait...
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Autism: The Musical
Body of War
Lake of Fire
No End in Sight
Sicko
Pretty Please: don't overlook good docs just because they're popular
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
Pretty Please: do NOT drop Persepolis for something like Bee Movie...just...don't...
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Come So Far [Got So Far to Go] - Hairspray
Despedida - Love in the Time of Cholera
Falling Slowly - Once
Guaranteed - Into the Wild
That's How You Know - Enchanted
Pretty Please: something funky and totally out of the blue like the foreign nominees in '04
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
Into the Wild
The Kite Runner
Lust, Caution
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Ratatouille
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: Absolutely Unnecessary
Hairspray
Lust, Caution
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Pretty Please: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
BEST MAKEUP
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
300
La Vie en Rose
Pretty Please: don't make me see Norbit
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: I'm Not There
BEST FILM EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Pretty Please: Zodiac
BEST SOUND MIXING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Transformers
Pretty Please: There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
Beowulf
The Bourne Ultimatum
Ratatouille
3:10 to Yuma
Transformers
Pretty Please: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
300
Transformers
Pretty Please: cancel this category
BEST PICTURE
Into the Wild (Paramount Vantage)
Juno (Fox Searchlight)
Michael Clayton (WB)
No Country for Old Men (Miramax)
There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage)
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney in Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch in Into The Wild
James McAvoy in Atonement
BEST ACTRESS
Julie Christie in Away from Her
Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley in Atonement
Ellen Page in Juno
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck in The Assassination Of Jesse James
Javier Bardem in No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook in Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones in No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There
Ruby Dee in American Gangster
Catherine Keener in Into the Wild
Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Before The Devil Knows You’re Dead – Kelly Masterson
Juno – Diablo Cody
Michael Clayton – Tony Gilroy
Ratatouille – Brad Turd
The Savages – Tamara Jenkins
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement – Christopher Hampton
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly – Ronald Harwood
Into the Wild – Sean Penn
No Country for Old Men – Joel and Ethan Coen
There Will Be Blood – Paul Thomas Anderson
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford – Roger Deakins
The Bourne Ultimatum – Oliver Wood
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly – Janusz Kaminski
No Country for Old Men – Roger Deakins
There Will Be Blood – Robert Elswit
BEST FILM EDITING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie en Rose
300
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement – Dario Marianelli
The Kite Runner – Alberto Iglesias
Michael Clayton – James Newton Howard
Ratatouille – Michael Giacchino
3:10 To Yuma – Marco Beltrami
BEST SONG
“Do You Feel Me" (American Gangster ) – Diane Warren
“Falling Slowly” (Once) – Glen Hansard & Marketa Irglova
"Guaranteed" (Into The Wild ) – Eddie Vedder
“Le Festin” (Ratatouille) – Michael Giacchino; translation by Boualem Lamhene
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted) – Alan Menken & Stephen Schwartz
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
I Am Legend
300
Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
300
Transformers
{if there are 5 nominees, add Live Free Or Die Hard and Spider-man 3
BEST MAKE UP
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
BEST FOREIGN PICTUIRE
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
12 (Russia)
The Unknown (Italy)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Autism: The Musical
Nanking
A Promise To The Dead: The Exile Journey Of Ariel Dorfman
The Rape Of Europa
Taxi To The Darkside
CARTOON
Persepolis
Rataturdy
The Simpsons Movie
Edited By Damien on 1200815221
Into the Wild (Paramount Vantage)
Juno (Fox Searchlight)
Michael Clayton (WB)
No Country for Old Men (Miramax)
There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage)
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney in Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd
Emile Hirsch in Into The Wild
James McAvoy in Atonement
BEST ACTRESS
Julie Christie in Away from Her
Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley in Atonement
Ellen Page in Juno
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck in The Assassination Of Jesse James
Javier Bardem in No Country For Old Men
Hal Holbrook in Into The Wild
Tommy Lee Jones in No Country For Old Men
Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There
Ruby Dee in American Gangster
Catherine Keener in Into the Wild
Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton
BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Before The Devil Knows You’re Dead – Kelly Masterson
Juno – Diablo Cody
Michael Clayton – Tony Gilroy
Ratatouille – Brad Turd
The Savages – Tamara Jenkins
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Atonement – Christopher Hampton
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly – Ronald Harwood
Into the Wild – Sean Penn
No Country for Old Men – Joel and Ethan Coen
There Will Be Blood – Paul Thomas Anderson
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford – Roger Deakins
The Bourne Ultimatum – Oliver Wood
The Diving Bell and The Butterfly – Janusz Kaminski
No Country for Old Men – Roger Deakins
There Will Be Blood – Robert Elswit
BEST FILM EDITING
American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Into The Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
BEST ART DIRECTION
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
La Vie en Rose
300
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement – Dario Marianelli
The Kite Runner – Alberto Iglesias
Michael Clayton – James Newton Howard
Ratatouille – Michael Giacchino
3:10 To Yuma – Marco Beltrami
BEST SONG
“Do You Feel Me" (American Gangster ) – Diane Warren
“Falling Slowly” (Once) – Glen Hansard & Marketa Irglova
"Guaranteed" (Into The Wild ) – Eddie Vedder
“Le Festin” (Ratatouille) – Michael Giacchino; translation by Boualem Lamhene
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted) – Alan Menken & Stephen Schwartz
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
I Am Legend
300
Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
Atonement
The Bourne Ultimatum
Hairspray
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
300
Transformers
{if there are 5 nominees, add Live Free Or Die Hard and Spider-man 3
BEST MAKE UP
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
BEST FOREIGN PICTUIRE
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Days of Darkness (Canada)
12 (Russia)
The Unknown (Italy)
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Autism: The Musical
Nanking
A Promise To The Dead: The Exile Journey Of Ariel Dorfman
The Rape Of Europa
Taxi To The Darkside
CARTOON
Persepolis
Rataturdy
The Simpsons Movie
Edited By Damien on 1200815221
"Y'know, that's one of the things I like about Mitt Romney. He's been consistent since he changed his mind." -- Christine O'Donnell
I've listed them in order of how likely I think their chances are.
