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by bizarre
Sun Dec 03, 2017 4:08 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - Keeping Up with Precursor Season
Replies: 28
Views: 1144

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - Keeping Up with Precursor Season

No critics groups have gelled around Stuhlbarg yet, which worries me, and I ultimately think the age handicap could very likely push Chalamet out - though who knows this year.
by bizarre
Sun Dec 03, 2017 3:33 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - Keeping Up with Precursor Season
Replies: 28
Views: 1144

Oscar Predictions Thread - Keeping Up with Precursor Season

As LAFCA voting is underway, NBR and NYFCC have announced and we wait on Globe and Critics' Choice nominations, the season has entered a new phase. Here are my updated predictions marking the beginning of the precursor whirlwind (* denotes a winner, longlists for the Top 8 categories only): Best Pic...
by bizarre
Mon Nov 27, 2017 3:13 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

I don't think we should expect a Dafoe nod in Lead at LAFCA - Keaton had the screentime of a support performance but his was the closest thing to a central character of that ensemble, and Arquette, whose positioning in that category makes more sense on paper, was in every section of that film. Dafoe...
by bizarre
Wed Nov 22, 2017 3:10 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

I expected nothing more from The Post, honestly. I expect that to be the consensus opinion judging from everything released so far. To my mind these are the only viable contenders in each acting category, barring some major last minute campaigns or SAG tomfoolery: Best Picture SAFE BETS: Call Me by ...
by bizarre
Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:09 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

How can you call me crazy for predicting Robbie to win Best Actress while saying you get a Dallas Buyers Club from I, Tonya and recommending I predict it for Best Picture?
by bizarre
Mon Nov 20, 2017 2:52 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

And I do hope Oldman doesn't win. It's certainly one of those situations where the 'preordained' narrative was so strong it stood up to uninspiring reviews, a viable slate of competitors and the performance itself being hammy and crappy. Think The Last King of Scotland but with a Best Picture nomina...
by bizarre
Mon Nov 20, 2017 2:49 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Bob Odenkirk (The Post) Early word from the first screening of The Post last night says that only Streep and Hanks have enough to do in the film to warrant awards attention. There also seems to be a “haven’t we seen this before?” kind of response to the film. I see a respectfu...
by bizarre
Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:34 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

Here's mine: BEST PICTURE Call Me by Your Name Darkest Hour Dunkirk Get Out Lady Bird The Post * The Shape of Water Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST DIRECTOR * Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk...
by bizarre
Thu Nov 09, 2017 3:29 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

I haven't seen Call Me by Your Name but I have a bias wrt taking the Spacey allegations' impact on its chances seriously - I wouldn't appreciate any film about this kind of intergenerational relationship that didn't treat it critically, but these particular kinds of adolescent relationships are supe...
by bizarre
Thu Nov 02, 2017 2:16 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

Has anyone been considering 'It' as an Adapted Screenplay contender? It was a massive hit with strong reviews and the category is tundra with every contender save Call Me by Your Name dealing with heavy caveats: mixed reception (Molly's Game, Last Flag Flying, Wonderstruck, Stronger, Victoria and Ab...
by bizarre
Thu Nov 02, 2017 2:10 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY * “Call Me by Your Name” “Darkest Hour”† “The Disaster Artist” “Molly’s Game” “The Post”† † - these productions are already slick, calculated Oscar bait of the most obnoxious kind and their campaign teams are highly likely to recognise the strength of the Original field vs. ...
by bizarre
Thu Nov 02, 2017 2:08 pm
Forum: Other Film Discussions
Topic: The New British Boring
Replies: 5
Views: 153

Re: The New British Boring

Why is Michelle Dockery on this list? She's hardly an ingénue having been working for over a decade and being 36 years old. I included anyone fitting the bill born from the 80s on, except for Emily Blunt who's too established on both screens and the stage and has never really met this 'type' anyway...
by bizarre
Wed Nov 01, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 293
Views: 8237

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

New Big 8 predictions for both this year and the next: 2017 Predictions: BEST PICTURE “Call Me by Your Name” “Darkest Hour” “Dunkirk” “Get Out” “I, Tonya” “Lady Bird” “The Post” * “The Shape of Water” “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” BEST DIRECTOR * Guillermo del Toro, for “The Shape of W...
by bizarre
Wed Nov 01, 2017 1:59 pm
Forum: Other Film Discussions
Topic: The New British Boring
Replies: 5
Views: 153

Re: The New British Boring

Note - I voted for Sophie Turner, whose performance on Game of Thrones is interesting enough that I dread the kind of beige roles she's liable to be offered in movies, Olivia Cooke who is already making some laudable forays into the indie sector and Talulah Riley simply because having been married t...
by bizarre
Wed Nov 01, 2017 1:56 pm
Forum: Other Film Discussions
Topic: The New British Boring
Replies: 5
Views: 153

The New British Boring

As most aspects of the world and the industry are engaged in either a hardcore acceleration or a massive atavism, I've had my eye on recent casting trends and what they say about the sociopolitical, economic and industrial context they arrive in. With women this is always an interesting cultural stu...

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