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by Sabin
Thu Nov 16, 2017 5:35 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Web of Sex Scandals
Replies: 35
Views: 724

Re: Web of Sex Scandals

Working today but here a thought...if the tax plan doesn’t pass the senate will they cry foul bc Franken should have resigned?
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:44 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Everything Is Great and Amazing
Replies: 419
Views: 13330

Re: Everything Is Great and Amazing

Greg wrote Biden wouldn't have been the scourge of the Democratic Party if Sanders beat Trump. I fall somewhere in the middle of the “rigging” of the Democratic Party thing. But I do think that with Hillary Clinton, a lot of people within the establishment made a lot of plans and felt very confiden...
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 5:26 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Everything Is Great and Amazing
Replies: 419
Views: 13330

Re: Everything Is Great and Amazing

A few thoughts on Joe Biden... I think Joe Biden is a Democrat who is built for the general election, not the primaries. If he could have somehow escaped them, I think he would have been a better candidate to defeat Donald Trump than Hillary Clinton was. I don't claim to know the man's mind, but it ...
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 2:33 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Everything Is Great and Amazing
Replies: 419
Views: 13330

Re: Everything Is Great and Amazing

For those of you who are wondering, President Trump's approval rating is higher than Suicide Squad, but still lower than Justice League.
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 10:35 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 244
Views: 5881

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

flipp525 wrote That’s fine! Just trying to explore all possibilities. I’m not necessarily predicting him either. It just seems like he was one of the first acting nominees in the conversation (in any category, really). I mean, you're right. He unfortunately has to be in the conversation as is the a...
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 10:08 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 244
Views: 5881

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

flipp525 wrote Also, Dunkirk might pull Mark Rylance into the race. He was a name bandied about early on and if we apply BJ’s “bird in the hand” rule he could benefit from the amorphous nature of the category. No. That's nonsense. I know he's going to end up getting a BAFTA nomination, but I will b...
by Sabin
Wed Nov 15, 2017 2:02 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 244
Views: 5881

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

flipp525 wrote Personally though, of the several dual-nominee Supporting Actor possibilities this season (The Shape of Water, Three Billboards, Call Me), I think Call Me (and Armie Hammer), has the best shot. Could be wrong, but it's hard to look at The Shape of Water as a film that gets several ac...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 7:46 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR
Replies: 244
Views: 5881

Re: Oscar Predictions Thread - TIFF to NBR

flipp525 wrote From a friend of mine: “Saw I, Tonya last night. It’s superb. Hilarious, smart, thoroughly entertaining. Margot Robbie is getting one of those five Best Actress slots. And Allison Janney is in it for the win for Supporting. As great as Laurie Metcalfe is in Lady Bird, LaVona Harding ...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 2:47 pm
Forum: Current Events
Topic: Web of Sex Scandals
Replies: 35
Views: 724

Re: Web of Sex Scandals

The Onion just posted the headine: Roy Moore Refusing To Withdraw From Alabama 13-Year-Old
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 2:42 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

FilmFan720 wrote It might not have been their thinking right out, but I think you have to allow that it has some (maybe even subconscious) part of their playing. There is certainly a shift that allows voters to even consider No Country a viable nominee, let alone contender. In the 80s, when there w...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:47 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

The Original BJ wrote I wonder what the impact of Darkest Hour will have on Dunkirk, and vice versa. Does Dunkirk become the clear rallying cry for traditionalists, giving Darkest Hour a nomination haul closer to The Danish Girl than The Imitation Game? Or if Darkest Hour becomes a Best Picture can...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:47 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

FilmFan720 wrote When something like No Country for Old Men was released, with near unanimous acclaim from filmmakers who have proven themselves to be major artists (even if they don't make what used to be called an Oscar Film), it feels like an instant classic. Voters feel comfortable voting for i...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 12:13 pm
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

Big Magilla wrote It's not possible to see an in-depth analysis, but when arguably the biggest front-runner in ages loses like it did, you're saying don't speculate? Sorry, typing from work. I should have simply wrote "It's hard not to speculate when the biggest front-runner in ages loses like...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 11:12 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

Mister Tee wrote It's also possible the November disaster had the effect of making La La seem just too flimsy -- that it was the worst possible year for THAT to be the movie people loved (because people did love it, revisionism be damned). Plus we were working in the backlash from OscarSoWhite -- t...
by Sabin
Tue Nov 14, 2017 1:57 am
Forum: 90th Predictions and Precursors
Topic: The Best Picture Formula Ramble
Replies: 27
Views: 345

Re: The Best Picture Formula Ramble

One last point, and I promise to address all other posts tomorrow... There really are just four different kinds of Oscar races, aren't there? There's the Underdog race, the We Need a Winner race, the Threeway race, and the Sweep. The Underdog Race. Films like Brokeback Mountain, The Social Network, ...

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