Best Picture:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. Michael Clayton
4. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5. Into the Wild
Possible Alternates: Juno, Atonement
Wishing and Hoping: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Best Director:
1. Joel & Ethan Coen (No Country for Old Men)
2. Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
3. Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
4. Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
5. Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
Possible Alternates: David Cronenberg (Eastern Promises), Joe Wright (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Sarah Polley (Away From Her)
Best Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
2. George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
3. Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street)
4. Emile Hirsch (Into the Wild)
5. Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)
Possible Alternates: Ryan Gosling (Lars and the Real Girl), James McAvoy (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Steve Carrell (Dan in Real Life)
Best Actress:
1. Julie Christie (Away From Her)
2. Marion Cotillard (La Vie en Rose)
3. Ellen Page (Juno)
4. Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
5. Kiera Knightley (Atonement)
Possible Alternates: Laura Linney (The Savages), Helena Bonham Carter (Sweeney Todd)
Wishing and Hoping: Keri Russell (Waitress)
Best Supporting Actor:
1. Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
2. Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James…)
3. Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
4. Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)
5. Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood)
Possible Alternates: Tommy Lee Jones (No Country for Old Men), Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson’s War)
Wishing and Hoping: Max von Sydow (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
Best Supporting Actress:
1. Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
2. Cate Blanchett (I’m Not There)
3. Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
4. Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
5. Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
Possible Alternates: Kelly MacDonald (No Country for Old Men), Vanessa Redgrave (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Romola Garai (Atonement)
Best Picture:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. There Will Be Blood
3. Michael Clayton
4. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5. Into the Wild
Possible Alternates: Juno, Atonement
Wishing and Hoping: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Best Director:
1. Joel & Ethan Coen (No Country for Old Men)
2. Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
3. Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
4. Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
5. Tony Gilroy (Michael Clayton)
Possible Alternates: David Cronenberg (Eastern Promises), Joe Wright (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Sarah Polley (Away From Her)
Best Actor:
1. Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
2. George Clooney (Michael Clayton)
3. Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street)
4. Emile Hirsch (Into the Wild)
5. Viggo Mortensen (Eastern Promises)
Possible Alternates: Ryan Gosling (Lars and the Real Girl), James McAvoy (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Steve Carrell (Dan in Real Life)
Best Actress:
1. Julie Christie (Away From Her)
2. Marion Cotillard (La Vie en Rose)
3. Ellen Page (Juno)
4. Angelina Jolie (A Mighty Heart)
5. Kiera Knightley (Atonement)
Possible Alternates: Laura Linney (The Savages), Helena Bonham Carter (Sweeney Todd)
Wishing and Hoping: Keri Russell (Waitress)
Best Supporting Actor:
1. Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
2. Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James…)
3. Hal Holbrook (Into the Wild)
4. Tom Wilkinson (Michael Clayton)
5. Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood)
Possible Alternates: Tommy Lee Jones (No Country for Old Men), Philip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson’s War)
Wishing and Hoping: Max von Sydow (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
Best Supporting Actress:
1. Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
2. Cate Blanchett (I’m Not There)
3. Catherine Keener (Into the Wild)
4. Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
5. Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
Possible Alternates: Kelly MacDonald (No Country for Old Men), Vanessa Redgrave (Atonement)
Wishing and Hoping: Romola Garai (Atonement)
"...it is the weak who are cruel, and...gentleness is only to be expected from the strong." - Leo Reston
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
"Cruelty might be very human, and it might be cultural, but it's not acceptable." - Jodie Foster
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OscarGuy
- Site Admin
- Posts: 13668
- Joined: Wed Jan 01, 2003 12:22 am
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Although I'm not done writing up my final predictions (the analysis is lengthy), I'm going to put my thought in stone right now.
I predict the odd-man-out director will be David Fincher. Zodiac's doing surprisingly well in the guilds and he seems to fit the profile.
I predict the odd-man-out director will be David Fincher. Zodiac's doing surprisingly well in the guilds and he seems to fit the profile.
Wesley Lovell
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin
"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." - Benjamin Franklin