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by Sabin
Tue Feb 20, 2024 9:54 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Cinematography
Replies: 8
Views: 332

Re: Categories One-by-One: Cinematography

Mister Tee wrote But what if ASC follows its British cousins and goes for Poor Things? It's not as if the film isn't stunningly photographed -- I'd put the lighting of the skies in Lisbon up against any image in Oppenheimer. Would we simply say, ASC being weird, and stick to our Oppenheimer guns? A...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 20, 2024 1:47 pm
Forum: 2023
Topic: Killers of the Flower Moon reviews
Replies: 26
Views: 18467

Re: Killers of the Flower Moon reviews

Rewatched Killers of the Flower Moon. I think it's an easier movie to admire than to love but there's lots to admire. It's full of exciting filmmaking and it's an engrossing (if still a bit unclear) world. But in talking what's so great about it, I can't help but feel it's like describing a beautifu...
by Sabin
Mon Feb 19, 2024 2:32 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Makeup and Hairstyling
Replies: 8
Views: 460

Re: Categories One-by-One: Makeup and Hairstyling

This is probably the only Oscar race I can think of where I was both 100% confident in at least a mini-sweep by one film but every other category was a coin flip. Oppenheimer seems destined to walk away with at least six Oscars: Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Original Score, Cinematograph...
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 10:00 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: BAFTA WINNERS
Replies: 17
Views: 675

Re: BAFTA WINNERS

Over on the DGA Winner thread, we have a conversation about the number of competitive races. At this point, the only categories I would consider open and shut are all Oppenheimer (Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Original Score, Cinematography, Film Editing) plus Da'Vine Joy Randolph and I ...
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 9:37 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Best Picture Ballot
Replies: 17
Views: 839

Re: Best Picture Ballot

I'm holding off on presenting my rankings but at this point I think Poor Things is the average favorite film of the nominees of the board despite being nobody's favorite. Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, and Past Lives split both top of the middle of the rank.
by Sabin
Sun Feb 18, 2024 3:58 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag
Replies: 4
Views: 493

Re: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag

Big Magilla wrote I watched a couple of interviews by TV reporters of Russian supporters of Navalny who were shocked that none of his supporters thought he would die in prison. They thought he would be the Russian George Washington, but instead turned out to be the Russian Martin Luther King. It's ...
by Sabin
Sat Feb 17, 2024 1:06 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: New Developments III
Replies: 2983
Views: 788947

Re: New Developments III

Last week went about as poorly for Biden as a week could go. His cleanest line to knocking Trump off the ballot dissipated, the Hur report dropped, and Biden's immediate response (while not IMO pointing to senility) did nothing to help him. And the return of Jon Stewart didn't spare Biden an inch sa...
by Sabin
Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:55 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag
Replies: 4
Views: 493

Re: Aleksei Navalny Dies in Siberian Gulag

Someone should say something... I remember when Jeffrey Epstein died in prison, there were a handful of people "Let's not rush to judgement"-ed it. It was as fishy a death as any I've seen until this week. Is there anybody who read the news and didn't immediately jump to logical conclusion...
by Sabin
Wed Feb 14, 2024 7:50 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: New Developments III
Replies: 2983
Views: 788947

Re: New Developments III

I'm posting this because literally months ago, a friend asked me under what circumstances at this point would someone other than Biden be the nominee and I basically laid out these scenarios. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/12/joe-biden-democrat-plan-b-nominee-00140790 I'm a bit mixed...
by Sabin
Wed Feb 14, 2024 11:55 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 805

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Okri wrote Thanks Sabin. Some thoughts a) I could very well be making a race where there isn't any. I have a tendency to do that. So, in that vein... I don't take the BFCA very seriously, if I'm being honest. I don't view them as dispositive. I almost assume that Gladstone lost because there was st...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 13, 2024 9:05 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 805

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Okri wrote What precursor advantage specifically? Globe + BFCA but losing the Oscar? Jessica Chastain had that for Zero Dark Thirty. So did Glenn Close (+ the SAG). Probably not worth anything, but Stone didn't win the BFCA in 2016 - Portman did. I also don't think that Stone is in an "Oscar-y...
by Sabin
Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:24 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress
Replies: 15
Views: 805

Re: Categories One-by-One: Best Actress

Well, I'm not going to be a weenie and I am going to comment on the race. I think it's going to be Emma Stone. I posted something to this effect in another thread but I'll be brief. I just think for Emma Stone to not be considered the favorite going into Oscar night, she'd have to start to get reall...
by Sabin
Mon Feb 12, 2024 10:35 pm
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: DGA Nominees & Winner
Replies: 26
Views: 561550

Re: DGA Nominees & Winner

Mister Tee wrote Limiting it to sweeps narrows the field significantly, since only 4 films have won picture/director since 2014, and one of them (Parasite/Bong Joon-ho) was an upset from DGA. If you broaden it to "won best director after previous go", Jane Campion would be in that camp. A...
by Sabin
Mon Feb 12, 2024 11:59 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: DGA Nominees & Winner
Replies: 26
Views: 561550

Re: DGA Nominees & Winner

Decided to update the name of this thread. I'm trying to think of the last time a Best Picture winner was so apparently and the first answer that leaps to mind is Danny Boyle's Slumdog Millionaire. An interesting connection with that year is by far the dominant story was the "snubbing" of ...
by Sabin
Sun Feb 11, 2024 10:53 am
Forum: 96th Academy Awards
Topic: Categories One-by-One: Supporting Actress
Replies: 6
Views: 385

Re: Categories One-by-One: Supporting Actress

dws1982 wrote I would vote Penelope Cruz in Ferrari over any of these, though. Very strange that she didn't get any real hold on this category; the long-suffering wife is an Oscar cliche, and you can't argue that she's too subtle, because the movie gives her a great deal to do in several big scenes...

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